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Third Place: Netherlands vs. Italy Betting Favorite

Last Updated on June 15, 2023 9:51 pm by Erwin Noguera

The Netherlands and Italy will serve as a prelude to the UEFA Nations League final when they meet for third place in the tournament.

The Oranje is coming off a painful loss in the semifinals and will be hoping for third place as a consolation prize.

The Azurra also had a tough loss after conceding a late goal and will now look to bounce back.

When:

Sunday, June 18 at 9:00 am ET at the De Grolsch Veste in Enschede, Netherlands

Moneyline odds:

Netherlands +138 

Italy +204

Draw Offs:

+232

Where Can I Watch?

Fubo Sports Network and ViX+

Why Bet on the Netherlands?

It will be a sad game for the Netherlands. This Wednesday they lost 2-4 to Croatia and were out of the final of the UEFA Nations League that is going to be played at their home. The Clockwork Orange had started winning, but the Croatians turned it around and went up 1-2, just for Noa Lang, in the last minute and after several rebounds, to make it 2-2 and send the match to extra time.

In extra time, the Balkan team scored 2 goals to qualify for the final and become the first squad to score 4 away goals against the Netherlands in an official match in 118 years. There were many mistakes in defense, counting the two fouls for penalties. In addition, they missed several offensive chances.

The Tulips were 20 games unbeaten under Louis Van Gaal, but since the arrival of Ronald Koeman they lost 4-0 to France and 2-4 to Croatia, and could only beat Gibraltar (3-0).

Why Bet on Italy?

Italy did lose in regular time, but it was to Spain by 2-1, with a goal by Joselu in the 88th minute and after two rebounds from Italian defenders. Undoubtedly, it was a big blow for the team, who had not qualified for the last World Cup and were looking to get rid of the thorn in their side with this tournament.

Roberto Mancini will have to work on the offensive part of the team as they rarely reached the opponent’s area and the only goal they scored was from a penalty kick. However, Davide Frattesi had scored a goal that was disallowed by the VAR for a millimetric offside. It was not a good game for Italy, but precisely the Sassuolo midfielder was one of the best players.

This year the Azzurri had lost to England 1-2 and beaten Malta 0-2 at the start of the Euro qualifiers. Among the curiosities on Thursday was that Mateo Retegui, who had scored 2 of his team’s 3 last goals in his first two games for the Italians, did not play a single minute. Let’s hope that the media criticism doesn’t affect the opinion of the DT about the striker, as he has shown wonderful things in the national team.

It has been an awful year for the Italians in general, with their clubs losing all the European finals, and their Under-20s the World Cup final.

Final Betting Analysis: Netherlands vs. Italy

It will be a game for the honor. Undoubtedly, two painful defeats because of the way the matches were played, but the one in the Netherlands was tougher and they were at home. Surely there will be many changes for this match, but Italy’s performance has been bad, so we believe that the Clockwork Orange will win.

The numbers at MyBookie.ag have the Netherlands as the favorite, as the Moneyline for them shows +138, meanwhile Italy has +204 and the draw is +232.

The last time they met was on October 14, 2020, precisely in the Nations League and they drew 1-1 in Bergamo, while the last time the Netherlands were at home (September 7, 2020), Italy won 0-1. The Dutch have 15 years without beating the Italians with 4 draws and 3 defeats. The last time they did it was at the Euro 2008 (3-0).

Go for a straight win for the Netherlands in the Moneyline. If you bet $100 at the win at +138, you will gain $138 for a total payout of $238.

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