Last Updated on julio 20, 2023 1:16 am by Erwin Noguera
The UFC is taking a little break from the Vegas events and is now going to take a trip to London, England, where a massive local star will be battling at the main event of the fight night.
This event will be also a stacked card with one of the highest numbers of bouts in recent events, as we will get to witness 15 fights in one night if everything goes as planned. The amount of star power in this card is astonishing, as there are a lot of known names from start to finish.
With so many fights comes a little bonus gift from the matchmakers… Except for the Light heavyweight division, we have at least one fight in each of the other weight divisions, so all fight fans can see what should be expected in every single weight class.
One way or the other, things are going to get fun, and there will be a little bit of each kind of possible match-up and action for every fan out there.
Puedes consultar todas las UFC/MMA apuestas, el análisis de cada peleador y la apuesta final que puedes realizar en esta pelea.
UFC Fight Night: Aspinall vs. Tybura Fight Card Odds and Picks – Info
Cuando:
Saturday, July 22th, at 12:00 pm ET
Cuotas de línea de dinero:
Tom Aspinall -476 / Marcin Tybura +331
Molly McCann -222 / Julija Stoliarenko +171
Nathaniel Wood -212 / Andre Fili +163
André Muniz -238 / Paul Craig +179
Jai Herbert +126 / Fares Ziam -161
Lerone Murphy -149 / Josh Culibao +117
Davey Grant +113 / Daniel Marcos -142
Danny Roberts -116 / Jonny Parsons -109
Marc Diakiese +155 / Joel Alvarez -200
Mick Parkin +129 / Jamal Pogues -163
Bryan Barberena +237 / Makhmud Muradov -322
Ketlen Vieira -161 / Pannie Kianzad +126
Chris Duncan -151 / Yanal Ashmouz +119
Bruna Brasil -153 / Shauna Bannon +120
Jafel Filho -128 / Daniel Barez +101
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UFC Fight Night: Tom Aspinall vs. Marcin Tybura
¿Por qué apostar por Tom Aspinall?
Tom Aspinall (12-3, 9 KO) had eight wins in a row before his unfortunate defeat against Curtis Blaydes. The English fella was ruthless in all of his victories, with the majority ending already in the first round.
Aspinall defeated guys like Alan Baudot, the former UFC heavyweight champ Andrei Arlovski, Sergey Spivak, and Alexander Volkov. Against Blaydes, we saw him injuring his knee in only 15 seconds of the bout, which was a huge blow for the entire O2 Arena in London, but primarily for Aspinall himself.
Why Bet on Marcin Tybura?
Marcin Tybura (24-7) is 7-1 in the past eight battles, making a strong case for himself after years of being mediocre. He is one of those fighters who have been around for a long time and have fantastic experience.
Some would say that he presents the borderline between those who can do big things in the UFC and those who are average. His only defeat in recent times was against Alexander Volkov, while on the other side, the Pole defeated Ben Rothwell, Greg Hardy, Walt Harris, and most recently, Alexander Romanov and Blagoy Ivanov.
Tom Aspinall vs. Marcin Tybura Betting Analysis:
Aspinall’s explosiveness and movement are two reasons we gave him the advantage over Tybura. The Englishman is more flexible and fluid than his rival, who, even though he has more extensive experience and may be stronger than his rival, can’t respond well to all the attacks from the other side.
We also have one more factor on Aspinall’s side: the crowd at the O2 Arena. That’s going to be a great boost for the host, who should finish the bout before the decisions.
To summarize here, our choice is Aspinall via decision.
UFC Fight Night: Molly McCann contra Julija Stoliarenko
¿Por qué apostar por Molly McCann?
McCann, de Inglaterra, de 33 años, no está clasificada en 13-5 en una carrera profesional que se remonta a 2015. Es ex campeona de peso mosca de los Cage Warriors, nació en Liverpool e incluso jugó fútbol para esa franquicia antes de que terminara una lesión. su carrera futbolística. Ella es fanática del Everton.
“Meatball” vio interrumpida una racha ganadora de tres peleas la última vez en el octágono en noviembre en la ciudad de Nueva York, cayendo ante la contendiente al título Erin Blanchfield por sumisión en el primer asalto (Kimura).
