UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva Fight Card Odds and Picks

Last Updated on July 13, 2023 3:22 pm by Erwin Noguera

After what could arguably be the best UFC event of the year so far, we go back from numbered events to our regular fight night, and the UFC made a great choice on this one, as we hit the UFC Apex for an exciting headliner fight, and a lot of rising talent in the fights to build up towards it.

This event is going to be great for those who want to catch up with all the least-known names and see who will be rising through the ranks in the next year or so. With 14 fights in the card, there is plenty to see, be it any of the 8 prelims or the 6 cards in the main card.

For the headliner, we have a clash between two top-level bantamweights in a division that has its belt vacant after the Lioness decided it was time to hang the gloves, and now, both Holly Holm and Mayra Bueno Silva are looking to make a statement on to who should fight for that title next.

When it comes to the rest of the fight card, some names may ring a bell, but you may not hear too many being UFC staples as of yet, so it’s a good time to catch up and learn some of those names as they prove themselves this Saturday.

You can check all the UFC/MMA bets, the analysis of each fighter, and the final bet you can make in this fight.

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva Fight Card Odds and Picks – Info

When:

Saturday, July 15th, at 7:00 pm ET

Moneyline odds:

Holly Holm -172 vs. Mayra Bueno Silva +134

Albert Duraev +125 vs. Jun Yong Park -158

Walt Harris -156 vs. Josh Parisian +122

Norma Dumont -140 vs. Chelsea Chandler +110

Ottman Azaitar -105 vs. Francisco Prado -121

Terrance McKinney +117 vs. Nazim Sadykhov -149

Tucker Lutz +131 vs. Melsik Baghdasaryan -169

Istela Nunes +170 vs. Viktoriya Dudakova -222

Austin Lingo +168 vs. Melquizael Costa -217

Jack Della Maddalena -666 vs. Bassil Hafez +428

Genaro Valdéz +233 vs. Evan Elder -312

Tyson Nam +296 vs. Azat Maksum -416

Carl Deaton III +135 vs. Alex Munoz -172

Ashlee Evans-Smith +161 vs. Ailin Perez -208

Where can I watch it?

UFC Fight Pass

UFC Fight Night: Holly Holm vs. Mayra Bueno Silva

Why Bet on Holly Holm?

Despite being 41 years old, Holm is one of the greatest combat sports athletes of all time and is still the No. 3 ranked contender in the women’s bantamweight division. She has nothing left to prove but remains hell-bent on regaining the belt and is still going strong, winning three of her last four fights.

Ranked third, she looked great in her victory over Yana Santos in March and is one or two wins away from a title shot.

Why Bet on Mayra Bueno Silva?

Bueno Silva (10-2-1), has earned four of her five UFC wins by finish. The No 10-ranked Brazilian’s on a three-fight win streak, which includes back-to-back submission victories over Stephanie Egger and Lina Lansberg. “Sheetara” is indeed a submission specialist, boasting seven tap-out wins in all, and will look to use her speed to close the gap and get her grappling off.

She’s fearless on the feet, so she won’t shoot willy-nilly but will rather seek to mask her takedowns with strikes.

Holly Holm vs. Mayra Bueno Silva Betting Analysis:

Holm knows how to fight her style very well. She is usually bigger than her opponents, and she uses that reach to stay at her comfortable range–which is very far away. She likes to hit and not get hit as much as possible, no matter how slow-moving the fights are.

Silva is very dangerous from her back and is better everywhere on the ground than Holm. Don’t be surprised if she tries to pull guard or trick Holm to get into her guard on the ground.

We believe Silva will be able to find the early submission and add a huge name to her resume in the main event this Saturday Night.

UFC Fight Night: Albert Duraev vs. Jun Yong Park

Why Bet on Albert Duraev?

Albert “Machette” Duraev is a 34-year-old Chechen fighter who’s 16-4 overall with most of his losses happening in the early days of his professional career as an MMA fighter. He did suffer a loss to Joaquin Buckley in 2022, but it happened by TKO (doctor stoppage).

