UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres Fight Card Odds and Free Pick

UFC Fight Night: Fiziev vs. Torres Fight Card Odds and Free Pick

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Last Updated on June 25, 2026 1:22 pm by Erwin Noguera

The UFC returns to Azerbaijan for one of the most intriguing Fight Night cards of the summer as hometown favorite Rafael Fiziev headlines UFC Fight Night against surging Mexican contender Manuel Torres in a lightweight main event with major implications for the division.

The co-main event features one of the most entertaining middleweight matchups on the card as Shara Magomedov takes on Michel Pereira.

Elsewhere on the main card, fans should keep an eye on the middleweight clash between Ikram Aliskerov and Brunno Ferreira, as well as the flyweight showdown featuring Asu Almabayev and Charles Johnson. Both Fights could have rankings implications before the summer schedule intensifies.

While UFC Baku may not feature a championship fight, it offers something equally valuable: a card filled with fighters trying to prove they belong among the contenders.

At Gambyl Exchange, you can check all the UFC/MMA bets, the analysis of each fighter, and the final bet you can make in these fights.

Fiziev vs. Torres Fight Card Odds and Info

Rafel Fiziev -108 Manuel Torres -112
Sharabutdin Magomedov -400 Michel Pereira +300
Nazim Sadykov -227 Matheus Camilo +180
Asu Almabayev -263 Chales Johnson +210
Ikram Aliaskerov -294 Brunno Ferreira +230
Abusupiyan Magomedov -114 Michal Oleksiejczuk -106
Farman Hasanov -175 Eric Nolan +142
Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev -588 Julius Walker 5.20
Nursultan Ruziboev -217 Andrey Pulyaev +175
Kaan Ofli +160 Javier Reyes -200
Daniil Danchenko -476 Theodor Berggren +340
Bekzat Almakhan +134Jean Matsumoto -166
Tahir Abdullayev -126Jefferson Nascimento +103
When?Saturday, June 27 at 12:00 pm ET, 11:00 am CST, 10:00 am MT, and 9:00 am PT
Where?National Gymnastics Arena
Where Can I Watch it?UFC Fight Pass

UFC Fight Night: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres

Why Bet on Rafael Fiziev?

Rafael Fiziev enters this matchup as the more accomplished and battle-tested fighter. Despite losing four of his last five fights, those defeats came against elite lightweight competition such as Justin Gaethje, Mateusz Gamrot, and Mauricio Ruffy. Few fighters in the division have faced a tougher schedule over the last several years.

The biggest advantage is technical striking. Fiziev remains one of the most polished Muay Thai specialists in the UFC, known for elite counterstriking, devastating body kicks, excellent defensive movement, and outstanding distance management. His striking arsenal is significantly deeper than most lightweights.

Another key factor is the strength of competition. Torres has looked spectacular against many opponents, but Fiziev has consistently competed against top-10 talent. Experience in high-pressure fights and five-round main events could become critical if this fight extends beyond the early rounds.

Why Bet on Manuel Torres?

Manuel Torres enters this fight as one of the most dangerous finishers in the lightweight division. Since arriving in the UFC, he has built a reputation for explosive first-round finishes and relentless aggression. Most of his UFC victories have come before the end of Round 1.

While Fiziev is trying to stop a difficult stretch of results, Torres is coming off impressive wins and appears to be entering the prime of his career. His confidence is likely at an all-time high.

Another important factor is finishing ability. Torres fights with constant urgency and carries power in both hands. He does not need many opportunities to change a fight, making him dangerous from the opening bell.

His path is straightforward: pressure early, force exchanges before Fiziev establishes rhythm, and capitalize on any defensive openings.

Final Betting Analysis: Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres

This fight is defined by elite technique versus explosive momentum.

At his best, Fiziev is clearly the superior technical striker. His defense, kicking game, and overall fight IQ are several levels above most opponents Torres has faced. However, the concern is whether the current version of Fiziev can consistently perform at that level after recent setbacks.

