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Toluca vs. Club América Preview and Free Pick

Last Updated on September 22, 2023 5:54 pm by Erwin Noguera

After a weekend to remember, with a beating in the Mexican derby, Club América faces a complicated visit to Toluca on Matchday 9 of the Liga MX.

The ‘Diablos Rojos’ are coming off a 2-1 loss to Tijuana last time out, making Robert Morales’ second-half stoppage-time conversion useless.

The ‘Águilas’ thrashed Chivas de Guadalajara 4-0 at the Azteca stadium, thanks to a brace by Diego Valdés and goals by Alejandro Zendejas and Uruguayan Brian Rodríguez.


Sunday, September 24 at 2:00 pm ET in the Estadio Nemesio Diez

Moneyline odds:

Toluca +210 

Club América +129

Draw Offs:


Where Can I Watch?


Why Bet on Toluca?

Toluca is historically a team that is always fighting for playoff positions and occasionally reaches the finals. This season has been no exception, as they are in seventh place.

On the last matchday, the Nemesio Diez team lost 2-1 in their visit to Tijuana, so Robert Morales’ goal was of little value. It must be said that in the first few matches the ‘Diablos Rojos’ have not had a regular performance, as they lost twice, won three times, and have three draws.

However, it can be said that Toluca’s squad includes one of the best strikers in Mexican soccer, Juan Domíguez, who has scored four goals so far.

In addition, the 10-time Liga MX champions have a favorable streak against the ‘Águilas’. They have not lost in their last three meetings.

Ignacio Ambriz’s men have taken seven points from 12 at home and are injury-free so far.

Why Bet on America?

América wants to be champion again in Mexico and this season they have been on a roll. The team is in third place with 14 points, two points behind the leader, which for the moment is Atlético San Luis.

On the last matchday, the ‘Águilas’ had a feast with their classic rival, Chivas de Guadalajara. They won 4-0, and more than that, completely dominated and obliterated their bitter rivals.

This victory came even though their best player up front, Julián Quiñones (4 goals), was not accurate in front of goal, but it can be said that the team from the capital is a good offensive team, scoring 16 goals, while they have only conceded 8.

Interestingly, this will only be the second away game for the ‘Azulcremas’, who in their only other outing beat Cruz Azul 3-2.

Defender Néstor Araujo should be available for Brazilian coach Jardine.

Final Betting Analysis: Toluca vs. América

Toluca has proven to be an interesting team in Liga MX, with a squad that can aspire to important things. This season, however, Club América is in better form, as they have not lost in their last six games. The victory will go to the visiting team at the Nemesio Diez stadium. 

The numbers at have América as the favorite, as the Moneyline for them shows +129, meanwhile Toluca has +210 and the Draw is +254.

The last time these teams met at Toluca’s home they drew 2-2. Carlos González and Carlos Orrantia scored for the home side and Brian Rodríguez and Henry Martin scored for the visitors.

Go for a straight win for América in the Moneyline. If you bet $100 at +129, you will gain $129 for a total payout of $229.

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