UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac Fight Card Odds and Picks

Last Updated on August 31, 2023 12:03 pm by Erwin Noguera

Things have been going strong when it comes to the quality of events that the UFC is putting out, and we keep pushing forward as we travel to the Accor Arena in Paris, France, where an exciting Fight Night features a heavyweight clash in which the winner may be getting a step into the next title fight.

This event will be headlined by the local favorite, Cyril Gane, as he fights the rising contender Serghei Spivac to see if the younger talent will be up to par with a former champion.

The Co-main event has Manion Fiorot clashing against Rose Namajunas, which is a top-notch bout in the Female Flyweight division.

With an exciting but short 11-bout fight card, due to some of the bouts falling lately, we have a split with 5 main event fights and 6 prelims, which will still showcase a lot of talent and keep the fans excited to see some heavy hitters along with action-filled clashes.

You can check all the UFC/MMA bets, the analysis of each fighter, and the final bet you can make in these fights.

UFC Fight Night: Gane vs. Spivac Fight Card Odds and Picks – Info

When: Saturday, September 2nd, at 12:00 pm ET

Moneyline odds:

Ciryl Gane -175 / +136 Serghei Spivac

Manon Fiorot -181 / Rose Namajunas +142

Benoit Saint-Denis +132 / Thiago Moisés -169

Volkan Oezdemir -188 / Bogdan Guskov +145

Yanis Ghemmouri +205 / William Gomis -250

Morgan Charriere -344 / Manolo Zecchini +251

Taylor Lapilus -159 / Caolán Loughran +140

Ange Loosa -188 / Rhys McKee +145

Nora Cornolle -106 / Joselyne Edwards -119

Farid Basharat -344 / Kleydson Rodrigues +248

Zarah Fairn +276 / Jaqueline Cavalcanti -384

Where can I watch it?

UFC Fight Pass

UFC Fight Night: Ciryl Gane vs. Serghei Spivac

Why Bet on Ciryl Gane?

The last time we saw Ciryl Gane in action, the former interim heavyweight champion was facing Jon Jones for the undisputed title vacated by Francis Ngannou.

‘Bon Gamin’ had high hopes of producing a special win, but instead, he looked overwhelmed, and found himself taken down and choked out in just two minutes. Despite Jones’ status as an all-time great, it was an embarrassing loss for Gane, who has not fought since.

Whether he can bounce back from it is anyone’s guess really, but the promotion hasn’t thrown him a softball here.

Why Bet on Serghei Spivac?

Sergey Spivak has developed from a fighter who essentially looked like a tomato can in his octagon debut into one of the more dangerous heavyweights on the roster.

Since losing his debut to Walt Harris, ‘The Polar Bear’ has reeled off eight wins with just two losses.

He’s taken out Tai Tuivasa, Greg Hardy, and Derrick Lewis, now sitting at No. 7 in the division. If he can win here, he could throw his hat in for title contention.

Ciryl Gane vs. Serghei Spivac Betting Analysis:

Ngannou also outworked the Frenchman on the ground, and before that, Gane had largely beaten striking-based foes like Lewis and Jairzinho Rozenstruik.

Spivak isn’t as good a wrestler as Jones, but does he have takedowns as effective as Ngannou? Probably, and if he gets ‘Bon Gamin’ on his back, then the crowd could quickly be silenced.

The native of Moldova is lethal once he gets top position, and can easily finish his opponents from the mount or the back mount should he advance to those spots.

However, he’s much smaller than Gane, and on the feet, this fight is a no-contest. Spivak is simply too plodding to be able to deal with Gane’s combination attacks, and based on his KO losses to Harris and Tom Aspinall, his chin isn’t the best.

This one is a close one to call, then, but Gane will enjoy home turf advantage, and is the naturally bigger man, enjoying a three-inch reach advantage over ‘The Polar Bear’.

Things could go wrong quickly if Spivak can land an early takedown, but the smarter bet seems to be on Gane finding his range and abusing the Moldovan en route to a knockout.

UFC Fight Night: Manon Fiorot vs. Rose Namajunas

Why Bet on Manon Fiorot?

It’s not hard to see why Fiorot is favored considering that she’s heading into UFC Paris on a 10-fight winning streak. The hometown hero hasn’t even tasted defeat since her first-ever professional MMA bout.