He has a background in combat sambo, which explains why nine of his 16 career wins happened by submission. He’s also a decent boxer, although he’s been using those skills almost exclusively for defending.

Why Bet on Jun Yong Park?

“The Iron Turtle” got an interesting MMA Career History. The Korean fighter is 16-5 overall, and same as his current opponent, he too suffered most of his losses in the early days of his career – three of his five losses happened within the first three years of his tenure.

He won his two previous fights by submission, and if he continues to finish his opponents, we might see him get ranked.

Albert Duraev vs. Jun Yong Park Betting Analysis:

These two are very similar, not only when it comes to their skillset, but also when it comes to their record, fighting style, experience, and even built.

That said, we think it’s a coin toss this fight, but if we had to pick one, we’d go with Duraev. That is due to his excellent takedowns. He seems capable of taking down almost any opponent, while he’s also pretty decent at defending them, which should allow him to grind a victory here.

UFC Fight Night: Walt Harris vs. Josh Parisian

Why Bet on Walt Harris?

“The Big Ticket” Walt Harris, is a seasoned warrior in the MMA domain, with a professional record of 13 wins and 10 losses. Intriguingly, all of Harris’ wins have come via KO/TKO, painting a picture of a man who knows how to capitalize on an opportunity when he sees one.

Aged 40, heads into this fight on the back of a three-fight losing streak, facing considerable pressure to turn his fortunes around.

Why Bet on Josh Parisian?

With a formidable record of 15 wins and 6 losses, Parisian’s fight history is a testament to his durability and power, with an impressive 11 of his victories coming via KO/TKO. Despite a recent setback, the 34 years old, is in the prime of his career and has proven that he possesses the necessary skills to bounce back.

Walt Harris vs. Josh Parisian Betting Analysis:

The question marks behind how Harris will look after two years off and at the age of 40 is an issue. Both guys are massive human beings and have tons of power in their hands.

The outcome of this fight might solely depend on whether or not Parisian goes for and lands a takedown. That can draw this fight out a lot longer than usual, but we are expecting him to go in for the victory before Harris wears off the ring rust.

UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Chelsea Chandler

Why Bet on Norma Dumont?

Dumont is currently on a two-fight winning streak heading into this event. Her most recent victory was a unanimous decision against Karol Rosa back in April of this year. Her fighting resume shows that she has nine wins which consist of two submissions and seven decisions.

Two of her nine victories have resulted in first-round finishes and she had one loss each by knockout and decision.

Why Bet on Chelsea Chandler?

Chandler is riding a five-fight win streak and is coming off her debut in the UFC. This was a first-round TKO victory against Julija Stoliarenko back in October of last year. Her fighting resume shows that she has five wins that consist of two knockouts, one submission, and two decisions.

Two of her five victories have resulted in first-round finishes and her only loss has been by decision.

Norma Dumont vs. Chelsea Chandler Betting Analysis:

This is another toss-up bout that figures to go either way. Dumont is a good fighter, but we’ve seen her get cracked and stopped when her opponents can apply a lot of pressure on her.

Chandler also has the size and power to which Dumont won’t be able to bully her. We’re going to go with the first scoring a minor upset based on her power and activity.

UFC Fight Night: Ottman Azaitar vs. Francisco Prado

Why Bet on Ottman Azaitar?

Azaitar, also known as the “Bulldozer”, boasts a record of 13 wins and 1 loss. With a foundation in Muay Thai, he has displayed lethal knockout power in his bouts, achieving 69% of his victories through KO/TKO. His punching power and aggressive style are among his major strengths.

Why Bet on Francisco Prado?

Prado, on the other hand, has 11 wins and 1 loss on his resume. He has shown remarkable skills in both striking and grappling. With a background in Taekwondo, he has achieved 45% of his victories by KO/TKO and 55% via submission, indicating his versatile skill set.

Ottman Azaitar vs. Francisco Prado Betting Analysis:

Azaitar’s last defeat, however, highlighted a potential weakness in his grappling defense, which could be exploited by a skilled submission artist. Also, as he often seeks to finish fights early, his cardio in the later rounds may be questionable.

