UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida Betting Odds and Fight Card Picks

Last Updated on May 11, 2023 2:49 pm by Erwin Noguera

After a banger of a numbered UFC Event, we continue the action this weekend by taking a trip to Charlotte, North Carolina, as the Spectrum Center will be the venue to host a Fight Night Heavyweight bout that should keep fans excited.

The main event is the clash between Jairzinho Rozenstruik and Jailton Almeida, which could end quite quickly, as we have two heavy guys looking forward to getting in the cage and getting a fast finish.

The Co-main event is a possible barn burner that places Anthony Smith and Johnny Walker against each other in a light Heavyweight bout.

During the whole event, we have exciting matchups that will be showcasing the stand-up fighting of a lot of talented names in the UFC.

Things are looking good with a fair share of newcomers and veterans for an exciting 12 MMA bouts card, which divides into 5 main card fights and 7 prelim clashes.

You can check all the UFC/MMA bets, the analysis of each fighter, and the final bet you can make in this fight.

UFC Fight Night: Rozenstruik vs. Almeida Betting Odds and Fight Card Picks – Info

When:

Saturday, May 13th, at 11:30 am ET at the Spectrum Center in Charlotte, North Carolina

Moneyline odds:

Jairzinho Rozenstruik +410 / Jailton Almeida -520

Anthony Smith -110 / Johnny Walker -110

Daniel Rodriguez +235 / Ian Machado Garry -280

Carlos Ulberg -380 / Ihor Potieria +310

Tim Means +190 / Alex Morono -225

Matt Brown +175 / Court McGee -205

Karl Williams -115 / Chase Sherman -105

Cody Stamann -165 / Douglas Silva de Andrade +140

Natan Levy -275 / Pete Rodriguez +230

Ji Yeon Kim -195 / Mandy Böhm +165

Gabe Green -140 / Bryan Battle +120

Jessica-Rose Clark -115 / Tainara Lisboa -105

Where can I watch it?

UFC Fight Pass

UFC Fight Night: Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs. Jailton Almeida

Why Bet on Jairzinho Rozenstruik?

After winning his first four UFC fights by knockouts, Rozenstruik’s run in the company has been up and down as he consistently faces elite fighters in the UFC heavyweight rankings.

Now he will be looking to hold on to his spot in the top 10 when he faces a red-hot fight in Almeida on Saturday.

Why Bet on Jailton Almeida?

“Malhadinho” has won 12 straight including his first four in the UFC.

What makes it all the more impressive is his UFC wins have all been finishes, two each by knockout and submission.

Jairzinho Rozenstruik vs. Jailton Almeida Final Betting Analysis:

“Bigi Boy” will be a huge step up in competition and a challenge on the feet for Almeida.

The Brazilian possesses lightning-like speed, he’s capable of snapping off vicious kicks and diving for takedowns that opponents have no chance of defending.

As a much lighter heavyweight than Rozenstruik, his agility will help him win here, but this fight will turn into a grappling match right away.

“Malhadinho” has soared through the division off the back of his elite wrestling ability; so counting on Almeida to have multiple ways to win and his foe having weaknesses in his grappling, look for him to continue his hot streak at UFC Charlotte.

We are expecting an early submission from Almeida to keep his streak going strong and culminate the event.

UFC Fight Night: Anthony Smith vs. Johnny Walker

Why Bet on Anthony Smith?

Smith is a former title challenger and he’s posted victories in three of his last four fights.

In his last outing, he suffered a loss to Magomed Ankalaev, but that’s a loss that isn’t bad on the record as Ankalaev fought for the UFC light heavyweight title at UFC 282 and many felt he should have won the title that night.

Why Bet on Johnny Walker?

Walker has looked great since 2022. He started that year off on the losing end of a viral knockout.

That loss, like Smith’s loss, isn’t a bad one as it was against now UFC light heavyweight champion, Jamahal Hill, who knocked Walker out.