After dominating UAE Warriors and EFC, Fiorot has impressed with a 5-0 record in the UFC. She started her run in style with back-to-back TKO victories before following those up with three consecutive unanimous decision wins over Mayra Bueno Silva, Jennifer Maia, and Katlyn Chookagian.

Why Bet on Rose Namajunas?

On the other side, Namajunas can’t be overlooked despite the odds not being on her side this time around.

ESPN’s 2017 MMA Fighter of the Year has produced results like few have in recent years, winning nine of her last 12 fights since joining the UFC.

She’s proven that she can overcome any opponent in several ways during that run, winning four times by decision, thrice by submission, and twice by KO/TKO.

Keeping that in mind, Namajunas is coming off a split-decision loss that saw her lose the UFC Women’s Strawweight Championship to Carla Esparza at UFC 274 — nearly 16 months ago.

Manon Fiorot vs. Rose Namajunas Betting Analysis:

While Namajunas is the more accomplished fighter, we are taking Fiorot to win in her home country.

It’s just hard to like Namajunas when she’s been away for over a year and has never competed as a flyweight. Expect Fiorot to feed off to crowd’s support, resulting in a win, but do NOT expect Namajunas to let her do it easily.

UFC Fight Night: Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Thiago Moisés

Why Bet on Benoit Saint-Denis?

Saint-Denis is among the many poor souls who used a short-notice opportunity up a weight class to get their foot in the door.

After getting smacked around by Elizeu Zaleski, Saint-Denis dropped to Lightweight and ripped off three straight finishes, showcasing powerful kickboxing, top-tier jiu-jitsu, and a relentless pace.

Why Bet on Thiago Moisés?

At 28 years of age, Moises has already fought quite a handful of top talent. The Brazilian is good everywhere, but the mat is where he shines, having finished eight opponents via submission.

Benoit Saint-Denis vs. Thiago Moisés Betting Analysis:

This bout comes down to takedown defense. Both men are skilled everywhere, but the biggest difference-maker that jumps off the page is kickboxing.

Saint-Denis is just a much more aggressive, punishing striker. He hurts people fairly often, whereas striking is often a means to an end for Moises.

The question is whether Moises can drag him to the floor and impose his excellent top game.

Given that the defensive wrestling of Saint-Denis has never really been tested, all we can judge him by is his wrestling offense. In that regard, Saint-Denis is technical, and physical, and can keep wrestling without slowing down.

We are expecting his defense to help him earn the victory.

UFC Fight Night: Volkan Oezdemir vs. Bogdan Guskov

Why Bet on Volkan Oezdemir?

Oezdemir is a pretty well-known quality at this point. He’s got serious knockout power, a solid chin, and wrestling that is mostly good enough.

However, he will slow down a bit in long fights, and top-of-the-food-chain wrestlers have certainly succeeded in overpowering his takedown defense.

Why Bet on Bogdan Guskov?

Guskov is looking to debut straight into the Top 10! The Uzbek knockout artist is known for finishing fights violently and quickly.

He’s got an absolutely brutal right hand that can end fights in an instant, and he’s got some sneaky kickboxing combinations as well.

Volkan Oezdemir vs. Bogdan Guskov Betting Analysis:

Historically, blitzing Oezdemir with power is not the way to defeat “No Time.” It worked for Jiri Prochazka, but well, “BJP” is special.

He’s durable and composed in the pocket, able to back off most aggressive punchers with his formidable knockout power.

Despite having been knocked out once previously, the 30-year-old Guskov still fights with the absurd confidence of an undefeated teenager.

All the technical signs argue that Oezdemir should win this. His combinations are better, his defense is tighter, and his low kicks could break apart Guskov’s flat-footed stance.

UFC Fight Night: William Gomis vs. Yanis Ghemmouri

Why Bet on William Gomis?

Gomis is an MMA Factory product that shows their usual game plan: rangy kickboxing, good footwork, and solid takedown defense.

Why Bet on Yanis Ghemmouri?

Ghemmouri cut his teeth in BRAVE CF and UAE Warriors, mostly as a Featherweight. He’s something of a generalist, having finished opposition via knockout and submission at a fairly even clip.

William Gomis vs. Yanis Ghemmouri Betting Analysis:

This was supposed to be Ghemmouri’s first appearance at 135 pounds since 2021, which adds some intrigue here. He’s no longer going to be the bigger man here, which will impede his efforts to land and secure takedowns.

