UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan Fight Card Odds and Picks Gambyl Sports Betting Exchange

Last Updated on December 1, 2023 11:58 am by Erwin Noguera

The UFC is taking a small break from the Apex, as they go into the Moody Center in Austin, Texas, to bring us a fight night filled with talent, and a lot of veteran fighters who are coming in ready to give us more exciting performances.

This fight night has 13 bouts, with 6 of them in the Main event, and the other 7 in the Prelims, with a ton of talent from start to finish for all fight fans to enjoy.

The main event of the card is a lightweight clash that has title implications, as Beneil Dariush faces Arman Tsarukyan in a 5 rounds fight, and the Co-Main event has Jalin Turner, facing a surging Bobby Green, also in the lightweight division.

We also get a clash between Rob Font and Deiveson Figueiredo, who is making his debut in the Bantamweight division, and then, we also get performances from Kelvin Gastelum, Clay Guida, and Miesha Tate, who are beloved by the fans.

You can check all the UFC/MMA bets, the analysis of each fighter, and the final bet you can make in these fights.

UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan Fight Card Odds and Picks – Info

When:

Saturday, December 2nd, at 4:00 pm ET

Moneyline odds:

Beneil Dariush +230 / Arman Tsarukyan -290

Jalin Turner -220 / Bobby Green +180

Rob Font -135 / Deiveson Figueiredo +115

Sean Brady -130 / Kelvin Gastelum +110

Clay Guida +250 / Joaquim Silva -320

Punahele Soriano -290 / Dustin Stoltzfus +230

Miesha Tate +125 / Julia Avila -145

Cody Brundage +185 / Zach Reese -230

Joe Solecki +110 / Drakkar Klose -130

Steve Garcia +190 / Melquizael Costa -240

Ihor Potieria +325 / Rodolfo Bellato -450

Wellington Turman -200 / Jared Gooden +165

Jamey-Lyn Horth -170 / Veronica Hardy +145

Where can I watch it?

UFC Fight Pass

UFC Fight Night: Beneil Dariush vs. Arman Tsarukyan

Why Bet on Beneil Dariush?

Dariush comes into this fight with an MMA record of 22-5-1. He is 16-5-1 in the UFC, most recently losing to Charles Oliveira by KO/TKO back in June of this year.

A bit of a slow-burner, Dariush came into the UFC back in 2014 with a reputation as a slick grappler. However, at times, his lack of natural athleticism caught up with him, and when he was knocked out by Alexander Hernandez in 2018, his chance of a real title push seemed dead.

Since then, though, the Iranian-born American has come on leaps and bounds. He’s still a lesser athlete in a world populated by naturally explosive specimens, but his striking is now technically excellent, making him a threat in all areas.

Why Bet on Arman Tsarukyan?

Tsarukyan comes into this fight with an MMA record of 20-3. He is 7-2 in the UFC, most recently beating Joaquim Silva by KO/TKO back in June of this year.

Tsarukyan is almost a decade younger, and it’s fair to say he’s shown ridiculous potential since his arrival in the promotion in 2019. His debut saw him face off with current lightweight champ Islam Makhachev, and his skills pushed the Dagestani harder than most of his other foes.

Since then, Tsarukyan has won seven of eight fights, with his only loss coming via a semi-controversial decision against fellow contender Mateusz Gamrot.

Beneil Dariush vs. Arman Tsarukyan Final Betting Analysis:

Overall, the Russian-Armenian is one of the few fighters in the UFC who has no weaknesses. He’s a ridiculously heavy grappler who even gave Makhachev issues, and he’s also shown in some of his fights that he hits very hard, too.

The issue he’s had seems to be the fact that his well-rounded nature means he’s almost too willing to take on opponents in their wheelhouse – something that got him into trouble against Joaquim Silva in June and arguably allowed Gamrot to edge him too.

Therefore, in this fight, if Tsarukyan decides he’s going to test his grappling against Dariush, he might pay for it. Sure, he’s a powerful wrestler, but he doesn’t possess the slick skills of the Iranian-born American and might end up leaving himself open.

On the feet, though, he has more power than Dariush and is far quicker, too. If he can prevent the takedown with his wrestling, then, there’s a chance that he can follow in the footsteps of Oliveira and Hernandez and turn the lights out on the veteran.