Johnny rebounded nicely from that loss as he is coming off back-to-back stoppage wins over Ion Cutelaba and Paul Craig.

Anthony Smith vs. Johnny Walker Final Betting Analysis:

Lots of upsides to Walker when you view the tale of the tape.

He’s younger, taller, and longer, and even though Smith is big himself, it’s rare to see him being smaller inside of the octagon.

Johnny will come into the fight with a six-inch reach advantage, and if Anthony is going to brawl and make things a dog fight like he likes to, he may have to eat a few shots coming in.

Walker just seems to be finally coming into his own.

There was a time that many media members and fans had him pegged as a future champ, but then he lost four out of five in a row.

Those days may be over with now thanks to SBG Ireland.

He feels like a complete fighter for the first time in his career, and in his last two outings, as he’s gotten it done on the feet and the ground.

Not only that, but looking at his personal life right now; he was recently married, and he’s never been happier there as well.

A great mix between work life and personal life is a big thing in a professional athlete’s career, and it just seems like all roads are leading towards a Walker win and the Brazilian reentering the top five.

UFC Fight Night: Daniel Rodriguez vs. Ian Machado Garry

Why Bet on Daniel Rodriguez?

Rodriguez is a crafty Southpaw kickboxer with solid takedown defense.

He’s more skilled on his feet than he gets credit for, but even so, his best attributes in scrap are probably his durability and power.

Why Bet on Ian Machado Garry?

At 25 years of age, Garry looks like an eventual contender.

A former Cage Warriors champion, the Irish striker has stopped six of his opponents via knockout, and he’s shown off some punishing accuracy thus far in his young career.

Daniel Rodriguez vs. Ian Machado Garry Final Betting Analysis:

Like many undefeated young knockout artists, Garry’s kickboxing offense has developed more quickly than his defense.

He’s been cracked quite a few times in his short UFC career, sometimes because he’s willing to trust his distance a bit too much, and other times because he’s standing his ground and hunting for counter opportunities.

Either way, that seems like a problem against “D-Rod,” who is plenty comfortable walking through fire if necessary.

Both men have the power to hurt the other, so in a fight where chaos is likely, we’ll trust the more proven brawler who’s closer to the prime of his career.

Expect Rodriguez to come out victorious.

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Ulberg vs. Ihor Potieria

Why Bet on Carlos Ulberg?

Carlos Ulberg (7-1) wiped out Bruno Oliveira on Contender Series to earn a UFC contract, only to lose a “Fight of the Night” to Kennedy Nzechukwu in his Octagon debut.

“Black Jag” has since won three straight, including a pair of first-round knockouts over Tafon Nchukwi and Nicolae Negumereanu.

Four of his five professional knockout wins have come in the first round.

Why Bet on Ihor Potieria?

Ihor Potieria (20-3) capped off a 15-fight win streak by knocking out Lukasz Sudolski on Contender Series but found himself out-matched by Nicolae Negumereanu his next time out.

His sophomore effort came six months later when he stopped Mauricio “Shogun” Rua at UFC 283.

“Duelist” faces a one-inch height disadvantage and a two-inch reach disadvantage.

Carlos Ulberg vs. Ihor Potieria Final Betting Analysis:

It’s hard to picture this going well for Potieria. As with most of the division, Ulberg has him out-classed in striking technique, and Potieria’s iffy cardio means he can’t rely on just out-lasting “Black Jag” the way Nzechukwu did.

It’s not like Ihor has much of a wrestling attack, either, so he’s at the mercy of Carlos’ full kickboxing arsenal.

Potieria has to rely on clipping Ulberg with a stray shot if he wants to win. That may have been an outside possibility if he’d faced Carlos earlier in the latter’s UFC career, but with the Nzechukwu and Cherant fights behind him, Ulberg’s advanced past the point where that’s a threat.

In short, Ulberg melts him with a counter in the first five minutes.