¿Por qué apostar por Julija Stoliarenko?
Stoliarenko, de 30 años, de Lituania, tampoco está clasificada en la división de peso mosca femenino con un récord mediocre de 10-7 en general con dos empates y una marca de 1-4 en UFC. Miembro del elenco de la temporada 28 de “The Ultimate Fighter”, viene de una derrota por nocaut técnico (golpes) en el primer asalto en octubre ante Chelsea Chandler.
El único triunfo de Stoliarenko en UFC fue una sumisión con barra de brazo de Jessica-Rose Clark en UFC 276. Tiene nueve victorias por sumisión en general y una por decisión con tres derrotas por decisión, tres por KO/TKO y una por sumisión.
Análisis de apuestas de Molly McCann contra Julija Stoliarenko:
McCann seguramente tiene el poder, así como las habilidades de ataque para conseguir una victoria. Molly es una de las mayores luchadoras en la división de peso mosca femenino, que golpea fuerte y con frecuencia. Esto explica por qué sus dos últimas victorias fueron por nocaut técnico.
Julija Stoliarenko is an expert in Brazilian jiu-jitsu who’s got a BJJ black belt and plenty of experience with submission grappling. Further, the Lithuanian fighter who’s 10-7-2 in her professional MMA career, has 9 wins by submission in her portfolio.
En términos simples, esto significa que si la pelea entre McCann y Stoliarenko termina en la cancha, será el peleador menos favorecido el que tendrá la ventaja. Sin embargo, con la ayuda de su público en The O2 Arena, creemos que McCann logrará la victoria por la meta.
UFC Fight Night: Nathaniel Wood contra Andre Fili
¿Por qué apostar por Nathaniel Wood?
Wood también es un cliente hábil. A pesar de enfrentar una desventaja de altura y alcance contra la mayoría de los pesos pluma, sus hábiles patadas en las pantorrillas y su trabajo de agarre le han permitido tener éxito hasta ahora, ¡y con puntos de estilo!
¿Por qué apostar por André Fili?
Fili ha compartido la jaula con muchos de los mejores pesos pluma de los últimos diez años y, como resultado, su juego ha mejorado constantemente.
En su mejor momento, Fili usa combinaciones complicadas de ambas posturas para preparar sus poderosas patadas, y también es bastante bueno para cronometrar los derribos de oponentes que avanzan después de llevarlos a una pelea sorprendente.
Análisis de apuestas de Nathaniel Wood contra Andre Fili:
Las dos peleas anteriores de Wood en peso pluma fueron impresionantes, pero hay algunas salvedades. Es decir, en Rosa, se enfrentó a un hombre al que superaba en los pies, y en Jourdain, era un luchador muy superior. Ninguno de los dos podía competir plenamente con él en esas áreas y, por tanto, pudo hacerse cargo. ¡Crédito a él, eso es lo que se supone que debe hacer un buen luchador! Aún así, Fili se siente como una amenaza más completa que cualquiera de los dos.
No va a permitir que un hombre mucho más bajo lo supere fácilmente a distancia, ni es probable que lo arrojen en el clinch y lo controlen repetidamente. Esto parece una pelea donde el tamaño será importante. Ambos hombres son astutos y completos, pero el tamaño y el poder de Fili deberían inclinar las probabilidades firmemente a su favor.
UFC Fight Night: André Muniz vs.Paul Craig
¿Por qué apostar por André Muñiz?
Es difícil obtener una lectura completa sobre Muniz. ¿Cómo puede un hombre presentar “Jacare” pero luego ser abrumado en la lona por Brendan Allen? Simplemente no lució muy bien en su última aparición, y queda por ver si fue algo único o no.
¿Por qué apostar por Paul Craig?
Craig has one of the weirdest fight styles in the modern UFC, a mix of awkward range kicks, bad double legs, and guard pulls. Fortunately, he’s damn good at pulling off submissions, and his increased confidence over the years did pay off in a very nice win streak.
Análisis de apuestas de André Muniz vs.Paul Craig:
Este movimiento de peso mediano de Craig es una lectura difícil. El tamaño y la fuerza nunca parecieron ser su problema. En lugar de hacer dieta y perder músculo, aprender a disparar correctamente con una pierna doble sin caerse habría sido una solución mucho mejor para sus luchas recientes.