Torres brings tremendous finishing ability and has shown he can overwhelm opponents early. Yet there is still a significant gap in the quality of opposition each fighter has faced. Fiziev has spent years competing with championship-level lightweights, while Torres is only beginning to enter that tier.

UFC Fight Night: Sharaputdin Magomedov vs. Michel Pereira

Why Bet on Sharaputdin Magomedov?

Sharaputdin “Shara Bullet” Magomedov enters this matchup as one of the most dangerous strikers in the middleweight division. The Russian owns a 16-1 professional record and has built his reputation on relentless pressure, high-volume striking, and fight-ending power. Twelve of his victories have come by knockout, highlighting the danger he brings every time he steps into the cage.

The biggest advantage is striking consistency. Unlike many flashy strikers, Magomedov maintains a steady pace throughout fights and continues throwing meaningful offense round after round. His kicking game, pressure, and ability to overwhelm opponents with volume make him difficult to deal with over three rounds.

Magomedov has won five of his last six fights and is coming off a decision victory over Marc-André Barriault. At 32 years old, he appears to be entering the prime years of his UFC career.

Pereira’s game is built on athleticism and explosiveness, but Magomedov tends to thrive against opponents willing to engage in striking battles. If Pereira chooses to stand and trade, he could be playing directly into Magomedov’s strengths.

Why Bet on Michel Pereira?

Michel Pereira remains one of the most unpredictable and athletic fighters in the UFC. The Brazilian veteran owns more than 45 professional fights and brings a unique blend of capoeira, karate, grappling, and explosive athleticism that few opponents can prepare for effectively.

The biggest advantage is versatility. Pereira can strike, wrestle, and grapple at a high level. While fans often focus on his spectacular striking attacks, he possesses legitimate submission skills and has historically been at his best when mixing multiple aspects of MMA together.

Pereira has fought a much deeper level of UFC competition than Magomedov and understands how to make adjustments during difficult fights.

Pereira has fought a much deeper level of UFC competition than Magomedov and understands how to make adjustments during difficult fights.

Final Betting Analysis: Sharaputdin Magomedov vs. Michel Pereira

This fight has all the ingredients to become one of the most entertaining bouts on the card.

Both men are dynamic strikers, but Magomedov appears to be the more reliable fighter at this stage of their careers. Pereira remains dangerous, yet recent performances have raised questions about his ability to maintain a high pace for extended periods, particularly against younger and more active opponents.

The key question is whether Pereira will fight smart. If he aggressively pursues grappling and forces Magomedov into uncomfortable positions, he can make this fight competitive. However, Pereira has often chosen to engage in striking battles rather than the most strategic approach.

UFC Fight Night: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo

Why Bet on Nazim Sadykhov?

Nazim Sadykhov enters this matchup as the more established UFC lightweight and the fighter with significantly more experience against UFC-caliber opposition. The Azerbaijani-born contender owns an 11-2-1 professional record and has built a reputation as an aggressive finisher with dangerous striking and solid grappling skills.

The biggest advantage is power and finishing ability. Sadykhov has earned the majority of his victories by stoppage and possesses explosive boxing that can change a fight instantly. His willingness to pressure opponents and throw combinations makes him particularly dangerous in exchanges.

Sadykhov has already proven he belongs in the UFC and has faced tougher opposition than Camilo. Even in defeat, he has gained valuable experience against established lightweights, which should help him make adjustments throughout the fight.

Why Bet on Matheus Camilo?

Matheus Camilo enters this fight as an improving prospect with a well-rounded skill set and plenty of upside. The Brazilian has compiled a 10-3 professional record and earned his first UFC victory by defeating Viacheslav Borshchev via unanimous decision.

Matheus Camilo enters this fight as an improving prospect with a well-rounded skill set and plenty of upside. The Brazilian has compiled a 10-3 professional record and earned his first UFC victory by defeating Viacheslav Borshchev via unanimous decision.