Prado’s weakness may lie in his relatively green experience, especially when faced with high-pressure situations against seasoned fighters. His loss came by decision, suggesting he may struggle to convince judges when he can’t finish the fight.

Prado will come with a balanced attack and will likely test the grappling of his opponent, however, expect Azaitar to unload a bomb that ends this bout in the second.

UFC Fight Night: Terrance McKinney vs. Nazim Sadykhov

Why Bet on Terrance McKinney?

The 28-year-old American was known for his wrestling prowess in High School, but his knockout power has made him famous in professional MMA circles. The Purple belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu replaced Frank Camacho for his UFC debut against Matt Frevola in June 2021.

He won the fight by knockout seven seconds into the first round, setting the record for the fastest finish and fastest knockout in UFC Lightweight history. His knockout stats preceded the UFC as in 2019, “T Wrecks” racked up three knockouts in a row in the LFA with a combined time of less than two minutes.

Why Bet on Nazim Sadykhov?

Brooklyn-born Nazim Sadykhov is working hard to represent his native Azerbaijan in the MMA world. The former Fury FC fighter made an impressive debut in the UFC in February when he scored a TKO over Evan Elder.

That was a follow-up to his third-round KO of Ahmad Sohail Hassanzada on Dana White’s Contender Series last August. The 29-year-old has six knockouts from eight wins.

Terrance McKinney vs. Nazim Sadykhov Betting Analysis:

Sadykhov only has one via submission but his aggressive style can pose a big threat inside the Octagon against McKinney, who has suffered four losses by T/KOs, including in two of his last three fights.

McKinney is the more experienced fighter in the UFC between himself and Sadykhov. However, he might get into trouble because of his foe’s apparent power.

Terrance will neutralize that asset by using his length and by bringing the fight to the ground where he’s at his best and taking a narrow victory.

UFC Fight Night: Tucker Lutz vs. Melsik Baghdasaryan

Why Bet on Tucker Lutz?

Tucker Lutz (12-3) went 2-0 on Contender Series before cruising past Kevin Aguilar in his UFC debut. The success wasn’t to last, as he dropped back-to-back decisions against Pat Sabatini and Daniel Pineda.

Why Bet on Melsik Baghdasaryan?

The striking skills of Melsik Baghdasaryan (7-2) carried him to victory in Contender Series and his first two Octagon bouts. A 15-month layoff followed, after which “The Gun” suffered his first loss since his pro debut at the hands of Joshua Culibao.

Five of his seven professional wins have come by knockout.

Tucker Lutz vs. Melsik Baghdasaryan Betting Analysis:

We can understand losing to Sabatini — an extremely adept grappler — but Lutz looked downright awful against Pineda. He was hesitant to throw and, more importantly, completely unable to take down a notoriously weak wrestler. He’s seemingly condemned to trading strikes with a much more dangerous kickboxer in Baghdasaryan, which can’t end well.

While Baghdasaryan will never evolve into a real contender without leaving Edmond Tarverdyan, what he’s got should still be enough if Lutz comes out flat again. He will clip him sometime in the second to return to the win column.

UFC Fight Night: Istela Nunes vs. Viktoriya Dudakova

Why Bet on Istela Nunes?

Estela Nunes (6-4) started her career 6-1, including a 2-1 stint in ONE, en route to a 2021 UFC debut. She’s still chasing her first Octagon victory, having lost three straight to Ariane Carnelossi, Sam Hughes, and Yazmin Jauregui.

Why Bet on Viktoriya Dudakova?

Viktoriia Dudakova (6-0) went from 6-0 amateur to 5-0 pro before joining Contender Series in 2022. There, she fought through a gnarly knee injury to hand Maria Silva her first career defeat and walk away with a UFC contract. Her four pro submission wins include three by rear naked choke.

Istela Nunes vs. Viktoriya Dudakova Betting Analysis:

If Nunes could just put it all together, she’d be a menace. She has genuinely great striking and monstrous power in her right hand, but between her shaky cardio and limited grappling, she excels at finding ways to lose. While she unquestionably has the means to smash Dudakova, who can be a bit of a lay-and-pray artist and struggles to consistently hit takedowns, Dudakova just seems far more reliable.

