UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen Betting Odds and Fight Card Picks

Last Updated on April 14, 2023 2:35 pm by Erwin Noguera

We just had one exciting Numbered event, and now the UFC Fight Night is taking us to the T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri, which is the location chosen to host a 14 bouts fight card headlined by an excellent Featherweight clash that could set the tone for the future of the division.

The Main event will see the former champion, Max Holloway, who tries to take down a strong challenger in Arnold Allen to get another shot at gold after things get cleared out with the Interim Belt.

The co-main event is the clash between the Veteran fighter, Edson Barboza, who will be facing off against Billy Quarantillo in the Featherweight Division.

The main card will also feature 4 other fights that will showcase UFC Veterans facing off against new blood looking to make their way to the top.

We will enjoy a lot of fast-paced action, as 10 out of 13 fights are either at or under the 155 divisions; with the other 3 being on Light Heavyweight.

This event will reward those who don’t Blink and it includes a total of 13 fights, with 6 on the main card and 7 on the prelims.

You can check all the UFC/MMA bets, the analysis of each fighter, and the final bet you can make in this fight.

UFC Fight Night: Holloway vs. Allen Betting Odds and Fight Card Picks – Info

When:

Saturday, April 15th, at 5:30 pm ET at T-Mobile Center in Kansas City, Missouri

Moneyline odds:

Max Holloway -181 vs. Arnold Allen +141

Edson Barboza +136 vs. Billy Quarantillo -175

Dustin Jacoby -166 vs. Azamat Murzakanov +131

Ion Cutelaba -136 vs. Tanner Boser +107

Pedro Munhoz +167 vs. Chris Gutierrez -217

Clay Guida +200 vs. Rafa García -263

TJ Brown +155 vs. Bill Algeo -200

Brandon Royval +166 vs. Matheus Nicolau -217

Ed Herman +170 vs. Zak Cummings -222

Piera Rodriguez +102 vs. Gillian Robertson -129

Lando Vannata +102 / Daniel Zellhuber -129

Bruna Brasil -156 / Denise Gomes +122

Gaston Bolaños -200 / Aaron Phillips +155

Joselyne Edwards +110 / Lucie Pudilová -140

Where can I watch it?

UFC Fight Pass

UFC Fight Night: Max Holloway vs. Arnold Allen

Why Bet on Max Holloway?

Holloway spent nearly half a decade at the top of the featherweight division but was dethroned in a trilogy against Alexander Volkanovski in which he lost all three matches.

Although he’s still just 31, Holloway (23-7) has been in the UFC for 11 years and established himself as one of the most popular fighters in the promotion’s history.

He remains a fan favorite because of his fearless and all-action fighting style, along with his jocular demeanor outside of the Octagon.

Why Bet on Arnold Allen?

Allen has slowly climbed the UFC rankings behind a 10-fight win streak since he entered the promotion, but could enter the title picture in a close future.

Allen (19-1) is practically assured of his first title shot should he defeat Holloway.

The eight-year UFC veteran has shown a polished and versatile skill set ever since he joined the promotion, but his climb has been slowed by bouts of inactivity and a relatively meager slate of opponents.

Max Holloway vs. Arnold Allen Final Betting Analysis:

The one thing to keep in mind is that even if things do not look too good for Holloway as long as Volkanovski is at the helm of the division, he is still a force to be reckoned with.

He is the favorite in this match for a reason, as he has battered any other contender that he has met during the time he had been in that back-and-forth with Volkanovski.

The last times that he met contenders close to the top, he battered Calvin Kattar making him look like an amateur, and he put the hurt on the now interim champion Jair Rodriguez.

We are backing up Holloway in this match, and we think that Allen will be through a tough night in the Octagon when they clash.

UFC Fight Night: Edson Barboza vs. Billy Quarantillo

Why Bet on Edson Barboza?

Barboza, who still has one of the best resumes in the UFC, has dropped his last 2 fights and is 2-5 in his last 7.

He’s split his two wins between knockout and decision while his losses include 2 unanimous decisions, 2 split decisions, and 2 knockouts.