Another important factor is youth. At 25 years old, Camilo is seven years younger than Sadykhov and continues to develop as a fighter. Improvement from fight to fight is often one of the most valuable traits for emerging contenders.

Final Betting Analysis: Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo

This matchup is defined by proven UFC experience versus developing potential.

Camilo is a talented prospect with legitimate grappling skills, but this is a significant step up in competition. Sadykhov has already demonstrated he can compete with solid UFC lightweights and carries considerably more finishing power.

The key question is whether Camilo can consistently force grappling exchanges. If he cannot, he will likely spend long stretches dealing with Sadykhov’s pressure and striking volume. We expect Sadykhov’s power and aggression to be decisive, especially with the fight taking place in Azerbaijan.

UFC Fight Night: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson

Why Bet on Asu Almabayev?

Asu Almabayev enters this matchup as one of the most technically complete flyweights in the division. The Kazakh contender quickly climbed the rankings thanks to his outstanding wrestling, relentless pace, and ability to control fights in multiple phases. Before his loss to Manel Kape, Almabayev had built an impressive winning streak and established himself as a legitimate contender at 125 pounds.

The biggest advantage is grappling. Almabayev excels at securing takedowns, maintaining top control, and forcing opponents to constantly defend. His wrestling-heavy approach often allows him to dictate where fights take place and neutralize dangerous strikers.

Almabayev rarely wastes movement or energy. He follows structured game plans, stays disciplined throughout fights, and avoids the reckless mistakes that often cost fighters rounds at the highest level.

Why Bet on Charles Johnson?

Charles Johnson has quietly become one of the most dangerous and underrated flyweights on the roster. After a difficult start to his UFC career, he transformed himself into a legitimate contender through improved striking, excellent conditioning, and an aggressive offensive approach.

The biggest advantage is activity. Johnson fights at a high pace and consistently throws volume throughout all three rounds. His cardio allows him to maintain pressure and remain dangerous late in fights.

Another important factor is experience. Johnson has faced a wide variety of styles during his UFC run and has shown a remarkable ability to make adjustments. His recent performances have demonstrated significant growth in both his striking and takedown defense.

Johnson has put together some of the best performances of his career over the past few years, earning victories over quality competition and proving he belongs among the better flyweights in the division.

Final Betting Analysis: Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson

This matchup is defined by wrestling control versus striking volume.

Almabayev is likely the more complete mixed martial artist and possesses the clearest path to dictating the fight. If he consistently lands takedowns and controls position, Johnson could spend much of the fight fighting off his back foot.

However, Johnson is arguably one of the toughest stylistic tests for a wrestler in the division. His cardio, pace, and improving takedown defense make him difficult to control for long periods. If he can keep the fight standing, he has the volume advantage and could steadily pull ahead on the scorecards.

UFC Fight Night: Ikram Aliskerov vs. Brunno Ferreira

Why Bet on Ikram Aliskerov?

Ikram Aliskerov enters this matchup as one of the most technically skilled middleweights outside the division’s elite tier. A former world-class combat sambo competitor, Aliskerov combines powerful striking with high-level wrestling and strong positional control. Despite recent setbacks against elite opposition, he remains one of the most complete fighters in the weight class.

The biggest advantage is overall skill diversity. Aliskerov can comfortably compete in striking exchanges, wrestle offensively, and control opponents on the ground. That versatility gives him multiple ways to adapt if his initial game plan encounters resistance.

Another key factor is technical discipline. Unlike many aggressive middleweights, Aliskerov generally fights with structure and patience. He picks his shots carefully and rarely wastes energy chasing reckless finishes.

Why Bet on Brunno Ferreira?

Brunno Ferreira remains one of the most dangerous finishers in the middleweight division. Nicknamed “The Hulk,” Ferreira has built his reputation on explosive power and an aggressive style that creates fight-ending moments from the opening bell.