Quizás Craig derribe a Muniz y luego muestre su habilidad de lucha. Lo más probable es que esté sorprendido por la velocidad de su oponente en los pies, y su tanque de gasolina sea sacudido por el corte de peso. En ese caso, las probabilidades parecen fuertes de que Muñiz se desplome y pelee para lograr una clara victoria por decisión.
UFC Fight Night: Jai Herbert contra Fares Ziam
¿Por qué apostar por Jai Herbert?
Herbert no tiene el récord más bonito de UFC, pero el “Black Country Banger” ha demostrado grandes habilidades. Solo ha perdido contra nombres talentosos (Francisco Trinaldo, Renato Moicano e Ilia Topuria) y tuvo algunos momentos fuertes en todas esas derrotas, generalmente gracias a su poderoso alcance de ataque.
¿Por qué apostar en Fares Ziam?
Ziam no ha logrado causar mucho revuelo en sus cinco peleas de UFC hasta ahora. Es un delantero bastante técnico, pero aún no ha demostrado el nivel de actividad o potencia necesaria para abrirse paso en el extremo inferior de la división de peso ligero.
Análisis de apuestas de Jai Herbert vs. Fares Ziam:
Herbert parece el mejor luchador. Sus golpes son más fluidos y poderosos, y parece probable que la lucha se cancele. Lo preocupante, sin embargo, es que es casi una década mayor que su oponente, y ha demostrado ser un poco barbudo en sus peleas anteriores de UFC.
Tanto Trinaldo como Topuria pueden golpear muy fuerte, por supuesto, pero es una tendencia preocupante que a Herbert le vaya bien hasta que de repente lo sacuden o queda inconsciente. Contra un delantero joven, eso es un problema. Sin embargo, Ziam no ha demostrado el poder o el instinto asesino necesarios y, para ser honesto, no creemos que eso suceda en esta pelea.
UFC Fight Night: Lerone Murphy contra Josh Culibao
¿Por qué apostar por Lerone Murphy?
No ha sido fácil, pero Murphy ha mantenido su récord perfecto. Es un kickboxer malo que puede hacer mucho daño cuando logra ocupar la primera posición. Su fuerza y poder son notables, pero ha estado a punto de ser reprimido por oponentes anteriores.
¿Por qué apostar por Josh Culibao?
Culibao es un hábil kickboxer, un luchador enérgico que varía su sincronización para lograr buenos golpes. En su último combate, su espalda estaba contra la pared frente a las poderosas patadas de Melsik Baghdasaryan, pero mostró su lucha oportunista por primera vez al saltar hacia atrás y anotar un remate.
Análisis de apuestas de Lerone Murphy vs.Josh Culibao:
Aquí Culibao tendrá que sacarse un conejo similar de la chistera. Es difícil lidiar con Murphy de pie, razón por la cual muchos de sus oponentes pasan el tiempo lanzándose hacia sus piernas. Ese no es el juego típico de Culibao, por lo que lo más probable es que éste siga siendo una batalla de kickboxing.
En un partido impactante donde la habilidad y el volumen están razonablemente igualados, el poder tiende a marcar la diferencia, y eso favorece a Murphy.
UFC Fight Night: Davey Grant vs. Daniel Marcos
¿Por qué apostar por Davey Grant?
The three-fight win streak for Davey Grant (15-6) — his longest since 2012 — petered out thanks to back-to-back “Fight of the Night” decision losses to Marlon Vera and Adrian Yanez.
Undeterred, he returned to his finishing ways by stopping Louis Smolka and Raphael Assuncao, upping his bonus total to five in the process. His 11 professional finishes are split 7:4 between submissions and knockouts.
¿Por qué apostar por Daniel Marcos?
Peru’s Daniel Marcos (14-0) battled his way past Brandon Lewis to claim a contract on Contender Series. The win set up an Octagon debut against Saimon Oliveira, whom Marcos overpowered en route to a second-round technical knockout.
Davey Grant vs. Daniel Marcos Betting Analysis:
The power and tenacity are still there for Grant, but he’s had some worrying hiccups of late. He gave away the second round against Smolka and both of the first two against Assuncao. That’s not going to cut it against a young, powerful, aggressive fighter like Marcos; so he can’t rely on turning things around with one big punch, especially since his rival carries his power late.