We expect Tsarukyan to get a TKO in this match and continue his excellent career in the UFC.

UFC Fight Night: Jalin Turner vs. Bobby Green

Why Bet on Jalin Turner?

Jalin “The Tarantula” Turner enters with a 13-7 record and truly frightening knockout power, landing 5.82 significant strikes per minute with dangerous accuracy. His creative shot selection and lethal southpaw angles have overwhelmed opponents, most recently finishing Brad Riddell in the first round.

Why Bet on Bobby Green?

Bobby “King” Green lives up to his moniker with crafty striking and an impressively well-rounded skill set built over 16 years and a 33-15-1 record. He has faced the division’s best by mixing up 6.15 significant strikes landed per minute with solid grappling, including 1.21 takedowns per round, and stifling 74% takedown defense.

He showcased this in his recent win over Al Iaquinta, seamlessly blending punches and kicks with timely takedowns to dominate the action.

Jalin Turner vs. Bobby Green Final Betting Analysis:

Turner has shown vulnerability to pressure and wrestlers over his career. Losses to grappling-based opponents like Matt Frevola and Don Madge exposed Turner’s lack of urgency after being taken down. He also slows down dramatically in later rounds, gassing out against UFC veteran Drew Dober in the third round of their bout.

To defeat a well-rounded athlete like Green, Turner must stay off his back while maintaining his dangerous pace. However, the former also possesses underrated power with many TKO finishes on his resume, despite lacking one-shot knockout power.

While Green doesn’t have many paths to finishing a dangerous striker like Turner, his technical diversity and pace could exploit defensive holes on the feet en route to a decision. His fight IQ and conditioning for five hard rounds built over years of wars make him a resilient matchup for any lightweight.

UFC Fight Night: Rob Font vs. Deiveson Figueiredo

Why Bet on Rob Font?

Font comes into this fight with an MMA record of 20-7. He is 10-6 in the UFC, most recently losing to Cory Sandhagen by unanimous decision back in August of this year.

Why Bet on Deiveson Figueiredo?

Figueiredo comes into this fight with an MMA record of 21-3-1. He is 10-3-1 in the UFC, most recently losing to Brandon Moreno by KO/TKO back in January of this year, after going over their 4 straight-up fights for the Flyweight title.

Rob Font vs. Deiveson Figueiredo Final Betting Analysis:

Font does hold the edge in striking, but Figueiredo is the better grappler. However, due to the inconsistencies by the former, backing the ex-champion to get back on track will be the best bet.

Deiveson’s heavy hand is always a factor to put into any of his fights, but with his excellent grappling, he has a lot of tools at his disposal and we expect an early finish.

UFC Fight Night: Sean Brady vs. Kelvin Gastelum

Why Bet on Sean Brady?

Brady is an American mixed martial artist with a professional MMA record of 15-1 with 3 TKO/KO wins and 4 submissions.

At 31 years old, Brady is one of the premier grapplers of the sport with submission grappling wins against top performers like Craig Jones and Ben Saunders.

Why Bet on Kelvin Gastelum?

Another fighter making a notable switch in weight class this weekend is former middleweight title challenger Kelvin Gastelum. After a strong start at 185 pounds, the former welterweight has lost four of his last six. That is why he is going back to 170 pounds on Saturday in the hopes he can re-ignite one last title run.

Sean Brady vs. Kelvin Gastelum Final Betting Analysis:

If Gastelum can avoid the takedowns of Brady, he has a huge advantage on the feet. He may get grounded early, but the former has an underrated grappling game and won’t be easy to subdue. Look for the veteran to use his improved speed at a lower weight to make it a standup war and eke out a big upset victory.

UFC Fight Night: Clay Guida vs. Joaquim Silva

Why Bet on Clay Guida?

Now more than 17 years removed from his Octagon debut against Justin James, Clay Guida (38-20) sits at 18-17 in the world’s largest mixed martial arts (MMA) promotion. His last two fights have seen him gut out an upset split decision over Scott Holtzman before falling short against Rafa Garcia in April 2023.

Why Bet on Joaquim Silva?

After falling to Glaico Franca in The Ultimate Fighter (TUF): Brazil 4 semifinals, “Netto BJJ” kicked off his UFC career with three straight wins. He’s since dropped four of six, including a technical knockout loss to Arman Tsarukyan in June 2023.