The biggest advantage is knockout power. Ferreira carries legitimate one-punch finishing ability and can instantly change the outcome of a fight. Few middleweights are as dangerous during wild exchanges.

Another important factor is finishing instinct. Ferreira rarely fights conservatively and constantly looks for opportunities to end contests. Whether through strikes or submissions, he remains a threat whenever the fight becomes chaotic.

There is also the pressure factor. Ferreira’s aggression forces opponents to remain alert at all times. Even technically superior fighters can struggle when they are constantly being pushed into exchanges.

Final Betting Analysis: Ikram Aliskerov vs. Brunno Ferreira

This matchup is defined by technique versus power.

Ferreira is arguably one of the most dangerous underdogs in the middleweight division because he possesses the type of power that can erase mistakes instantly. If the fight turns into a brawl, his chances increase dramatically.

However, Aliskerov appears to be the more complete mixed martial artist. He holds advantages in wrestling, overall technical skill, and fight management. Those strengths are particularly important against a fighter like Ferreira, whose success often depends on forcing opponents into chaotic exchanges.

The key question is whether Aliskerov can avoid Ferreira’s power while implementing his wrestling and structured striking. If he remains disciplined, he should be able to control large portions of the fight and limit Ferreira’s opportunities.

UFC Fight Night: Abusupiyan Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk

Abus Magomedov enters this matchup as the more naturally equipped middleweight in terms of size, grappling base, and overall versatility. The Russian-German fighter has built his game around a strong clinch, takedown ability, and positional control once the fight hits the mat. When he is able to impose that structure, he becomes a very difficult opponent to deal with over three rounds.

The biggest advantage is grappling control. Magomedov is capable of mixing wrestling entries with clinch pressure, and if he can consistently get Oleksiejczuk off his striking rhythm, he has a strong path to winning rounds through top position and control time.

He is the longer fighter with a size advantage at middleweight, which allows him to manage distance and initiate clinch exchanges from safer positions.

There is also a stylistic benefit when fights slow down. Magomedov tends to be more comfortable in messy, grappling-heavy sequences, while his opponents often struggle when they cannot maintain a clean striking rhythm.

Why Bet on Michal Oleksiejczuk?

Michal Oleksiejczuk is one of the most dangerous pure strikers in the middleweight division. The Polish fighter is built around explosive boxing, fast combinations, and legitimate one-shot knockout power. When he is allowed to settle into his rhythm, he can overwhelm opponents quickly.

The biggest advantage is striking power. Oleksiejczuk has repeatedly shown that he can end fights instantly with clean left hands and combination flurries. His finishing rate makes him a constant threat, especially in early exchanges.

He often starts fast and forces opponents backward, which can disrupt grappling entries if he establishes momentum early.

While he can be controlled if taken down, Oleksiejczuk is extremely dangerous in scrambles and during transitions back to striking.

Final Betting Analysis: Abus Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk

This matchup is a classic striker vs. grappler dynamic, but with a twist: Oleksiejczuk is far more dangerous early, while Magomedov’s best path comes through sustained control.

If Oleksiejczuk starts quickly and keeps Magomedov at range, he absolutely has the power to win by knockout. This makes him a live underdog in any round where the fight stays standing.

However, over a full three-round fight, Magomedov’s ability to mix in grappling and force clinch situations becomes a major factor. Oleksiejczuk has historically struggled most when opponents successfully disrupt his rhythm and force defensive wrestling exchanges.

UFC Fight Night: Farman Hasanov vs. Eric Nolan

Why Bet On Farman Hasanov?

Farman Hasanov enters this matchup as an undefeated prospect with a 5-0 professional record and strong regional momentum. Fighting out of Azerbaijan, he has quickly built a reputation as a durable, well-rounded welterweight with improving finishing ability and steady fight IQ.

The biggest advantage is physical tools and composure. Hasanov is a tall welterweight with solid reach and a patient approach, often controlling fights through measured pressure rather than reckless exchanges. His ability to stay composed while gradually building momentum has helped him remain undefeated so far.