Grant is still much more proven and experienced than Marcos, and “Soncora’s” win over Oliveira is somewhat undercut by Oliveira utilizing the worst gameplan imaginable. At 37 years old, though, we can’t be sure the veteran has enough left in the tank. In the end, Daniel out-slugs him to a clear victory.
UFC Fight Night: Danny Roberts vs. Jonny Parsons
Why Bet on Danny Roberts?
Danny Roberts (18-7) opened his UFC career 5-2, notably winning “Fight of the Night” for his victories over Dominique Steele and David Zawada. He now finds himself 2-4 in his last six, including a knockout loss to Jack Della Maddalena in Nov. 2022.
Why Bet on Jonny Parsons?
Jonny Parsons (8-3) rode a four-fight win streak into Contender Series, where he entered as a sizeable underdog against Solomon Renfro. He nearly succumbed to an early flurry from “The Black Dragon,” but battled back to win the last two rounds and claim a split decision win.
“The Sluggernaut” fights for the first time in 21 months, as a planned Feb. 2022 debut against Micheal Gillmore fell through.
Danny Roberts vs. Jonny Parsons Betting Analysis:
Though Parsons boasts decent Muay Thai, his win over Renfro was less due to Parsons’ abilities and more due to Renfro’s inability to maintain his output. At the same time, Roberts would be 1-5 in the last five years had the judges scored his fight with Ramazan Emeev correctly. He’s so fragile that he can’t be trusted even against someone this limited.
It’s more a gut pick than anything, but we’re going with Parsons. While one would acknowledge that he is a step below the people who’ve beaten Roberts before, he just seems like the more reliable fighter. In short, a knockdown proves the difference in a competitive striking battle.
UFC Fight Night: Marc Diakiese vs. Joel Alvarez
¿Por qué apostar por Marc Diakiese?
After ruling the roost in BAMMA, Marc Diakiese (16-6) battled his way to a perfect (3-0) UFC start highlighted by a lethal one-punch finish of Teemu Packalen. He’s since dropped six of 10, among them a unanimous decision to Michael Johnson last time out.
Why Bet on Joel Alvarez?
“El Fenomeno” put an unsuccessful UFC debut behind him to win four straight, including upset finishes of Joe Duffy and Thiago Moises. His efforts earned him a fight with Arman Tsarukyan, who battered Alvarez to hand him his first stoppage defeat since 2015. This marks his first bout in nearly 17 months.
Marc Diakiese vs. Joel Alvarez Betting Analysis:
While he made his name as a knockout artist, Diakiese has always been willing to wrestle; in fact, it’s what carried him past Frankie Perez in his second UFC bout. That said, he seems to have lost all confidence in his standup, which is bad news here.
We saw against Damir Ismagulov and Tsarukyan that Alvarez is far from invincible off of his back, but he’s more than good enough to punish the sloppy shots Diakiese has become increasingly reliant on. However, If he fought perfectly, “Bone Crusher” could theoretically tear up Alvarez’s legs and potshot his way to victory. As is, he’s too prone to the poor decision-making that Alvarez thrives on punishing. When the dust settles, “El Fenomeno” finds his neck inside for five minutes.
UFC Fight Night: Mick Parkin vs. Jamal Pogues
¿Por qué apostar por Mick Parkin?
Mick Parkin (6-0) went 7-0-1 as an amateur before turning professional in 2019. He quickly won his first five professional bouts to earn a spot on Contender Series, where he choked out Eduardo Neves to secure a UFC contract. All of his professional wins have come inside two rounds, five of them by knockout.
¿Por qué apostar por Jamal Pogues?
Three years after cruising past Marcos Brigagao in his first Contender Series appearance, Jamal Pogues (10-3) returned to the program as a Heavyweight to beat Paul Renato Jr. He made his UFC debut six months later, powering through injury to win a unanimous decision over Josh Parisian.
Mick Parkin vs. Jamal Pogues Betting Analysis:
You don’t get a lot of genuinely skilled Heavyweights under 30, so seeing two of them square off is a treat.