We expect to see Nunes put on a clinic for at least a few minutes. If Dudakova’s still standing afterward, though, she’s skilled enough to claw her way back into the fight once the first inevitably falls apart. We believe this will be the outcome.

UFC Fight Night: Austin Lingo vs. Melquizael Costa

Why Bet on Austin Lingo?

Austin Lingo (9-2) bounced back from an unsuccessful UFC debut with wins over Jacob Kilburn and Luis Saldana. He spent the next 17 months on the sidelines before returning to action in March 2023, when he suffered a submission loss to Nate Landwehr in San Antonio.

Why Bet on Melquizael Costa?

Melquizael Costa (19-6) put together a 7-1 run before stepping up on short notice to face Thiago Moises in January 2023. His results failed to match his boldness, as “Melk” succumbed to a rear-naked choke late in the second round. His professional finishes are split 7:6 between knockouts and submissions.

Austin Lingo vs. Melquizael Costa Betting Analysis:

Costa just seems to have a few too many weapons for Lingo. Though the latter hits hard, he doesn’t have a deep toolbox outside of decent power and boxing fundamentals.

Melquizael’s superior kicking game should work well for him, as Lingo struggled to get past Saldana’s kicks before the latter suffered an injury. Though Costa is far from impossible to hit, he ostensibly has the tools to out-strike his foe at a distance and hasn’t shown any durability issues that Austin’s heavy swings could exploit. He takes home a competitive, but clear, decision win.

UFC Fight Night: Jack Della Maddalena vs. Bassil Hafez

Why Bet on Jack Della Maddalena?

Jack Della Maddalena (14-2) secured a UFC contract by overpowering Ange Loosa on Contender Series. He quickly returned to his finishing ways in the Octagon, racking up four consecutive first-round finishes and scoring three post-fight bonuses along the way. His professional stoppage wins are split 11:2 between knockouts and submissions.

Why Bet on Bassil Hafez?

Hafez has been honing his skills in the world of mixed martial arts since he made his professional debut in January 2016. With an impressive record of 8 wins, 3 losses, and 1 draw, he has proven himself as a formidable force in the ring.

Notably, he has held the esteemed titles of Fury FC welterweight champion and former CFFC welterweight champion, solidifying his dominance within the sport.

Jack Della Maddalena vs. Bassil Hafez Betting Analysis:

The matchup is vindication for Della Maddalena, who opted to stay in Las Vegas in hopes of booking a fight after a pair of scheduled bouts fell through for UFC 290. Even though Bassil Hafez is no slouch, we have our picks placed on Jack to take the victory in this clash and ruin his opponent’s debut.

UFC Fight Night: Genaro Valdéz vs. Evan Elder

Why Bet on Genaro Valdéz?

“Rayadito” warred his way past Patrik White on Contender Series to punch his ticket to the Octagon. His momentum failed to make the jump with him, as he fell to Matt Frevola and Natan Levy in his first two UFC appearances. All of his wins have come inside the distance, seven of them via knockout.

Why Bet on Evan Elder?

The Octagon debut for Evan Elder (7-2) saw him step up in weight on short notice to battle Preston Parsons, who soundly out-wrestled Elder en route to a unanimous decision win. He was two rounds up against Nazim Sadykhov his next time out, but an uncalled clash of heads turned what would have been a technical decision win into a technical knockout loss.

Genaro Valdéz vs. Evan Elder Betting Analysis:

Though he did better than expected against Levy, we can’t see this going well for Valdez, as Elder just held his own against a lethal striker in Sadykhov who outright laps his current rival in striking technique.

Valdéz is too fragile and too limited to stand up to Elder in any protracted exchanges, so even if he does manage to bring in the far more skilled Elder into a brawl, he’s likelier of the two to go down.

Unless Evan still has some residual bad luck from the Sadykhov ruling, odds are he smashes his rival in the first few minutes. Hopefully, Rayadito at least lasts long enough to make it entertaining.