Another key factor is grappling upside. Training out of strong camps and showing a developing wrestling base, Hasanov has the tools to mix takedowns into his game and avoid relying purely on striking exchanges.

Why Bet on Eric Nolan?

Eric Nolan enters this fight as the more experienced opponent, holding an 8-4 professional record and having already shared the cage with higher-level competition. That experience advantage matters significantly against an undefeated but relatively untested prospect.

Nolan has been through multiple types of fights—wins, losses, and competitive decisions—which often translates into better in-fight adjustments when things don’t go according to plan.

Another key factor is durability and toughness. Nolan has shown he can survive difficult exchanges and remain dangerous late, which is especially important against younger fighters who tend to fade if they don’t secure early control.

Nolan is experienced enough to capitalize on mistakes, especially if Hasanov overcommits or slows his pace.

Final Betting Analysis: Farman Hasanov vs. Eric Nolan

This matchup is a classic prospect vs. experience fight.

Hasanov brings size, structure, and undefeated confidence, along with a more controlled and patient style that can win rounds if he dictates the range or secures takedowns. Nolan brings the more tested résumé and the ability to adapt if the fight becomes messy or competitive.

The key question is whether Hasanov can maintain control against a more seasoned opponent over three rounds. If he can impose grappling or manage distance cleanly, he has a strong path to a decision win. However, if Nolan drags the fight into extended striking exchanges and forces him to react under pressure, experience could start to matter late.

UFC Fight Night: Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev vs. Julius Walker

Why Bet on Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev?

Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev enters this matchup as one of the most explosive light heavyweight prospects in the UFC. The undefeated 9-0 fighter has made an immediate impact since arriving in the promotion, finishing all of his UFC opponents and earning a reputation for rapid, fight-ending performances.

The biggest advantage is finishing ability and grappling dominance. Yakhyaev blends sambo-style grappling with aggressive top control and dangerous submission hunting. Both of his UFC wins have come via first-round submission, showing how quickly he can take control once the fight hits the mat.

Another key factor is efficiency. He doesn’t waste time feeling out opponents—he pressures early, closes distance fast, and immediately looks to impose grappling exchanges. That makes him especially dangerous against opponents who need time to settle into rhythm.

Why Bet on Julius Walker?

Julius Walker enters as the more experienced UFC-tested athlete with a 7-2 professional record and a significant physical profile for the division.

The biggest advantage is physical tools and striking range. Walker is the taller fighter with long reach, and when he is able to keep distance, he can use straight punches and kicks to control space and slow down aggressive entries.

Another key factor is wrestling defense and athleticism. Walker has shown strong defensive grappling at times, including a solid takedown defense percentage in past performances, which could be critical in surviving Yakhyaev’s early pressure.

There is also durability and experience against higher-level opposition. Walker has already competed against UFC-level strikers and wrestlers, giving him more exposure to different fight styles than many undefeated prospects.

Final Betting Analysis: Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev vs. Julius Walker

This matchup is a classic prospect vs. tested athlete dynamic.

Yakhyaev is clearly the more dangerous finisher and has shown elite-level ability to overwhelm opponents early through grappling pressure and submission threats. If he gets the fight to the mat quickly, he has a strong chance to end it before Walker can settle.

Walker, however, presents a legitimate physical and stylistic challenge. His size, reach, and striking could make things competitive if he successfully defends early takedown attempts and forces extended stand-up exchanges.

The key question is whether Walker can survive the first wave. Yakhyaev’s early-round aggression has been overwhelming so far, and most of his wins come before opponents can establish rhythm. If Walker can’t neutralize that early pressure, the fight likely ends quickly.

UFC Fight Night: Nursulton Ruziboev vs. Adrey Pulyaev

Nursulton Ruziboev enters this matchup with a massive experience advantage and one of the most unique résumés in the middleweight division. The Uzbek veteran owns a 36-9-2 professional record, with an incredible 33 finishes, including 20 submission victories and 13 knockouts. His ability to win fights in multiple ways makes him one of the more dangerous unranked middleweights on the roster.