He’ll still be fighting a striker, but Gomis is more of a kicker compared to Loughran and his combination punching.

Despite the change in opponent, our prediction of how the fight will play out remains unmoved. Gomis is the superior striker, and he’s shown the defensive wrestling to keep this one in his wheelhouse, leading to an unsuccessful debut for his fellow Frenchman.

UFC Fight Night: Morgan Charriere vs. Manolo Zecchini

Why Bet on Morgan Charriere?

After a long stretch of inconsistent success, Morgan Charriere (18-9-1) now sits at 6-2 in his last eight. He last saw action in July 2023, when he stopped Diego Silva with punches late in the third.

Why Bet on Manolo Zecchini?

Manolo Zecchini (11-3) opened his professional career with five first-round finishes before dropping three of his next seven.

He enters the cage this Saturday on the heels of two straight wins, including a vicious knee knockout in his last effort. Nine of his 10 professional finishes have come by knockout.

Morgan Charriere vs. Manolo Zecchini Betting Analysis:

This boils down to whether Charriere can keep his foot on the gas. ‘The Last Pirate’ has a history of narrow defeats and has been worryingly passive in recent efforts, perhaps as a result of fading down the stretch before.

If his head’s on straight, it’s his fight to lose; as fearsome as Zecchini’s hands are, the latter’s tendency to drop his left hand when throwing his right is just begging for Charriere to slam home a fight-ending counter.

Charriere is more experienced, takes a better shot, and has the skill set to exploit Zecchini’s most prominent weakness. So long as he lets his hands go, he’ll floor Zecchini before long.

UFC Fight Night: Taylor Lapidus vs. Caolán Loughran

Why Bet on Taylor Lapilus?

Taylor Lapilus (18-3) went 3-1 in the Octagon, notably beating Yuta Sasaki and Leandro Issa, but did not get his contract renewed. He quickly proved the move ill-advised by winning eight of his next nine and claiming titles in both TKO and Ares FC.

This marks his first UFC appearance in seven years.

Why Bet on Caolán Loughran?

After an 8-2 amateur run saw him rack up six knockout wins, Team Kaobon London’s Caolan Loughran (8-0) turned professional in 2019. Four fights later, he found his way to Cage Warriors, stopping all four of his opponents and winning the Bantamweight title along the way.

He boasts two submission wins alongside his five professional knockouts.

Taylor Lapidus vs. Caolán Loughran Betting Analysis:

Both of these men were originally in different matchups — Lapilus was slated to meet Tajik slugger Muin Gafurov, while Loughran had a date with sharpshooter Yanis Ghemmouri.

Lapilus figures to have the easier transition, as Loughran is roughly similar to Gafurov, while Lapilus is more skilled, experienced, and mobile than Ghemmouri.

That mobility looks to be the deciding factor here. Loughran excels at close range, and while he would have had plenty of opportunities to get inside on the flat-footed Ghemmouri, Lapilus will be much more difficult to hunt down.

Loughran needs to hit consistent takedowns and stay in Lapilus’ face, and while he might have the skills and physicality to do so, I have more faith in Lapilus’ ability to chip him down from range.

UFC Fight Night: Ange Loosa vs. Rhys McKee

Why Bet on Ange Loosa?

Ange Loosa (9-3) fell short in a firefight with Jack Della Maddalena on Contender Series, then found himself similarly outgunned by Mounir Lazzez in his short-notice UFC debut. Then came AJ Fletcher, whom Loosa punished down the stretch to claim his first Octagon win.

This marks his first fight in more than one year.

Why Bet on Rhys McKee?

Rhys McKee (13-4-1) — a former BAMMA champion — washed out of UFC after back-to-back losses against Khamzat Chimaev and Alex Morono.

Returning to Cage Warriors proved just what he needed, as “Skeletor” racked up three consecutive knockouts while winning and defending its Welterweight title.

All of his pro wins have come inside the distance, 10 of them via knockout.

Ange Loosa vs. Rhys McKee Betting Analysis:

As nice as it is to see the consistently entertaining McKee back on the big stage, we don’t like his chances here. Loosa has the speed, technique, and power to beat up “Skeletor” in the sort of fast-paced firefight the latter prefers.

And even though McKee boasts major height and reach advantages, it doesn’t seem like he’s gotten any better at using them. To make matters worse for him, Loosa is willing to wrestle if needed, which he has always struggled with.