He has excellent kicks, strikes with speed and power, and has an athletic and electric style. He is, even at 37, incredibly fast and dangerous, and ramps up his power as the fight goes on.

His striking, at one time, was one of the most feared skill sets in the lightweight division. The criticism of Barboza has been the same for his whole career: grappling.

Why Bet on Billy Quarantillo?

The 34-year-old Billy Quarantillo is 5-2 in the UFC but is only 3-2 in his last 5.

All three of his wins have come via knockout, in late round two and round three, while both of his losses were via unanimous decision.

Quarantillo, or “Billy Q,” is one of the most gritty fighters on the roster. He has excellent cardio, one hell of a chin, and a will to push through adversity like few others.

In each of his fights, Quarantillo shows that he can not only withstand punishment but thrive despite it.

Edson Barboza vs. Billy Quarantillo Final Betting Analysis:

Quarantillo has to often overcome the lack of natural gifts in the cage and rely on toughness, cardio, and pressure to win fights.

That is not to say he is without skill. Bill Q has a black belt, is good on the ground on top and from his back, and can pile up damage on the feet through relentless volume.

Barboza has the striking speed and variety that should allow him to piece Quarantillo up for 15 minutes given the predictable movement and pressure he gives.

However, the Mitchell fight did happen and it showed a less-than-skilled striker who was a step slow land cleanly, and even drop Barboza.

That leads many to believe Billy Q can have similar success on the feet. Moreover, Mitchell landed 4 takedowns and controlled Barboza for over 11 minutes.

While Billy Q is not the wrestler that Mitchell is, Barboza seemed exhausted by the end of his previous fight and the first is more than capable of exhausting opponents through his grappling.

Quarantillo is insanely tough so Barboza will be unlikely to get the finish. And Billy Q will likely look to grind out a decision win to negate the flashy attacks, resulting in a clinch and wrestle-heavy fight that lends itself to a decision as well.

UFC Fight Night: Dustin Jacoby vs. Azamat Murzakanov

Why Bet on Dustin Jacoby?

Dustin “The Henyak” Jacoby, 35, has been nearly perfect in the UFC following a Dana White’s Contender Series win in 2020. Since then, Jacoby has tallied up an impressive record of 6-1-1.

He dropped his first fight last time out to the resurging Rountree via split decision. His wins are split evenly between 3 knockouts and 3 decisions.

While his UFC record was perfect before his split draws against Cutelaba, Jacoby showed significant improvement after that fight. His kickboxing, which has always been technical and varied, appeared to level up.

Even in his split decision loss last time out, Jacoby’s offense looked polished and he landed effectively.

Why Bet on Azamat Murzakanov?

Azamat “The Professional” Murzakanov, 36, joined the UFC via DWCS late in his career but has made the most of his stint thus far. He is 2-0 with back to back 3rd round finishes.

Murzakanov has a perfect record and back-to-back finishes. On paper he seems like a killer in the cage, but, watching him fight, I’m not sold.

However, defensively, he is slow and hittable. He tends to walk straight forward with a wide base and look for hooks that leave him exposed to straight shots up the middle.

His striking is powerful but limited. He tends to throw a looping left hook and follow it with a straight right or an overhand right, rinse, and repeat.

His tendency to move forward through fire allows him to pin opponents against the cage where his hooks are more effective and he can look to land spinning or leaping attacks as well.

Dustin Jacoby vs. Azamat Murzakanov Final Betting Analysis:

This fight should answer a lot of questions about both men, namely, how does Jacoby fare against a dangerous striker- he lost against the only one he’s faced- and how does Murzakanov fare against a fighter that can match his athleticism and doesn’t have a clear Achilles heel.

Murzakanov is riding back-to-back highlight knockouts that have likely impacted the line. However, Jacoby’s tendency to let his opponents stick around for 15 minutes is something to be worried about, as Azamat is dangerous.

Still, we like Jacoby here. Outside of a 3rd flash finish in a row for Murzakanov, we don’t see him keeping pace with the more experienced and technical kickboxer.

UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Tanner Boser

Why Bet on Ion Cutelaba?