The biggest advantage is overall MMA versatility. Ruziboev is not simply a striker or grappler. He can pressure opponents on the feet, threaten submissions, and mix in wrestling when necessary. That well-rounded skill set has helped him compile victories over UFC-caliber opponents such as Dustin Stoltzfus and Brunno Ferreira.

Another key factor is finishing ability. More than 80% of his professional victories have come inside the distance, showing his ability to capitalize when opportunities appear.

Why Bet on Andrey Pulyaev?

Andrey Pulyaev enters as the younger and potentially more athletic fighter. At 28 years old, he is still developing and possesses a style built around technical striking, movement, and range management. His 10-4 professional record includes six knockout victories and several impressive performances on the regional scene.

The biggest advantage is striking volume and reach. Pulyaev lands more significant strikes per minute than Ruziboev and owns a slight reach advantage. When he is able to maintain distance, he can score efficiently with straight punches and combinations.

Ruziboev has accumulated nearly 50 professional fights, while Pulyaev is entering what should be the athletic prime of his career. If he can keep a high pace and avoid grappling exchanges, that athleticism could become a factor in the later rounds.

Final Betting Analysis: Nursulton Ruziboev vs. Andrey Pulyaev

This matchup is defined by experience versus potential.

Pulyaev is a talented striker with good size, solid reach, and room for growth. However, Ruziboev appears to have advantages in overall experience, finishing ability, grappling, and proven success against stronger opposition.

The key question is whether Pulyaev can consistently keep the fight standingand at his preferred range. If he succeeds, he has the technical skills to make this competitive. The problem is that Ruziboev brings multiple threats. He can pressure on the feet, mix in takedowns, and capitalize on grappling exchanges where he owns a significant edge.

UFC Fight Night: Kaan Ofli vs. Javier Reyes

Why Bet on Kaan Ofli?

Kaan Ofli enters this matchup riding the best momentum of his UFC career. After dropping his first two Octagon appearances, the Australian has rebounded with back-to-back victories, including a submission win over Ricardo Ramos and a controversial decision victory against Yi Zha. That recent success has helped him establish himself as a legitimate UFC featherweight rather than simply a former Ultimate Fighter finalist.

The biggest advantage is his well-rounded game. Ofli is comfortable striking, wrestling, and grappling, giving him multiple paths to victory. His aggressive style often allows him to dictate the pace and force opponents into uncomfortable exchanges.

Another key factor is his submission threat. While not known as a knockout artist, Ofli has repeatedly shown he can capitalize on grappling opportunities and finish fights on the mat. His ability to mix takedown attempts with striking pressure makes him difficult to prepare for.

Why Bet on Javier Reyes?

Javier Reyes enters as one of the more intriguing newcomers on the card. The Colombian owns a 23-5 professional record and made an immediate statement in his UFC debut by stopping veteran Douglas Silva de Andrade in the first round.

The biggest advantage is striking power and physical tools. Reyes owns a significant seven-inch reach advantage and has accumulated 11 knockout victories during his professional career. His length and ability to generate power at range could create major problems for Ofli.

Reyes has recorded 19 finishes in 23 wins, showing that he can end fights with both strikes and submissions. Unlike many prospects, he does not rely solely on one area of MMA.

Final Betting Analysis: Kaan Ofli vs. Javier Reyes

This matchup is defined by experience versus upside.

Ofli has the UFC experience advantage and likely the better wrestling game. If he can consistently pressure Reyes and force clinch exchanges, he has a realistic route to winning rounds through control and activity.

However, Reyes appears to hold advantages in reach, power, and overall finishing ability. His UFC debut showed he belongs at this level, and his physical tools stand out immediately when comparing the two fighters.

