Last Updated on June 12, 2023 6:16 pm by Erwin Noguera
The final of the Concacaf Nations League came early to us and the United States will receive Mexico in the semifinals of the tournament for a place in the decisive match in the fight for the title.
The USMNT was the best team in the group stage, achieving 10 points and a +12 goal difference.
For its part, El Tri surprised, but for the worse, as it cost it a lot to reach this stage, being the worst classified to the Final Four.
When:
Thursday, June 15 at 10:00 pm ET at the Allegiant stadium in Las Vegas
Moneyline odds:
United States +150
México +200
Draw Offs:
+215
Where Can I Watch?
TUDN, Univision, and Paramount+
Why Bet on the United States?
The United States arrives as a favorite for this duel after the first phase, where they achieved a victory (1-0) and a draw (1-1) with El Salvador, while Granada was beaten in both games (5-0 and 1- 7).
In this duel, there will be two important premieres. On the one hand, B.J. Callaghan took over as interim manager after Antony Hudson left for a team in Qatar, and will have his first experience as head coach of a professional team. You have to keep in mind that Hudson was also an interim coach.
Finally, it should be noted that 21 years old striker Folarin Balogun, who had been international with the lower categories of England, decided to represent the United States and will be able to play his first game this Thursday. Balogun, born in Brooklyn but raised in London, is an Arsenal player and was on loan last season at Stade Reims, where he stood out in a great way by scoring 21 goals and finishing fourth in the scorers’ table, netting almost 50% of the team’s goals (45).
In addition to Balogun, the North American team has all its stars, including Cristian Pulisic, Tim Weah, Ricardo Pepi, Giovanni Reyna, Weston McKennie, Tyler Adams, Yunus Musah, Brendan Aaronson, Sergiño Dest, and Matt Turner.
Why Bet on México?
The Mexico of Diego Cocca does not finish convincing. In the group stage, they were close to being left out, but managed to draw with Jamaica in the last game and advanced to the semifinals. They recently had two friendly matches where they beat Guatemala (2-0) and tied with Cameroon (2-2).
Precisely in the game against the Africans, goalkeeper Luis Malagón, who had started in both matches, made a serious mistake that could cost him his place. Guillermo Ochoa, who had a great year at Salernitana helping them escape relegation, could be the starter.
Without a doubt, the big loss for El Tri will be the absence of Chucky Lozano, the recent champion in Italy with Napoli, who is injured. In the call, the non-calls of Pocho Guzmán, a figure with Chivas, and Tecatito Corona, surprise. Among the surprises is the call of Roberto de la Rosa, a forward of Pachuca, who scored a goal against Guatemala last week.
Players like Sebastián Córdova, Edson Álvarez, Luis Chávez, César Montes, Uriel Antuna, and Henry Martín, among others, had a great season with their clubs and hope to prove it now.
Final Betting Analysis: United States vs. México
It will be a match to the death since, in addition to the enmity between the two teams, it will be a single-game semifinal so there is no tomorrow for the loser. Although both teams are having coach changes, the fans believe more in the United States than in Mexico, something that is important on a mental level. We also believe that the North American team has players who are at a better individual level and will be decisive, so they will be the winners.
At MyBookie.ag we find that the United States is the favorite of the match with a Moneyline of +150, while Mexico has +200 and the draw is +215.
The last time they met was on April 19 of this year in a friendly that was 1-1, while the last time they played in an official match was on March 24, 2022, in the World Cup qualifiers, and they also drew, but 0-0.
In the final of the first edition of the Concacaf Nations League (played in 2021 due to COVID-19), the United States defeated Mexico in extra time 3-2. On that occasion, the Final Four was in Denver. The USA is undefeated in 5 games against their rivals, while the last time Mexico won an official match was on July 7, 2019, in the Gold Cup final (1-0).
Go for a straight win for the United States in the Moneyline. If you bet $100 on the win at +150, you will gain $150 for a total payout of $250.
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