UFC Fight Night: probabilidades y selecciones de las cartas de pelea de Holm vs.Bueno Silva

UFC Fight Night: probabilidades y selecciones de las cartas de pelea de Holm vs.Bueno Silva

Noche de pelea de UFC: Holm vs.Bueno Silva

Last Updated on julio 13, 2023 3:22 pm by Erwin Noguera

After what could arguably be the best UFC event of the year so far, we go back from numbered events to our regular fight night, and the UFC made a great choice on this one, as we hit the UFC Apex for an exciting headliner fight, and a lot of rising talent in the fights to build up towards it.

This event is going to be great for those who want to catch up with all the least-known names and see who will be rising through the ranks in the next year or so. With 14 fights in the card, there is plenty to see, be it any of the 8 prelims or the 6 cards in the main card.

For the headliner, we have a clash between two top-level bantamweights in a division that has its belt vacant after the Lioness decided it was time to hang the gloves, and now, both Holly Holm and Mayra Bueno Silva are looking to make a statement on to who should fight for that title next.

When it comes to the rest of the fight card, some names may ring a bell, but you may not hear too many being UFC staples as of yet, so it’s a good time to catch up and learn some of those names as they prove themselves this Saturday.

Puedes consultar todas las UFC/MMA apuestas, el análisis de cada peleador y la apuesta final que puedes realizar en esta pelea.

UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva Fight Card Odds and Picks – Info

Cuando: 

Saturday, July 15th, at 7:00 pm ET

Cuotas de línea de dinero:

Holly Holm -172 vs. Mayra Bueno Silva +134

Albert Duraev +125 vs. Jun Yong Park -158

Walt Harris -156 frente a Josh Parisian +122

Norma Dumont -140 vs. Chelsea Chandler +110

Ottman Azaitar -105 vs. Francisco Prado -121

Terrance McKinney +117 vs. Nazim Sadykhov -149

Tucker Lutz +131 vs. Melsik Baghdasaryan -169

Istela Nunes +170 vs. Viktoriya Dudakova -222

Austin Lingo +168 vs. Melquizael Costa -217

Jack Della Maddalena -666 vs. Bassil Hafez +428

Genaro Valdéz +233 vs. Evan Elder -312

Tyson Nam +296 vs. Azat Maksum -416

Carl Deaton III +135 vs. Alex Munoz -172

Ashlee Evans-Smith +161 vs. Ailin Perez -208

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UFC Fight Pass

UFC Fight Night: Holly Holm vs. Mayra Bueno Silva

¿Por qué apostar por Holly Holm?

Despite being 41 years old, Holm is one of the greatest combat sports athletes of all time and is still the No. 3 ranked contender in the women’s bantamweight division. She has nothing left to prove but remains hell-bent on regaining the belt and is still going strong, winning three of her last four fights.

Ranked third, she looked great in her victory over Yana Santos in March and is one or two wins away from a title shot. 

¿Por qué apostar por Mayra Bueno Silva?

Bueno Silva (10-2-1), has earned four of her five UFC wins by finish. The No 10-ranked Brazilian’s on a three-fight win streak, which includes back-to-back submission victories over Stephanie Egger and Lina Lansberg. “Sheetara” is indeed a submission specialist, boasting seven tap-out wins in all, and will look to use her speed to close the gap and get her grappling off.

She’s fearless on the feet, so she won’t shoot willy-nilly but will rather seek to mask her takedowns with strikes.

Holly Holm vs. Mayra Bueno Silva Betting Analysis:

Holm knows how to fight her style very well. She is usually bigger than her opponents, and she uses that reach to stay at her comfortable range–which is very far away. She likes to hit and not get hit as much as possible, no matter how slow-moving the fights are.

Silva is very dangerous from her back and is better everywhere on the ground than Holm. Don’t be surprised if she tries to pull guard or trick Holm to get into her guard on the ground. 

We believe Silva will be able to find the early submission and add a huge name to her resume in the main event this Saturday Night.

UFC Fight Night: Albert Duraev vs. Jun Yong Park

Why Bet on Albert Duraev?

Albert “Machette” Duraev is a 34-year-old Chechen fighter who’s 16-4 overall with most of his losses happening in the early days of his professional career as an MMA fighter. He did suffer a loss to Joaquin Buckley in 2022, but it happened by TKO (doctor stoppage).

He has a background in combat sambo, which explains why nine of his 16 career wins happened by submission. He’s also a decent boxer, although he’s been using those skills almost exclusively for defending. 

¿Por qué apostar por Jun Yong Park?