UFC Fight Night: Tyson Nam vs. Azat Maksum

Why Bet on Tyson Nam?

Tyson Nam (21-13-1) rode into the Octagon amid a 6-1-1 run, only to lose his first two UFC bouts. He came back to win three of his next four — all by knockout — but subsequently suffered a club-and-sub loss to Bruno Silva in March 2023.

Why Bet on Azat Maksum?

Azat Maksum (16-0) made his name in both Brave CF and Kazakhstan’s Octagon promotion, amassing undefeated records in both. He last saw action in Jan. 2023, knocking Fabricio Nuns from the ranks of the unbeaten with a first-round dance. His 11 professional finishes include six by submission.

Tyson Nam vs. Azat Maksum Betting Analysis:

Nam has the tools to spoil Maksum’s debut. The rookie is heavily reliant on his wrestling and can leave his chin exposed when punching, which isn’t a great pair of weaknesses to have against a lethal counter-puncher with great takedown defense. At the same time, Tyson is 39 years old and has never been a particularly high-output striker, so it’s easy to picture Azat just out-hustling him.

He’ll have to stay on his toes the whole time, but we do think Maksum’s speed and versatility will be too much for a fading Nam, especially after watching him get floored by Silva. In short, superior output and constant takedown attempts should carry the debutant to victory.

UFC Fight Night: Carl Deaton III vs. Alex Munoz

Why Bet on Carl Deaton III?

Carl Deaton (17-6) joined UFC amid a 5-2 run that saw him beat Octagon veteran, Justin Jaynes, along the way. His debut pitted him against Joe Solecki, who handed “The Anishinaabe Kid” his second career submission defeat. He’s submitted nine professional opponents and knocked out another three.

Why Bet on Alex Munoz?

Alexander Munoz (6-2) started his professional career perfect (6-0), including a decision over Nick Newell on Contender Series, before joining UFC in 2020. He’s still searching for his first Octagon win, though, dropping successive decisions to Nasrat Haqparast and Luis Pena. This marks his first appearance in almost 27 months.

Carl Deaton III vs. Alex Munoz Betting Analysis:

This fight honestly just boils down to Munoz’s condition. If he’s hale, hearty, and ready to roll after two years on the sidelines, there’s no reason he shouldn’t dominate.

Deaton is a highly limited fighter whose poor takedown defense presents an easy target for the wrestling-savvy Munoz. Even if the latter is a little rusty, he’s got such an edge in skills that it’s hard to see him losing. In short, he grapples his way to a dominant decision win.

UFC Fight Night: Ashlee Evans-Smith vs. Ailin Perez

Why Bet on Ashlee Evans-Smith?

Ashlee Evans-Smith (6-5) bounced back from her unsuccessful UFC debut with back-to-back wins over Mario Reneau and Veronica Hardy. She’s 1-4 since, including a decision loss to Norma Dumont last time out. She fights for the first time in nearly 32 months.

Why Bet on Ailin Perez?

Ailin Perez (7-2) capped off her stint on the Brazilian circuit by beating Stephanie Bragayrac for the Samurai Fight House Bantamweight belt. She was slated to make her UFC debut against Zarah Fairn in Sept. 2022, but instead suffered a submission loss to late replacement, Stephanie Egger.

Four of her five professional stoppage wins have come via knockout.

Ashlee Evans-Smith vs. Ailin Perez Betting Analysis:

One-note as Perez can be, Evans-Smith hasn’t won a fight since 2018 or even looked impressive in far longer. “Rebel Girl” is a wrestler who lands less than a quarter of her takedown attempts. For example, she managed two takedowns on 10 attempts against Andrea Lee — a Flyweight with notoriously weak defensive wrestling — and got taken down twice by Dumont.

Perez’s only real skill is muscling opponents down and working from the top. Unless Evans-Smith has dramatically improved behind the scenes in the last three years, though, that might be all she needs. In the end, she physically overpowers her rival and racks up long stretches of top control for her first UFC win.