The key question is whether Ofli can successfully close the distance without absorbing significant damage. Reyes’ seven-inch reach advantage could make that task extremely difficult over fifteen minutes.

UFC Fight Night: Daniil Donchenko vs. Theodor Berggren

Why Bet on Daniil Donchenko?

Daniil Donchenko enters this matchup as one of the UFC’s more promising young welterweight prospects. The Ukrainian owns a 13-2 professional record and is already 2-0 inside the Octagon despite being only 24 years old. His recent victory over veteran Alex Morono showcased both his striking power and his ability to handle UFC-level competition.

The biggest advantage is overall skill development. Donchenko combines strong boxing fundamentals with effective offensive wrestling and dangerous clinch work. Scouts and analysts frequently point to his pressure, knockout power, and ability to mix striking with grappling as the foundation of his success.

While Berggren is making his promotional debut, Donchenko has already won multiple UFC fights and understands the pace, pressure, and spotlight that come with competing at this level.

Why Bet on Theodor Berggren?

Theodor Berggren enters as a dangerous underdog with an 8-3 professional record and a strong finishing rate. The Swedish prospect has won all eight of his professional victories by stoppage, including five knockouts and three submissions.

The biggest advantage is finishing instinct. Berggren has never needed the judges in a victory, demonstrating his ability to capitalize whenever opponents make mistakes. His combination of knockout power and submission skills makes him a threat in multiple areas of the fight.

He enters this UFC Fight Night after winning three of his last four fights, including recent stoppage victories in Cage Warriors and Fight Club Rush.

Berggren accepted this fight as a replacement opponent, which can sometimes create value because opponents spend most of camp preparing for a completely different style.

Final Betting Analysis: Daniil Donchenko vs. Theodor Berggren

This matchup is defined by proven UFC success versus regional finishing ability.

Berggren deserves respect because of his finishing rate and willingness to engage. However, stepping into the UFC on short notice against a highly regarded prospect is a difficult assignment. Donchenko has already shown he can compete successfully at this level and owns advantages in experience, preparation, and overall polish.

The key question is whether Berggren can turn the fight into a chaotic firefight before Donchenko establishes control. If he cannot, Donchenko’s superior boxing, wrestling, and UFC experience should gradually take over the contest.

UFC Fight Night: Bekzat Almakhan vs. Jean Matsumoto

Why Bet on Bekzat Almakhan?

Bekzat Almakhan enters this fight as one of the most dangerous underdogs on the entire Baku card. While his UFC record sits at just 1-2, that number is misleading. His losses came against elite prospects such as Umar Nurmagomedov and Aleksandre Topuria, while his UFC win was a spectacular first-round knockout of Brad Katona, making him the first fighter to finish the former Ultimate Fighter champion.

The biggest advantage is striking power. Almakhan has 10 knockout victories in 12 professional wins and possesses some of the best boxing in the division’s prospect tier. His uppercuts and counters are particularly dangerous, especially when opponents pressure recklessly.

Another key factor is his athleticism and movement. Sherdog describes him as a smooth, mobile striker who throws combinations effectively while mixing in opportunistic wrestling when opponents become overly focused on his striking.

Why Bet on Jean Matsumoto?

Jean Matsumoto enters as the betting favorite and arguably the more complete mixed martial artist. The Brazilian owns a strong 17-2 record and has quietly built one of the most respectable résumés among the UFC’s emerging bantamweights. Many fans view him as a future ranked contender.

The biggest advantage is versatility. Matsumoto has proven he can win with striking, wrestling, and submissions. Unlike Almakhan, who prefers a striking-heavy approach, Matsumoto is comfortable changing tactics throughout a fight.

While Almakhan has faced elite competition, Matsumoto has been winning more frequently and has steadily climbed the UFC ladder. Betting markets, prediction models, and community picks generally lean toward the Brazilian.

Final Betting Analysis: Bekzat Almakhan vs. Jean Matsumoto

This is arguably one of the most intriguing fights on the prelims. Sherdog even described it as a matchup between two bantamweight prospects who possess genuine contender potential.