“The Iron Turtle” got an interesting MMA Career History. The Korean fighter is 16-5 overall, and same as his current opponent, he too suffered most of his losses in the early days of his career – three of his five losses happened within the first three years of his tenure.

He won his two previous fights by submission, and if he continues to finish his opponents, we might see him get ranked.

Albert Duraev vs. Jun Yong Park Betting Analysis:

These two are very similar, not only when it comes to their skillset, but also when it comes to their record, fighting style, experience, and even built.

Dicho esto, creemos que esta pelea es una moneda al aire, pero si tuviéramos que elegir una, elegiríamos a Duraev. Esto se debe a sus excelentes derribos. Parece capaz de derrotar a casi cualquier oponente, mientras que también es bastante decente defendiéndolos, lo que debería permitirle conseguir una victoria aquí.

UFC Fight Night: Walt Harris vs. Josh Parisian

Why Bet on Walt Harris?

“The Big Ticket” Walt Harris, is a seasoned warrior in the MMA domain, with a professional record of 13 wins and 10 losses. Intriguingly, all of Harris’ wins have come via KO/TKO, painting a picture of a man who knows how to capitalize on an opportunity when he sees one.

Aged 40, heads into this fight on the back of a three-fight losing streak, facing considerable pressure to turn his fortunes around. 

¿Por qué apostar por Josh Parisian?

With a formidable record of 15 wins and 6 losses, Parisian’s fight history is a testament to his durability and power, with an impressive 11 of his victories coming via KO/TKO. Despite a recent setback, the 34 years old, is in the prime of his career and has proven that he possesses the necessary skills to bounce back. 

Walt Harris vs. Josh Parisian Betting Analysis:

The question marks behind how Harris will look after two years off and at the age of 40 is an issue. Both guys are massive human beings and have tons of power in their hands.

The outcome of this fight might solely depend on whether or not Parisian goes for and lands a takedown. That can draw this fight out a lot longer than usual, but we are expecting him to go in for the victory before Harris wears off the ring rust.

UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Chelsea Chandler

¿Por qué apostar por Norma Dumont?

Dumont is currently on a two-fight winning streak heading into this event. Her most recent victory was a unanimous decision against Karol Rosa back in April of this year. Her fighting resume shows that she has nine wins which consist of two submissions and seven decisions.

Two of her nine victories have resulted in first-round finishes and she had one loss each by knockout and decision.

Why Bet on Chelsea Chandler?

Chandler is riding a five-fight win streak and is coming off her debut in the UFC. This was a first-round TKO victory against Julija Stoliarenko back in October of last year. Her fighting resume shows that she has five wins that consist of two knockouts, one submission, and two decisions.

Two of her five victories have resulted in first-round finishes and her only loss has been by decision.

Norma Dumont vs. Chelsea Chandler Betting Analysis:

This is another toss-up bout that figures to go either way. Dumont is a good fighter, but we’ve seen her get cracked and stopped when her opponents can apply a lot of pressure on her.

Chandler also has the size and power to which Dumont won’t be able to bully her. We’re going to go with the first scoring a minor upset based on her power and activity.

UFC Fight Night: Ottman Azaitar vs. Francisco Prado

Why Bet on Ottman Azaitar?

Azaitar, also known as the “Bulldozer”, boasts a record of 13 wins and 1 loss. With a foundation in Muay Thai, he has displayed lethal knockout power in his bouts, achieving 69% of his victories through KO/TKO. His punching power and aggressive style are among his major strengths.

¿Por qué apostar por Francisco Prado?

Prado, por su parte, tiene en su currículum 11 victorias y 1 derrota. Ha demostrado habilidades notables tanto en golpes como en agarres. Con experiencia en Taekwondo, ha logrado 45% de sus victorias por KO/TKO y 55% por sumisión, lo que indica su conjunto de habilidades versátiles.

Ottman Azaitar vs. Francisco Prado Betting Analysis:

Azaitar’s last defeat, however, highlighted a potential weakness in his grappling defense, which could be exploited by a skilled submission artist. Also, as he often seeks to finish fights early, his cardio in the later rounds may be questionable.

Prado’s weakness may lie in his relatively green experience, especially when faced with high-pressure situations against seasoned fighters. His loss came by decision, suggesting he may struggle to convince judges when he can’t finish the fight.

Prado vendrá con un ataque equilibrado y probablemente pondrá a prueba el agarre de su oponente, sin embargo, espere que Azaitar descargue una bomba que termine esta pelea en el segundo.

UFC Fight Night: Terrance McKinney vs. Nazim Sadykhov

¿Por qué apostar por Terrance McKinney?