UFC Fight Night: Tim Means vs. Alex Morono

Why Bet on Tim Means?

“The Dirty Bird” is a 39-year-old fighter that has been through a lot in his life. From getting shot in the leg, and developing a pain-med addiction, to serving time in prison, Tim Means has had quite the journey.

He has a 32-14-1 professional MMA record, with 19 KOs and 5 submission victories.

In the UFC, Means averages 4.91 significant strikes landed and 3.58 absorbed per minute.

He also has a solid 1.13 takedown average per 15 minutes spent inside the octagon. He will have the threat of both standup and wrestling this weekend.

Why Bet on Alex Morono?

Morono has a similar tenure in the UFC as Means; they fight everyone in the division, it seems. Morono has a 22-8 professional record, with a split of 6 TKO/KO wins and 6 submissions.

The 32-year-old will be the smaller guy in the octagon on Saturday, but he has a better average of 5.22 significant strikes landed per minute.

Tim Means vs. Alex Morono Final Betting Analysis:

Means still has a lot of durabilities, he won’t ever give up in a fight, and he has the skillset needed to beat someone like Morono.

Even though Alex is an interesting match for him, he has been in the game for about two full decades now, so age, experience, and durability will be factors to account for the results.

We believe Tim will be able to bring the pressure to Morono and mix in level changes to throw off the game plan of the latter.

Look for a decision victory, probably 29-28 for The Dirty Bird.

UFC Fight Night: Matt Brown vs. Court McGee

Why Bet on Matt Brown?

Matt Brown (23-19) — reeling from consecutive losses to Miguel Baeza and Carlos Condit — smashed his way back into the win column with a one-punch finish of Dhiego Lima.

“The Immortal” subsequently fell just short in a split decision loss to Bryan Barberena, though he did score his eighth UFC post-fight bonus in the process.

His 21 professional finishes include 15 by knockouts.

Why Bet on Court McGee?

Court McGee (22-11) secured his first multi-fight win streak since 2013, out-lasting Claudio Silva and Ramiz Brahimaj back-to-back.

This set up a battle with Jeremiah Wells, who handed McGee just the second knockout loss of his career with a vicious left hook.

Matt Brown vs. Court McGee Final Betting Analysis:

Brown’s increasingly poor cardio has forced him to rely more and more on his wrestling these past few years, which plays right into the hands of “The Crusher.”

Even if McGee failed to address many of his faults, his engine has never been in doubt, and Matt is neither significantly stronger than him nor a superior technical takedown artist.

Court has always feasted on this level of grappling. That’s all moot if Brown just knocks him stiff, of course, and that’s far from infeasible.

McGee can be weirdly reticent to use his wrestling at times and just had his chin horrifically checked by Wells.

However, we don’t think Brown’s got enough left in the tank to deal with Court’s suffocating pressure for any length of time before running out of steam. In the end, the latter grinds his way back into the win column.

UFC Fight Night: Karl Williams vs. Chase Sherman

Why Bet on Karl Williams?

An upset decision over Jimmy Lawson on Contender Series extended Karl Williams’ (8-1) win streak to four and earned him a UFC contract.

He ultimately debuted seven months later, leaning on his wrestling to claim a decisive victory over Lukasz Brzeski.

He was originally slated to face Sherman at UFC 287, but “The Vanilla Gorilla” withdrew because of medical issues on the fight night.

Why Bet on Chase Sherman?

After nearly two years away from the promotion, Chase Sherman (16-11) scored his first UFC win since 2017, knocking out Ike Villanueva.

He enters the cage this Saturday having lost five of six, though he did claim “Performance of the Night” for his finish of Jared Vanderaa.

All but one of his victories have come via knockout.

Karl Williams vs. Chase Sherman Final Betting Analysis:

Sherman has never had an answer for persistent wrestlers, as seen in his quick submission losses to Jake Collier and Alexandr Romanov.