Almakhan has the more dangerous power and may be the better pure striker. If he lands clean, especially early, he absolutely has the ability to score another highlight-reel finish. Several bettors have identified him as one of the more attractive underdog plays on the card.

However, Matsumoto appears to have more ways to win. He owns advantages in overall MMA versatility, submission threat, pace, and consistency. The Brazilian can compete on the feet while also introducing grappling sequences that could neutralize Almakhan’s biggest weapon.

The key question is whether Matsumoto can avoid the big counters during striking exchanges. If he fights a disciplined, mixed martial arts-based game, he should gradually accumulate points and control minutes.

UFC Fight Night: Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimiento

Why Bet on Tahir Adbullayev?

Tahir Abdullayev enters this matchup as one of the most accomplished prospects to emerge from the Caucasus region in recent years. The Azerbaijani lightweight brings a strong wrestling background, excellent physicality, and a disciplined approach that has allowed him to compile an impressive professional record before reaching the UFC stage.

The biggest advantage is grappling control. Abdullayev excels at closing distance, securing takedowns, and maintaining pressure from top position. His ability to dictate where the fight takes place often forces opponents to spend valuable energy defending rather than attacking.

Another key factor is positional awareness. Unlike many young wrestlers who aggressively chase submissions, Abdullayev typically prioritizes control and smart decision-making. That approach helps him consistently win rounds and avoid unnecessary risks.

Why Bet on Jefferson Nascimento?

Jefferson Nascimento enters as a dangerous Brazilian prospect with a style built around explosiveness and finishing ability. Throughout his career, he has demonstrated the willingness to engage aggressively and look for opportunities to end fights rather than simply outpoint opponents.

The biggest advantage is striking power. Nascimento carries legitimate knockout potential and has shown the ability to capitalize quickly when opponents make defensive mistakes. Against a wrestler-heavy opponent, that power could become a major factor during entries and transitions.

Another important factor is athleticism. Nascimento is a dynamic fighter who moves well and can create problems for opponents who rely too heavily on predictable wrestling attacks.

Like many Brazilian fighters, he is comfortable attacking from multiple grappling positions and remains dangerous even when fighting off his back.

Final Betting Analysis: Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento

This matchup is defined by control versus explosiveness.

Nascimento possesses the more dangerous finishing weapons and could absolutely create problems if he keeps the fight standing. His power and athleticism make him a threat throughout all three rounds.

However, Abdullayev appears to have the more reliable game plan. Wrestling remains one of the strongest foundations in MMA, and fighters with strong control-based styles often perform well against opponents who rely heavily on explosive moments.

Sharaputdin Magomedov vs. Michel Pereira Betting Pick: Sharaputdin Magomedov

Nazim Sadykhov vs. Matheus Camilo Betting Pick: Nazim Sadykhov

Asu Almabayev vs. Charles Johnson Bettting Pick: Asu Almabayev

Ikram Aliskerov vs. Brunno Ferreira Betting Pick: Ikram Aliskerov

Abus Magomedov vs. Michal Oleksiejczuk Betting Pick: Abus Magomedov

Farman Hasanov vs. Eric Nolan Betting Pick: Farman Hasanov

Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev vs. Julius Walker Betting Pick: Abdulrakhman Yakhyaev

Nursulton Ruziboev vs. Andrey Pulyaev Betting Pick: Nursulton Ruziboev

Kaan Ofli vs. Javier Reyes Betting Pick: Javier Reyes

Rafael Fiziev vs. Manuel Torres Betting Pick: Rafael Fiziev

Daniil Donchenko vs. Theodor Berggren Betting Pick: Daniil Donchenko

Bekzat Almakhan vs. Jean Matsumoto Betting Pick: Jean Matsumoto

Tahir Abdullayev vs. Jefferson Nascimento Betting Pick: Tahir Abdullayev

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