The 28-year-old American was known for his wrestling prowess in High School, but his knockout power has made him famous in professional MMA circles. The Purple belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu replaced Frank Camacho for his UFC debut against Matt Frevola in June 2021.

He won the fight by knockout seven seconds into the first round, setting the record for the fastest finish and fastest knockout in UFC Lightweight history. His knockout stats preceded the UFC as in 2019, “T Wrecks” racked up three knockouts in a row in the LFA with a combined time of less than two minutes.

¿Por qué apostar por Nazim Sadykhov?

Brooklyn-born Nazim Sadykhov is working hard to represent his native Azerbaijan in the MMA world. The former Fury FC fighter made an impressive debut in the UFC in February when he scored a TKO over Evan Elder.

That was a follow-up to his third-round KO of Ahmad Sohail Hassanzada on Dana White’s Contender Series last August. The 29-year-old has six knockouts from eight wins.

Terrance McKinney vs. Nazim Sadykhov Betting Analysis:

Sadykhov only has one via submission but his aggressive style can pose a big threat inside the Octagon against McKinney, who has suffered four losses by T/KOs, including in two of his last three fights.

McKinney is the more experienced fighter in the UFC between himself and Sadykhov. However, he might get into trouble because of his foe’s apparent power.

Terrance will neutralize that asset by using his length and by bringing the fight to the ground where he’s at his best and taking a narrow victory.

UFC Fight Night: Tucker Lutz vs. Melsik Baghdasaryan

Why Bet on Tucker Lutz?

Tucker Lutz (12-3) went 2-0 on Contender Series before cruising past Kevin Aguilar in his UFC debut. The success wasn’t to last, as he dropped back-to-back decisions against Pat Sabatini and Daniel Pineda.

Why Bet on Melsik Baghdasaryan?

The striking skills of Melsik Baghdasaryan (7-2) carried him to victory in Contender Series and his first two Octagon bouts. A 15-month layoff followed, after which “The Gun” suffered his first loss since his pro debut at the hands of Joshua Culibao.

Five of his seven professional wins have come by knockout.

Tucker Lutz vs. Melsik Baghdasaryan Betting Analysis:

We can understand losing to Sabatini — an extremely adept grappler — but Lutz looked downright awful against Pineda. He was hesitant to throw and, more importantly, completely unable to take down a notoriously weak wrestler. He’s seemingly condemned to trading strikes with a much more dangerous kickboxer in Baghdasaryan, which can’t end well.

While Baghdasaryan will never evolve into a real contender without leaving Edmond Tarverdyan, what he’s got should still be enough if Lutz comes out flat again. He will clip him sometime in the second to return to the win column.

UFC Fight Night: Istela Nunes vs. Viktoriya Dudakova

¿Por qué apostar por Istela Nunes?

Estela Nunes (6-4) started her career 6-1, including a 2-1 stint in ONE, en route to a 2021 UFC debut. She’s still chasing her first Octagon victory, having lost three straight to Ariane Carnelossi, Sam Hughes, and Yazmin Jauregui.

Why Bet on Viktoriya Dudakova?

Viktoriia Dudakova (6-0) went from 6-0 amateur to 5-0 pro before joining Contender Series in 2022. There, she fought through a gnarly knee injury to hand Maria Silva her first career defeat and walk away with a UFC contract. Her four pro submission wins include three by rear naked choke.

Istela Nunes vs. Viktoriya Dudakova Betting Analysis:

If Nunes could just put it all together, she’d be a menace. She has genuinely great striking and monstrous power in her right hand, but between her shaky cardio and limited grappling, she excels at finding ways to lose. While she unquestionably has the means to smash Dudakova, who can be a bit of a lay-and-pray artist and struggles to consistently hit takedowns, Dudakova just seems far more reliable.

We expect to see Nunes put on a clinic for at least a few minutes. If Dudakova’s still standing afterward, though, she’s skilled enough to claw her way back into the fight once the first inevitably falls apart. We believe this will be the outcome.

UFC Fight Night: Austin Lingo vs.Melquizael Costa

Why Bet on Austin Lingo?

Austin Lingo (9-2) bounced back from an unsuccessful UFC debut with wins over Jacob Kilburn and Luis Saldana. He spent the next 17 months on the sidelines before returning to action in March 2023, when he suffered a submission loss to Nate Landwehr in San Antonio.

¿Por qué apostar por Melquizael Costa?

Melquizael Costa (19-6) put together a 7-1 run before stepping up on short notice to face Thiago Moises in January 2023. His results failed to match his boldness, as “Melk” succumbed to a rear-naked choke late in the second round. His professional finishes are split 7:6 between knockouts and submissions.