Cutelaba is a fairly infuriating fighter. For literal years now, we’ve thought that he had the athleticism, punching power, and wrestling skill to pick up decent wins at 205 lbs.

His complete lack of defense and ability to maintain a pace, however, routinely offset those gifts, which is tough.

Why Bet on Tanner Boser?

Boser made his name by being a small Heavyweight and capitalizing on speed and conditioning against fatter, sloppier opposition.

That works a lot better against Raphael Pessoa than Ciryl Gane, and since hitting a wall in his last four bouts, Boser has decided to try his hand at Light Heavyweight.

Based on Instagram, he looks to be in tremendous shape for the occasion, which is a very positive sign.

Ion Cutelaba vs. Tanner Boser Final Betting Analysis:

Boser’s takedown defense was never great at Heavyweight, and there are arguments for it being better or worse at Light Heavyweight.

After all, Boser will face less of a size advantage, but Cutelaba is good at wrestling, unlike most Heavyweights.

If Cutelaba gains top position, and he probably will early on, he’s prone to unleashing hell with his ground strikes.

Simultaneously, his gas tank remains horrid, and Boser’s strikes should be even more impactful down a weight class.

UFC Fight Night: Pedro Munhoz vs. Chris Gutierrez

Why Bet on Pedro Munhoz?

While Edgar represented Gutierrez’s first win over a former elite, his next opponent, Pedro Munhoz may be his toughest test yet.

Munhoz, who is currently ranked #9 in the world at 135lbs, is Gutierrez’s ticket to the top 10.

The Brazilian has a plethora of experience against the world’s best including Sean O’Malley, Dominick Cruz, Jose Aldo, Frankie Edgar, Aljamain Sterling, Cody Garbrandt, and Rob Font, the latter two whom he beat.

Why Bet on Chris Gutierrez?

Chris Gutierrez is at an all-time career high for himself, coming off of a massive win over Frankie Edgar in November. Before retiring the legend he won 7 of his last 8, the only blemish being a draw to Cody Durden.

Chris Gutierrez is a specialist striker, with clean, precise movement and some of the best kicks in the UFC.

He is extremely technical and elusive, and although he does not carry major KO power in his hands, his ability to explode into a sniper-like knee, spinning back fist, or kick allows him to finish his opponent fairly often and very definitively.

Pedro Munhoz vs. Chris Gutierrez Final Betting Analysis:

On paper, Munhoz has the grappling advantage, but he tends to go there opportunistically and not actively hunt for takedowns.

If Guttierez slips a punch and stuffs his distance, Munhoz may snap onto his neck, or if Munhoz connects and wobbles Gutierrez, that is when he may take positional control and make use of his BJJ credentials.

The low kicks will be a hurdle for Gutierrez to overcome, but if he can, his ability to move and get Munhoz chasing him will provide him the openings he needs to land the more significant shots.

We don’t think that Gutierrez necessarily stops Munhoz, but he could very easily hurt him in big moments throughout the fight and sway the judges even if he is out landed.

UFC Fight Night: Clay Guida vs. Rafa García

Why Bet on Clay Guida?

Clay “The Carpenter” Guida, 41, is still going as only he can frantically go in the UFC. Guida has 60 professional mixed martial arts fights and has an 18-16 UFC record.

During his tenure with the UFC, Guida has 7 wins by finish and has finished himself 9 times.

Clay, despite his age, is a pressure and cardio machine in the cage. He keeps a high volume of strikes, that are more pitter-patter than actually damaging, while he looks to press forward against the cage.

He can eat heavy counterstrikes and keep walking forward to keep up his pressure.

Why Bet on Rafa García?

Rafa “Gifted” Garcia, 28, is 14-3 professionally and 3-3 in the UFC. In the Ultimate Fighting Championship, all but one of his fights have gone the distance.

Garcia is an enigma in the cage. Despite losing a unanimous decision against Klose, he impressed as a massive underdog.

Rafa threw over 200 strike attempts defended 2 takedowns and landed some heavy blows.