Seven of his 10 professional finishes have come via knockout.

Clay Guida vs. Joaquim Silva Final Betting Analysis:

The modern, 41-year-old Guida only wins if his opponent lacks one of three things: heart, cardio, and functional takedown defense. Michael Johnson didn’t have heart, Leonardo Santos didn’t have cardio and Scott Holtzman didn’t have takedown defense. Though Silva’s durability is waning, nobody who’s watched ‘Netto BJJ’s’ UFC tenure can accuse him of lacking heart or cardio, so the fight boils down to whether he can keep it standing.

We think he’s got it in him. Arman Tsarukyan controlled him for a long while, but with all due respect to Clay Guida, he’s not Tsarukyan. Indeed, the veteran is nowhere near as dangerous on the feet and lacks that level of technical wrestling skill. Without the threat of a one-hitter quitter coming his way, Silva can focus on takedown defense without limiting his impressive striking output. In the end, he’ll sprawl-and-brawl his way to an entertaining decision win.

UFC Fight Night: Punahele Soriano vs. Dustin Stoltzfus

Why Bet on Punahele Soriano?

Soriano has struggled to the tune of a 1-3 record over his last four, but this is a great fight for the Hawaiian to return to form with a knockout win.

Soriano is a solid striker, as he lands 4.04 significant strikes per minute, while Stoltzfus is also there to be hit, and he’s coming off a quick KO loss.

Why Bet on Dustin Stoltzfus?

Dustin Stoltzfus is 1-4 in the UFC and likely shouldn’t be getting another fight, but the company is using him to help build back Punahele Soriano here at UFC Austin.

Punahele Soriano vs. Dustin Stoltzfus Final Betting Analysis:

The Hawaiian will likely come out aggressive and blitz Stoltzfus early to get the knockout win and return to the win column in a big way.

Soriano is likely to make things nasty for Stoltzfus, and we expect it to be a first-round finish that will lift his career back up.

UFC Fight Night: Miesha Tate vs. Julia Avila

Why Bet on Miesha Tate?

Miesha Tate (20-9) — a former UFC Bantamweight women’s champion — hung up the gloves in 2016 after losses to Amanda Nunes and Raquel Pennington. ‘Cupcake’ made a successful return to action five years later, stopping Marion Reneau, but has since lost two straight to Ketlen Vieira and Lauren Murphy.

Why Bet on Julia Avila?

Avila started her UFC career strong with a decision over late replacement Pannie Kianzad in July 2019. ‘Raging Panda’ has competed just three times since, going 2-1 amidst nine cancelations.

This marks her first appearance in 2.5 years.

Miesha Tate vs. Julia Avila Final Betting Analysis:

This is a question of how much each woman has left in the tank. With both at their peak, I’d take Tate with full confidence, as Avila’s vicious striking offense is offset by questionable takedown defense and a weak bottom game. Considering how many times we’ve seen Tate power through serious damage to grinding out wins, it’s unquestionably a favorable matchup from a style and technique perspective.

The problem is, we’re not convinced Tate has that extra gear anymore, and getting out-struck by Murphy bodes ill for her chances on the feet. While it’s anyone’s guess how Avila will look after a long layoff and knee surgery, she’s bigger than Tate and hits a fair bit harder. Maybe this is just our desire to see Avila live up to her potential speaking, but expect her to out-hustle Tate to a competitive decision.

UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Zach Reese

Why Bet on Cody Brundage?

Cody Brundage (9-5) went from scoring back-to-back Octagon finishes to losing three in a row. He looked poised to suffer his fourth straight defeat against Jacob Malkoun but walked away with a much-needed disqualification win after Malkoun elbowed him in the back of the head.

Why Bet on Zach Reese?

Zachary Reese (6-0) racked up five first-round finishes to earn a spot on the Contender Series in 2023. It took him just 74 seconds to score his sixth with an impressive armbar of Eli Aronov.

Five of his six professional bouts have ended in less than two minutes.

Cody Brundage vs. Zach Reese Final Betting Analysis:

The ingredients are there for Brundage to be a solid Middleweight. Many a fighter has built a lengthy career out of decent wrestling and a heavy right hand. He just completely gives up the microsecond he ends up on his back. Not since Sara McMann have we seen someone so incapable of putting up the slightest resistance when placed in a disadvantageous position, and that’s why we can’t pick him here.