Austin Lingo vs. Melquizael Costa Betting Analysis:

Costa just seems to have a few too many weapons for Lingo. Though the latter hits hard, he doesn’t have a deep toolbox outside of decent power and boxing fundamentals.

Melquizael’s superior kicking game should work well for him, as Lingo struggled to get past Saldana’s kicks before the latter suffered an injury. Though Costa is far from impossible to hit, he ostensibly has the tools to out-strike his foe at a distance and hasn’t shown any durability issues that Austin’s heavy swings could exploit. He takes home a competitive, but clear, decision win.

UFC Fight Night: Jack Della Maddalena vs. Bassil Hafez

¿Por qué apostar por Jack Della Maddalena?

Jack Della Maddalena (14-2) secured a UFC contract by overpowering Ange Loosa on Contender Series. He quickly returned to his finishing ways in the Octagon, racking up four consecutive first-round finishes and scoring three post-fight bonuses along the way. His professional stoppage wins are split 11:2 between knockouts and submissions.

Why Bet on Bassil Hafez?

Hafez ha estado perfeccionando sus habilidades en el mundo de las artes marciales mixtas desde que hizo su debut profesional en enero de 2016. Con un impresionante récord de 8 victorias, 3 derrotas y 1 empate, ha demostrado ser una fuerza formidable en el ring.

En particular, ha ostentado los estimados títulos de campeón de peso welter del Fury FC y ex campeón de peso welter del CFFC, solidificando su dominio dentro del deporte.

Análisis de apuestas de Jack Della Maddalena vs.Bassil Hafez:

El enfrentamiento es una reivindicación para Della Maddalena, quien optó por quedarse en Las Vegas con la esperanza de reservar una pelea después de que un par de peleas programadas fracasaron para UFC 290. Aunque Bassil Hafez no se queda atrás, tenemos nuestras opciones puestas en Jack para tomar la victoria en este choque y arruinar el debut de su oponente. 

UFC Fight Night: Genaro Valdéz contra Evan Elder

¿Por qué apostar por Genaro Valdéz?

“Rayadito” superó a Patrik White en Contender Series para conseguir su boleto al octágono. Su impulso no logró dar el salto con él, ya que cayó ante Matt Frevola y Natan Levy en sus dos primeras apariciones en UFC. Todas sus victorias han sido dentro de la distancia, siete de ellas por nocaut.

Why Bet on Evan Elder?

El debut en el octágono de Evan Elder (7-2) lo vio subir de peso en poco tiempo para luchar contra Preston Parsons, quien superó ampliamente a Elder en camino a una victoria por decisión unánime. Estuvo a dos asaltos de Nazim Sadykhov en su siguiente salida, pero un choque de cabezas inesperado convirtió lo que habría sido una victoria por decisión técnica en una derrota por nocaut técnico.

Análisis de apuestas de Genaro Valdéz vs.Evan Elder:

Aunque lo hizo mejor de lo esperado contra Levy, no podemos ver que esto vaya bien para Valdez, ya que Elder simplemente se mantuvo firme contra un delantero letal en Sadykhov, quien supera claramente a su rival actual en técnica de golpe.

Valdéz es demasiado frágil y demasiado limitado para enfrentarse a Elder en intercambios prolongados, por lo que incluso si logra involucrar al Elder, mucho más hábil, en una pelea, es más probable que los dos caigan.

A menos que Evan todavía tenga algo de mala suerte residual por el fallo de Sadykhov, lo más probable es que aplaste a su rival en los primeros minutos. Con suerte, Rayadito al menos dura lo suficiente como para que sea entretenido.

UFC Fight Night: Tyson Nam contra Azat Maksum

Why Bet on Tyson Nam?

Tyson Nam (21-13-1) rode into the Octagon amid a 6-1-1 run, only to lose his first two UFC bouts. He came back to win three of his next four — all by knockout — but subsequently suffered a club-and-sub loss to Bruno Silva in March 2023.

¿Por qué apostar por Azat Maksum?

Azat Maksum (16-0) se hizo un nombre tanto en Brave CF como en la promoción del Octágono de Kazajstán, acumulando récords invictos en ambos. La última vez que vio acción fue en enero de 2023, cuando derribó a Fabricio Nuns de las filas de los invictos con un baile de primera ronda. Sus 11 finales profesionales incluyen seis por sumisión.

Tyson Nam vs. Azat Maksum Betting Analysis:

Nam has the tools to spoil Maksum’s debut. The rookie is heavily reliant on his wrestling and can leave his chin exposed when punching, which isn’t a great pair of weaknesses to have against a lethal counter-puncher with great takedown defense. At the same time, Tyson is 39 years old and has never been a particularly high-output striker, so it’s easy to picture Azat just out-hustling him.