Then, he came into his next fight as a sizable favorite and dropped a unanimous decision with a less-than-stellar performance. Yes, that decision loss was controversial; but, being the nearly 3:1 favorite that he was, the fight shouldn’t have been that close.

Clay Guida vs. Rafa García Final Betting Analysis:

Both fighters like to create chaos in the cage, weather it, and capitalize on an opponent’s mistake.

The key difference between them is Guida gets stronger as the fight goes on while Garcia is dangerous early but can gas late. In this kind of fan-friendly but volatile fight, you have to find plus money to bet.

We like Garcia to win in rounds 1 or 2. Both men should come out with high-pressure attacks and little regard for their defense.

Garcia is a much more explosive and dangerous fighter; so, as long as he has the energy, he should have the advantage. Plus, 4 of the last 5 times that Guida has been finished, he was finished in the 1st round.

UFC Fight Night: TJ Brown vs. Bill Algeo

Why Bet on TJ Brown?

T.J. Brown (17-9) rebounded from a winless (0-2) UFC start by winning two straight over Kai Kamaka III and Charles Rosa.

Though he failed to get past Shayilan Nuerdanbueke, he bounced back six months later with a bonus-winning arm triangle finish of Erik Silva.

That win marked his tenth via submission and fourteenth inside the distance.

Why Bet on Bill Algeo?

An upset decision over Joanderson Brito and subsequent beatdown of Herbert Burns — the latter of which earned Bill Algeo (16-7) his second post-fight bonus — pushed “Senor Perfecto’s” UFC record back over .500.

It wasn’t to last, as his next appearance saw him drop a short-notice split decision to Andre Fili in Sept. 2022.

TJ Brown vs. Bill Algeo Final Betting Analysis:

That win over Silva was a reminder of what Brown can do when he’s firing on all cylinders.

The talent and skills are there, just held back by suspect durability and questionable decision-making. If everything goes right for him, his wrestling and boxing are enough to carry him past Algeo’s offbeat offense.

While Algeo is easy to hit and take down, though, he’s also very adept at getting right back into the fight.

Brown is always on the brink of disaster, so someone like Algeo who’s difficult to neutralize and always in a position to end the fight presents a unique challenge.

Expect TJ to build up an early lead with takedowns and clean right hands before inevitably getting clipped.

UFC Fight Night: Brandon Royval vs. Matheus Nicolau

Why Bet on Brandon Royval?

Brandon Royval’s (14-6) red-hot Octagon start gave way to two straight losses, one a shoulder injury against Brandon Moreno and the other a submission defeat courtesy of Alexandre Pantoja.

He got back on track by edging out Rogerio Bontorin in a rare trip to the judges, then choked out Matt Schnell to secure his third “Fight of the Night” bonus in six appearances.

Nine of his 12 professional finishes have come by submission.

Why Bet on Matheus Nicolau?

Matheus Nicolau (19-2-1) racked up a perfect (3-0) UFC record before leaving the promotion on the heels of a knockout loss to Dustin Ortiz.

He ultimately returned more than two years later and hit the ground running, claiming victory in his next four appearances to claim a spot in the Flyweight Top 5.

Brandon Royval vs. Matheus Nicolau Final Betting Analysis:

He may not be the most exciting Flyweight in the game, but Nicolau strikes as a natural foil to Royval.

“Raw Dawg” thrives in chaos, using relentless pressure and high-risk techniques to provoke opponents into overextending and leaving themselves vulnerable to submissions.

Unfortunately for him, Nicolau is extraordinarily patient and composed; neither the power of Manel Kape nor the nonstop takedown onslaught of Tim Elliott were enough to throw him off his game.

Considering that Nicolau is the heavier puncher and a sufficiently stout wrestler to keep it standing, that’s bad news for Royval.

Expect Nicolau to hold his own in a firefight until Royval gets a bit too greedy and eats a counter down the pipe.

UFC Fight Night: Ed Herman vs. Zak Cummings

Why Bet on Ed Herman?

A successful UFC Light Heavyweight debut saw Ed Herman (27-15) stop Tim Boetsch with a bonus-winning knee, only to fall short in his next three bouts.