Reese isn’t anything special outside of his size, but neither was Sedriques Dumas and Brundage still found a way to lose. If Brundage’s head is on straight, he can bully Reese and drown him in deep waters, but I’m done expecting that sort of mental fortitude from him. On the contrary, expect Brundage to shove his neck directly into Reese’s guillotine or find some other, equally embarrassing way to beef it.

UFC Fight Night: Joe Solecki vs. Drakkar Klose

Why Bet on Joe Solecki?

Joe Solecki (13-3) followed his Contender Series victory over James Wallace by winning his first three UFC bouts. Though a split decision loss to Jared Gordon slowed his momentum, he entered the cage this Saturday having won two straight.

He’s submitted eight professional foes and knocked out one other.

Why Bet on Drakkar Klose?

Drakkar Klose (13-2-1) battled his way to a 5-1 UFC start, notably beating Bobby Green along the way, before falling short in a wild six-minute brawl with Beneil Dariush. He’s since returned to form with a bonus-winning knockout of Brandon Jenkins and a hard-fought decision over Rafa Garcia.

He fights for the first time in 16 months.

Joe Solecki vs. Drakkar Klose Final Betting Analysis:

Klose’s grappling defense is the deciding factor here. He’ll bulldoze Solecki if it stays on the feet for any length of time, but he’s had mixed success against determined wrestlers in the past. Garcia notably kept him on his back for nearly a half-round in total, becoming the seventh UFC opponent to take him down at least once.

There’s a critical difference between Garcia and Solecki though: Garcia is an actual threat on the feet. Klose should be more successful in keeping it standing against a more one-dimensional rival, especially since Solecki had his hands full with another very athletic aggressor in Alex da Silva before ‘Leko’ ran out of steam.

Solecki is a live dog with a real shot at grinding out Klose, but with how difficult he is to finish and the sort of punishment he can dish out, expect the latter to wriggle out of a few rough spots before beating the former into submission.

UFC Fight Night: Steve Garcia vs. Melquizael Costa

Why Bet on Steve Garcia?

Steve Garcia (14-5) bounced back from a 1-3 skid by winning four straight, only to fall to Luis Pena in his short-notice UFC debut. Undaunted, he went on to win three of his next four inside the distance and earn his first post-fight bonus in the process.

Eleven of his professional wins, including all of them in the last five years, have come by knockout.

Why Bet on Melquizael Costa?

Melquizael Costa (20-6) likewise stepped up on short notice for his UFC debut, which saw him succumb to Thiago Moises’ rear-naked choke midway through the second. He was quite a bit more successful in his second bout, a one-sided mauling of Austin Lingo that earned Costa his eighth win in 10 fights.

Steve Garcia vs. Melquizael Costa Final Betting Analysis:

Garcia has proven himself a fearsome glass cannon, but while the ‘cannon’ part has been more prominent of late, we’re about due for a reminder on the ‘glass’ bit. Beyond being a far sharper technical kickboxer than Garcia, Costa is exceedingly durable; his only (technical) knockout loss was a 2017 corner stoppage between rounds. With how few opportunities Garcia will have to land clean punches, an inability to put Costa down for the count with those shots seems like a death sentence.

This will look a lot like Costa’s fight with Lingo, with ‘Melk’ dissecting his super-aggressive opponent with cleaner technique. The difference is that instead of getting cowed to the point of barely fighting back, Garcia will be reckless enough to run headlong into a fight-ending bomb.

UFC Fight Night: Ihor Potieria vs. Rodolfo Bellato

Why Bet on Ihor Potieria?

Ihor Potieria (20-4) upset Lukasz Sudolski on Contender Series to claim both a UFC contract and his 15th consecutive win. ‘Duelist’ currently sits at 1-2 in the Octagon, a finish of ‘Shogun’ Rua sandwiched between knockout losses to Nicolae Negumereanu and Carlos Ulberg.

Fourteen of his fifteen professional finishes have come in the first round.

Why Bet on Rodolfo Bellato?

Three years after suffering his lone pro loss to Vitor Petrino, Rodolfo Bellato (11-2) got a second crack at his rival on Contender Series, only to once again succumb to Petrino’s power late in the second. He returned to Legacy Fighting Alliance (LFA) to win two straight and earn their interim Light Heavyweight title, then punched his ticket to the Octagon by battering Murtaza Talha in his second Contender Series bout.