He’ll have to stay on his toes the whole time, but we do think Maksum’s speed and versatility will be too much for a fading Nam, especially after watching him get floored by Silva. In short, superior output and constant takedown attempts should carry the debutant to victory.

UFC Fight Night: Carl Deaton III vs. Alex Munoz

¿Por qué apostar por Carl Deaton III?

Carl Deaton (17-6) se unió a UFC en medio de una racha de 5-2 que lo vio vencer al veterano del octágono, Justin Jaynes, en el camino. Su debut lo enfrentó a Joe Solecki, quien le propinó a “The Anishinaabe Kid” la segunda derrota por sumisión de su carrera. Ha sometido a nueve oponentes profesionales y noqueado a otros tres.

Why Bet on Alex Munoz?

Alexander Munoz (6-2) started his professional career perfect (6-0), including a decision over Nick Newell on Contender Series, before joining UFC in 2020. He’s still searching for his first Octagon win, though, dropping successive decisions to Nasrat Haqparast and Luis Pena. This marks his first appearance in almost 27 months.

Carl Deaton III vs. Alex Munoz Betting Analysis:

Honestamente, esta pelea se reduce a la condición de Muñoz. Si está sano, vigoroso y listo para jugar después de dos años al margen, no hay razón para que no domine.

Deaton es un luchador muy limitado cuya pobre defensa contra los derribos presenta un blanco fácil para Muñoz, experto en lucha libre. Incluso si este último está un poco oxidado, tiene tal ventaja en sus habilidades que es difícil verlo perder. En resumen, se abre camino hacia una victoria por decisión dominante.

UFC Fight Night: Ashlee Evans-Smith contra Ailin Pérez

¿Por qué apostar por Ashlee Evans-Smith?

Ashlee Evans-Smith (6-5) se recuperó de su fallido debut en UFC con victorias consecutivas sobre Mario Reneau y Veronica Hardy. Tiene marca de 1-4 desde entonces, incluida una derrota por decisión ante Norma Dumont la última vez. Ella pelea por primera vez en casi 32 meses.

¿Por qué apostar por Ailin Pérez?

Ailin Perez (7-2) capped off her stint on the Brazilian circuit by beating Stephanie Bragayrac for the Samurai Fight House Bantamweight belt. She was slated to make her UFC debut against Zarah Fairn in Sept. 2022, but instead suffered a submission loss to late replacement, Stephanie Egger.

Cuatro de sus cinco victorias profesionales se produjeron por nocaut.

Análisis de apuestas de Ashlee Evans-Smith vs.Ailin Perez:

Por más que Pérez pueda ser de una sola nota, Evans-Smith no ha ganado una pelea desde 2018 o incluso lució impresionante en mucho más tiempo. "Rebel Girl" es una luchadora que logra menos de una cuarta parte de sus intentos de derribo. Por ejemplo, logró dos derribos en 10 intentos contra Andrea Lee, un peso mosca con una lucha defensiva notoriamente débil, y Dumont la derribó dos veces.

La única habilidad real de Pérez es forzar a los oponentes y trabajar desde arriba. Sin embargo, a menos que Evans-Smith haya mejorado dramáticamente detrás de escena en los últimos tres años, eso podría ser todo lo que necesita. Al final, domina físicamente a su rival y acumula largos períodos de control superior para su primera victoria en UFC.

Holm contra Bueno Silva Pronóstico de apuestas: Mayra Bueno Silva

Duraev vs. Park Pronóstico de apuestas: Albert Duraev

Harris vs. Parisian Pronóstico de apuestas: Josh Parisian

Dumont contra Chandler Pronóstico de apuestas: Chelsea Chandler

Azaitar vs. Prado Pronóstico de apuestas: Ottman Azaitar

McKinney vs. Sadykhov Pronóstico de apuestas: Terrance McKinney

Lutz vs. Baghdasaryan Pronóstico de apuestas: Melsik Baghdasaryan

Nunes vs. Dudakova Pronóstico de apuestas: Viktoria Dudakova

Lingo vs. Costa Pronóstico de apuestas: Melquizael Costa

Della Maddalena vs. Hafez Pronóstico de apuestas: Jack Della Maddalena

Valdéz vs. Elder Pronóstico de apuestas: Evan Elder

Nam vs. Maksum Pronóstico de apuestas: Azat Maksum

Deaton III vs. Munoz Pronóstico de apuestas: Alexander Munoz

Evans-Smith vs. Perez Pronóstico de apuestas: Ailin Perez

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