That slump gave way to a three-fight winning streak, which ended in August 2021 at the hands of Alonzo Menifield.

Why Bet on Zak Cummings?

Former The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) 18 competitor, Zak Cummings (24-7), quietly assembled a 6-2 UFC Welterweight record before a narrow loss to Michel Prazeres sent him back to 185 pounds.

The move appeared to work out, as he won three of his next four and claimed upset decisions over Trevin Giles and Alessio Di Chirico along the way.

He fights for the first time in nearly 32 months and makes his first Light Heavyweight appearance in more than one decade.

Ed Herman vs. Zak Cummings Final Betting Analysis:

Cummings’ size, sneaky power, and potent submissions made him a headache for most at 170 and 185 pounds.

Things don’t figure to go quite as smoothly at 205, where the takedowns and knockdowns he needs to compensate for his low output will be harder to come by.

Luckily for him, Herman is another undersized veteran who lacks the footwork to out-maneuver Cummings and the wrestling to hold him down.

Ed could still out-work Cummings in a gritty, slow-paced striking battle, but he is the younger man and has much less mileage on him, which suggests that he’ll hold up better down the stretch.

We firmly think that Cummings’ left-hand does enough damage to secure a decision.

UFC Fight Night: Piera Rodriguez vs. Gillian Robertson

Why Bet on Piera Rodriguez?

Gillian Robertson (11-7) went from winning six of her first eight UFC bouts to losing two straight against Taila Santos and Miranda Maverick.

“The Savage” has since won two of three, a loss to J.J. Aldrich sandwiched between submission wins over Mariya Agapova and Priscila Cachoeira.

This will be her first Strawweight appearance since 2017.

Why Bet on Gillian Robertson?

Piera Rodriguez (9-0) followed her Legacy Fighting Alliance (LFA) title-winning stoppage of Svetlana Gotsyk by out-classing Valesca Machado on Contender Series to earn a UFC contract.

She’s made the most of the opportunity with two straight wins, the most recent of which saw her survive a late surge to beat Sam Hughes by a decision.

All five of her professional stoppages have come via (technical) knockout.

Piera Rodriguez vs. Gillian Robertson Final Betting Analysis:

We are generally skeptical when veterans go down in weight, but the fact that Robertson’s doing so after a win makes us think she and Din Thomas know what they’re doing.

That’s bad news for Rodriguez, because even though a better striker than Robertson, “La Fiera” has leaned on her wrestling of late and appeared to fade down in the third against Hughes.

Against a dedicated takedown artist like Robertson — who for once won’t have to compensate for a lack of size — that spells trouble.

In the end, Robertson steadily overpowers Rodriguez before locking up her signature rear-naked choke in the home stretch.

UFC Fight Night: Lando Vannata vs. Daniel Zellhuber

Why Bet on Lando Vannata?

The debut war for Lando Vannata (12-6-2) with Tony Ferguson and the subsequent wheel kick knockout of John Makdessi seemingly put him on the fast track to stardom, only for him to go winless in his next four.

Dropping to 145 pounds produced a 3-3 run that most recently saw him choked out by Charles Jourdain in April 2022.

Why Bet on Daniel Zellhuber?

Daniel Zellhuber (12-1) survived a vicious opening round to hand Lucas Almeida his first professional defeat and claim a UFC contract on Contender Series.

Nearly a year later, he debuted against Trey Ogden, who capitalized on Zellhuber’s uncharacteristic lethargy to outwork him en route to a unanimous decision win.

His nine professional finishes include seven via knockout.

Lando Vannata vs. Daniel Zellhuber Final Betting Analysis:

We genuinely believe Zellhuber is a far better fighter than he showed against Ogden.

Flawed, certainly, but gifted and still young enough to turn the corner. While this may just be optimism talking or an attempt to save face after hyping him up in New Blood, we think he’s got what it takes to win this.

So long as he lets his hands go, his length and durability present real issues for the eternally inconsistent Vannata. If that is the case, he pieces up Vannata for his first Octagon victory.