His professional finishes are split 6:4 between knockouts and submissions.

Ihor Potieria vs. Rodolfo Bellato Final Betting Analysis:

It honestly feels like the UFC is punishing Potieria for what he did to Shogun. First, there was Ulberg — an atrocious style matchup by any definition — and now there’s Bellato, who out-classes Potieria in virtually every category besides one-shot power. Bellato has a more complete striking game and the grappling skills to punish Potieria’s awful takedown defense.

Even worse, Bellato’s cardio blows Potieria’s out of the water. There’s not much stopping him from grinding his rival against the fence until his gas tank gives out and subsequently mauling him into submission. Though Bellato has been clipped before, Potieria is both a lesser puncher and a lesser striking technician than Petrino, so his odds of shocking Bellato with an out-of-nowhere haymaker are negligible. In the end, Bellato wears him down for a bit before turning up the heat for a violent finish.

UFC Fight Night: Wellington Turman vs. Jared Gooden

Why Bet on Wellington Turman?

Wellington Turman (18-7) clawed his way out of a 1-3 skid with back-to-back victories over Sam Alvey and Misha Cirkunov. The success wasn’t to last, as ‘The Prodigy’ then fell to Andre Petroski before losing a decision to Randy Brown in his UFC Welterweight debut.

Why Bet on Jared Gooden?

A decision loss to Randy Brown, for which Gooden came in three pounds heavy, sent ‘Nite Train’ packing from UFC with a 1-3 record. He returned in 2023 to battle Carlston Harris on short notice, only to come in six pounds heavy and lose another decision.

He’s ended 18 professional fights inside the distance, 11 of them via knockout.

Wellington Turman vs. Jared Gooden Final Betting Analysis:

This seems like culling, to be honest. Neither of these men is likely to beat any Welterweights of note, so the matchmakers might as well just smash ‘em together to find out who to cut. For our money, that’s Gooden. Beyond his inability to keep his weight in check, he just can’t deal with takedowns; speaking as a fan of Carlston Harris, that’s not someone who should be racking up almost 10 minutes of control time on you, short notice be damned.

It’s not like Gooden will have an overwhelming advantage on the feet, either. Decent offense and can’t make up for the fact that he gets hit nearly seven times per minute. So long as Turman can avoid getting clipped, he’ll hold his own on the feet and rack up takedowns to secure a wide decision win.

UFC Fight Night: Jamey-Lyn Horth vs. Veronica Hardy

Why Bet on Jamey-Lyn Horth?

Horth — who boasts two amateur victories over Lupita Godinez — claimed Battlefield Fight League’s Flyweight title and LFA’s Flyweight title in back-to-back fights. Then came a 16-month layoff, which ended with a successful April 2023 UFC debut against Hailey Cowan.

That win marked her first professional trip to the judges, as she’d previously knocked out three opponents and submitted two others.

Why Bet on Veronica Hardy?

Veronica Hardy (7-4-1) started her professional career undefeated (5-0-1) before hitting a 1-4 skid in the Octagon, capped by a decision loss to Bea Malecki. After spending the next three years on the sidelines, she returned to action in March 2023 with a dominant upset victory over Juliana Miller.

Jamey-Lyn Horth vs. Veronica Hardy Final Betting Analysis:

This is a battle of speed versus size. Hardy has the better footwork and the sharper hands, but Horth is a fair bit larger and has the kicking skills to maximize those height and reach advantages. We saw Hardy look painfully limited against Malecki, whose literal only skill was being big, so it’s not hard to picture her struggling to get inside or do meaningful damage to a genuinely skilled kickboxer.

That said, we do believe Hardy turned the corner during her time away. Miller’s nonexistent striking gave an inflated impression of Hardy’s abilities, sure, but you’d be blind not to see the strides she made with her boxing and wrestling. Those hands should allow her to keep pace on the feet, while Horth’s tendency to lead with naked kicks will offer Hardy plenty of opportunities to drag it to the mat. When the dust settles, Horth will do plenty of damage, but we like Hardy to eke this one out.

UFC Fight Night: Dariush vs. Tsarukyan Fight Card Odds and Picks