While McKee might be too durable for Loosa to put away, ‘The Last Ninja’s’ superior firepower should carry him to a comfortable win.

UFC Fight Night: Nora Cornolle vs. Joselyne Edwards

Why Bet on Nora Cornolle?

France’s Nora Cornolle (6-1) stands unbeaten since losing her professional debut to fellow UFC debutant, Jacqueline Cavalcanti, in 2021. Her 2023 campaign already features three finishes in two months.

She’s knocked out five professional foes and submitted one other.

Why Bet on Joselyne Edwards?

Joselyne Edwards (13-4) signed with the world’s largest mixed martial arts (MMA) promotion two years after falling short in a bid for Legacy Fighting Alliance (LFA) gold.

She’s won three straight since a 1-2 Octagon start, though she’s missed weight twice in a row.

Nora Cornolle vs. Joselyne Edwards Betting Analysis:

Cornolle has looked decent in her young MMA career, but she also hasn’t been tested. Just one of her opponents had more than four professional wins and she was struggling with 4-2 Hassna Gaber last time out before hitting her with a teep that caused a leg injury.

For all of Edwards’ weaknesses, she’s much more experienced and throws a ton of volume, which seems like a stylistic issue for Cornolle’s jab-and-clinch offense.

What decides this fight is whether Cornolle can consistently land jabs and neutralize Edwards against the fence without being outworked.

With how hittable Cornolle looked against Gaber, we like Edwards to land enough arm punches to eke out her third straight split decision.

UFC Fight Night: Farid Basharat vs. Kleydson Rodrigues

Why Bet on Farid Basharat?

A rout of Allan Begosso on Contender Series led Farid Basharat (10-0) to join brother Javid in the Octagon.

His debut pitted him against Da’Mon Blackshear, who pushed ‘Ferocious’ to the limit but ultimately became his tenth professional victim.

Five of his six professional stoppages have come by rear-naked choke.

Why Bet on Kleydson Rodrigues?

Kleydson Rodrigues (8-2) punched his UFC ticket by dominating late replacement, Santo Curatolo, in his own Contender Series bid.

A shaky Octagon tenure has seen him drop a controversial decision to C.J. Vergara, miss weight in a first-round technical knockout of Shannon Ross, and then miss weight again to cancel a planned clash with Tatsuro Taira.

Farid Basharat vs. Kleydson Rodrigues Betting Analysis:

Rodrigues looked good on the Contender Series and got robbed against Vergara. This just doesn’t seem like a particularly friendly matchup for him.

On top of being ostensibly the larger man, Basharat can match ‘KR’s’ dynamism and likely has superior striking fundamentals.

Though Basharat looked a bit shaky against Blackshear, that win’s aged extremely well and Rodrigues doesn’t present those sorts of physical or stylistic issues.

In the end, Basharat’s cleaner strikes carry him to a competitive — but clear — decision win.

UFC Fight Night: Zarah Fairn vs. Jaqueline Cavalcanti

Why Bet on Zarah Fairn?

Zarah Fairn (6-5) joined UFC on the heels of a first-round knockout of Izabela Badurek. In the nearly six years since that victory, “Infinite” has lost three UFC bouts, withdrawn from two, and seen a third fall apart when Fairn came in 11 pounds over the Bantamweight limit.

Why Bet on Jaqueline Cavalcanti?

Cavalcanti’s first professional defeat came in her third professional fight, a split decision loss to Martina Jindrova in the Professional Fighters League (PFL). She now enters the Octagon amid a three-fight win streak that most recently saw her beat Melissa Croden for Legacy Fighting Alliance (LFA) gold.

She steps in for the injured Hailey Cowan on two weeks’ notice.

Zarah Fairn vs. Jaqueline Cavalcanti Betting Analysis:

It’s hard to see this going well for Fairn either before or during the fight. This woman once weighed in at 147 pounds for a bout originally booked at 135 and got out-struck by Josiane Nunes, who only knows how to throw an overhand left.

Cavalcanti is by far the sharper striker and should have little issue piecing up Fairn for 15 minutes.

Unless the short notice kills Cavalcanti’s gas tank, there’s not much Fairn can do to stop her from piling up one-two combinations and low kicks as well. In the end, the debutant cruises to victory in her first UFC fight.