Williams’ hands are also fast enough that I wouldn’t favor his foe too heavily in a pure striking battle, either, much less with the threat of takedowns looming over his head.

All Karl has to do to win here is follow the same gameplan he utilized against Brzeski, which Chase flat-out doesn’t have the means to stop. In other words, expect another grind-heavy victory for the Contender Series product.

UFC Fight Night: Cody Stamann vs. Douglas Silva de Andrade

Why Bet on Cody Stamann?

Cody Stamann (215-1) went from starting his UFC career 5-1-1 to dropping three straight, including a 47-second guillotine loss to Said Nurmagomedov.

“The Spartan” has since returned to form with back-to-back wins, the most recent of which saw him out-strike Luan Lacerda to a unanimous decision in hostile territory.

Why Bet on Douglas Silva de Andrade?

After a four-year finish drought, “D’Silva” hit the ground running with back-to-back stoppage wins over Gaetano Pirrello and Sergey Morozov, the latter of which earned him “Fight of the Night.”

This set up a clash with Said Nurmagomedov — and despite a spirited effort — Silva de Andrade ultimately fell short on all three scorecards.

He has knocked out 20 professional opponents and submitted another two.

Cody Stamann vs. Douglas Silva de Andrade Final Betting Analysis:

We’d love to see Silva de Andrade finally get over the hump — he’s paid his dues and is pure excitement in the cage. That said, this is the level at which he consistently falls short.

Stamann is seasoned, durable, a capable wrestler, and boasts a solid gas tank, all traits that have given “D’Silva” issues in the past.

Silva de Andrade can’t out-wrestle Cody the way Aljamain Sterling and Merab Dvalishvili did, catch him with an opportunistic submission like Nurmagomedov, or out-technique him like Jimmie Rivera.

His only shot lies in hurting Stamann, which none of “The Spartan’s” 12 UFC opponents to date have managed.

Cody can stand up to Douglas’ power and neutralize him with both takedowns and consistent striking offense, so expect him to walk away with a decision win.

UFC Fight Night: Natan Levy vs. Pete Rodriguez

Why Bet on Natan Levy?

After choking out Shaheen Santana on Contender Series, Natan Levy (8-1) spent one year on the sidelines injured, ultimately returning to the Octagon in Nov. 2020 to drop a decision to Rafa Garcia.

His 2022 campaign proved more fruitful, resulting in consecutive decision victories over Mike Breeden and Genaro Valdez.

Why Bet on Pete Rodriguez?

An admirably bold short-notice UFC debut saw Rodriguez stopped in three minutes by Jack Della Maddalena.

He was quite a bit more successful against Mike Jackson, flattening “The Truth” in just 93 seconds.

None of his five knockout wins have gone past the 2:21 mark.

Natan Levy vs. Pete Rodriguez Final Betting Analysis:

Though Levy had a lot more trouble than what would be expected against the very limited Valdez, a lot is going his way here.

Rodriguez has never faced a takedown artist even remotely comparable to Levy, who’s shown off enough durability and technique to hold his own on the feet.

Nothing Pete has shown so far indicated that he’ll have an answer when Natan starts firing off double-digit takedowns.

Levy’s wrestling and experience will let him grind out a wide decision over Rodriguez.

UFC Fight Night: Ji Yeon Kim vs. Mandy Böhm

Why Bet on Ji Yeon Kim?

Ji Yeon Kim (9-6-2) put a UFC debut loss to Lucie Pudilova behind her to win three of her next four, including a technical knockout finish of Nadia Kassem.

“Fire Fist” has since lost four straight, though her decision defeat to Priscila Cachoeira came with no shortage of controversy.

Why Bet on Mandy Böhm?

Bohm spent the first portion of her career on the German circuit, after which she beat Jade Masson-Wong for the TKO Flyweight title and won her sole Bellator appearance against Griet Eeckhout.