UFC Fight Night: Bruna Brasil vs. Denise Gomes

Why Bet on Bruna Brasil?

Bruna Brasil (8-2-1) defied the odds to hand Yasmin Castanho her first-ever defeat in the former’s Legacy Fighting Alliance (LFA) debut.

This set up a shot on the Contender Series, where she stopped Marnic Mann via head kick to extend her winning streak to seven and claim a UFC contract.

Her five professional stoppages are split 3/2 between knockouts and submissions.

Why Bet on Denise Gomes?

A comeback knockout of Milana Dudieva earned Denise Gomes (6-2) her first Invicta victory, after which she punched her ticket to the big show by beating Rayanne dos Santos on the Contender Series.

Despite some solid stretches of back control, she proved unable to overcome Loma Lookboonmee on a three-week turnaround, resulting in her first loss since 2017.

Bruna Brasil vs. Denise Gomes Final Betting Analysis:

The range is a deciding factor here. Brasil has Gomes badly outclassed at a distance; her deep-kicking arsenal and heavy counters make the most of her height and reach advantages.

It’s a different story in close, where Gomes’ aggression and grappling skills serve as great equalizers.

The uglier it gets and the more Gomes can smother Brasil’s kicks by either catching them or retaliating with punches, the better it’ll go for “Dee.”

Bruna just seems a bit too sharp for that, though, especially since she’s got takedown chops of her own to exploit Gomes’ poor defensive wrestling if things get too hairy on the feet.

“The Special One” tears up Gomes’ legs, plugs her with counter punches, and racks up top control to claim a decisive win.

UFC Fight Night: Gaston Bolaños vs. Aaron Phillips

Why Bet on Gaston Bolaños?

A highly successful Nak Muay and kickboxer, Gaston Bolanos (6-3) has spent the entirety of his mixed martial arts (MMA) career in the Bellator cage.

He last saw action in April 2022, knocking out Daniel Carey to end a two-year layoff and avenge one of his three defeats.

All six of his MMA wins have come by knockout.

Why Bet on Aaron Phillips?

Nearly six years after washing out of the Octagon on an 0-2 skid, Aaron Phillips (12-4) returned in July 2020 to face the red-hot Jack Shore.

Victory once again proved elusive, as he succumbed to “Tank’s” rear naked choke midway through the second round.

He fights for the first time in 33 months.

Gaston Bolaños vs. Aaron Phillips Final Betting Analysis:

Phillips failed to make huge strides between his first and second UFC stints, and though you could attribute a lot of that to the fact that he fought a stylistic nightmare in Jack Shore, it doesn’t bode well for his chances here.

Like a monkey paw, UFC finally gave Phillips a willing striker, but it will tear him apart with blistering boxing combos in the pocket.

UFC Fight Night: Joselyne Edwards vs. Lucie Pudilová

Why Bet on Joselyne Edwards?

More than two years after unsuccessfully battling Sarah Alpar for LFA gold, Joselyne Edwards (12-4) claimed her first UFC victory with a decision over Wu Yanan.

Though she went on to lose her next two, she enters the cage this Saturday on a two-fight win streak, both of which came in the span of fewer than two months.

She has knocked out five professional foes and submitted three others.

Why Bet on Lucie Pudilová?

After leaving the world’s largest fight promotion in an 0-4 freefall, Lucie Pudilova (14-7) rebuilt herself with a 5-1 OKTAGON run.

She ultimately made her UFC return in August 2022, pounding out Wu Yanan for her first promotional victory since 2018.

Joselyne Edwards vs. Lucie Pudilová Final Betting Analysis:

This one comes down to whether Pudilova can keep her foot on the gas. She proved against Irene Aldana that she can throw heat for three rounds and showed off some improved takedown skills last time out that Edwards figures to struggle with.

Despite her pedigree of violence, though, she was unusually passive for long stretches of the Wu fight, which won’t serve her well against Edwards’ high-volume pitter-pat style.

Edwards struggled with the incredibly limited Ramona Pascual and has historically proven vulnerable to determined takedown artists, suggesting Pudilova can hold her own on the feet and take it to the mat as necessary.