Those would be her last victories to date, however, dropping consecutive decisions to Ariane Lipski and Victoria Leonardo in the Octagon.

She has knocked out and submitted two professional foes apiece.

Ji Yeon Kim vs. Mandy Böhm Final Betting Analysis:

Bohm’s been underwhelming in the Octagon. She looks almost lethargic in there, rarely showing off the solid kicks or dangerous clinch work that brought her victory in other organizations, and she still declines drastically as fights progress despite pushing such a low pace.

If nothing else, Kim is extremely busy in the cage. Even if Mandy does manage to play keep-away early on, Ji Yeon will be the one doing damage, especially as the rounds go by and Bohm’s gas tank gives out.

In the end, Kim finally gets back on track by out-working her foe to a wide decision.

UFC Fight Night: Gabe Green vs. Bryan Battle

Why Bet on Gabe Green?

Gabe Green (11-4) put a short-notice UFC debut loss to Daniel Rodriguez behind him with back-to-back wins over Philip Rowe and Yohan Lainesse.

Ian Machado Garry proved a step too far, evening Green’s Octagon record at 2-2 with a comfortable decision victory.

All but one of Green’s 11 victories have come inside the distance, six of them via submission.

Why Bet on Bryan Battle?

Bryan Battle (9-2) followed his successful The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) 29 run by out-lasting castmate, Tresean Gore, and subsequently flattening Takashi Sato with a bonus-winning 44-second head kick.

He then stepped up on short notice to battle Rinat Fakhretdinov, who dominated “Pooh Bear” on the mat over three one-sided rounds.

He steps in for Jake Matthews on less than two months’ notice.

Gabe Green vs. Bryan Battle Final Betting Analysis:

As suffocating as his pressure can be, “Gifted” is not a good cage cutter. He relies heavily on output and forward motion to whittle opponents down until they can no longer out-maneuver his basic approach.

That didn’t work on Garry and doesn’t figure to work on Battle, either. Though Green can wrestle, he’s not in the same universe as Fakhretdinov.

And if he can’t take down Bryan, he’ll be hard-pressed to corral someone who ran circles around Gore and Andre Petroski. Unless the short notice completely drains the life from Battle, he’s too tall, rangy, and adept at a distance to lose this. In short, expect him to potshot his way to victory over 15 minutes.

UFC Fight Night: Jessica-Rose Clark vs. Tainara Lisboa

Why Bet on Jessica-Rose Clark?

Jessica-Rose Clark (11-8) started her UFC career 2-1 as a Flyweight before issues with the weight cut sent her to 135 pounds.

She currently sits at 2-3 in her new weight class, most recently suffering back-to-back submission losses to Stephanie Egger and Julija Stoliarenko.

Why Bet on Tainara Lisboa?

Lisboa fell short against Norma Dumont in her 2016 professional debut before spending the next three years on the sidelines.

She enters the world’s largest mixed martial arts promotion amid a three-fight win streak, the most recent of which saw her choke out Conceicao Oliveira in April 2022.

Her five professional finishes are split 3:2 between knockouts and submissions.

Jessica-Rose Clark vs. Tainara Lisboa Final Betting Analysis:

Lisboa’s got a strong Muay Thai pedigree and seems to know what she’s doing in the cage, but her strength of schedule is nonexistent.

Just one of her MMA victories came over an opponent with a win on their record, which isn’t enough to prepare her for even a barren UFC Bantamweight division.

While Clark is plenty limited in her own right, her clinch can be exhausting to deal with.

Tainara is by far the more dangerous striker on the inside, but there’s no evidence to suggest she can keep the fight standing long enough to make that matter.

Just because she hasn’t shown it yet doesn’t mean she can’t, of course, especially since she’s had a year on the sidelines to sharpen her fangs behind the scenes.

Between Jessica-Rose’s experience and her debilitating style, though, odds are “Jessy Jess” weathers the early storm and grinds Lisboa into oblivion.