While it’s close to a mirror match, we’ve got Pogues by a hair. His hands look a bit sharper and a damn sight faster than Parkin’s, and though he’s still carrying a lot of excess weight, his UFC debut was a marked improvement from his second Contender Series bout.
Parkin boasts better top control, but Pogues is quite adept at getting back to his feet and showed off some wrestling skills of his own against Parisian. Plus, he’s a lot more seasoned than Parkin in terms of opponent quality and experience in deep waters. We say he takes over down the stretch for a competitive decision.
UFC Fight Night: Bryan Barberena vs. Makhmud Muradov
Why Bet on Bryan Barberena?
Barberena — fighting for his UFC life after a 3-5 skid — put together three straight wins over Darian Weeks, Matt Brown, and Robbie Lawler. The success wasn’t to last, and he enters the cage this Saturday on the heels of submission losses to Rafael dos Anjos and Gunnar Nelson. His 13 professional finishes include 11 by knockout.
Why Bet on Makhmud Muradov?
Though dogged by inactivity, Makhmud Muradov (25-8) fought his way to three straight UFC wins, two of which earned him Performance of the Night. Then came a come-from-behind submission loss to Gerald Meerschaert, followed by a decision defeat to Contender Series grad Caio Borralho.
Bryan Barberena vs. Makhmud Muradov Betting Analysis:
This just seems like a downright nightmarish matchup for Barberena. If “Bam Bam’s” recent efforts are anything to go by, Muradov can take him down whenever he wants, especially since Barberena will be extremely undersized at 185.
Even if Barberena did somehow channel the spirit of Jose Aldo to keep it standing, Muradov is too fast and elusive for Barberena to hunt down. The Latter’s only chance lies in the first gassing, but it’s hard to get any real attrition going when he can’t corner him or stop him from taking it to the mat. In the end, Muradov dominates on top to sweep him on the scorecards.
UFC Fight Night: Ketlen Vieira vs. Pannie Kianzad
Why Bet on Ketlen Vieira?
Ketlen Vieira (13-3) defeated Miesha Tate and edged out Holly Holm in back-to-back UFC main events. Fortune did not stay on her side, as she dropped an equally controversial split decision to Raquel Pennington her next time out. She’s submitted four opponents and knocked out another two.
Why Bet on Pannie Kianzad?
Pannie Kianzad (17-6) — a The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) 28 finalist — struggled to an 0-2 UFC start. She’s since found her footing with a 5-1 run, which most recently saw her bounce back from a loss to Pennington by beating Lina Lansberg.
Ketlen Vieira vs. Pannie Kianzad Betting Analysis:
Kianzad’s mental health issues derailed her after an 8-0 pro start, but she refused to fade away. We’d like to see her hard work rewarded, but just don’t think it’ll happen here. She struggled mightily to stay out of the clinch against Pennington and Lansberg, putting her square in Vieira’s wheelhouse.
Vieira has also developed her striking to the point where we’re not sure Kianzad has a clear edge on the feet, especially if she neglects lateral movement as she did for the first two rounds of the Lansberg fight. Pannie has defied the odds before, but there’s just not enough going her way in this matchup. In other words, Ketlen holds her own at a distance and controls the clinch en route to a decision victory.
UFC Fight Night: Chris Duncan vs. Yanal Ashmouz
¿Por qué apostar por Chris Duncan?
Chris Duncan (10-1) lost his undefeated record to Viacheslav Borshchev in his first Contender Series bid, only to win a contract 10 months later by smashing Charlie Campbell in his return. He then battled Omar Morales in his Octagon proper debut, leaning on his wrestling to win a split decision.
¿Por qué apostar por Yanal Ashmouz?
Despite beating Dennis Hughes in PFL’s Challenger Series, “Red Fox” failed to secure a tournament berth. Exactly one year later, he joined UFC instead and promptly upset Sam Patterson with a 75-second knockout. The win marked his fourth knockout and sixth professional finish overall.
Chris Duncan vs. Yanal Ashmouz Betting Analysis:
On paper, this is a very winnable fight for Duncan. Ashmouz is a powerhouse, but he’s not the sort of technician who could deal with a properly utilized reach advantage. The thing is, Chris is both extremely slow and extremely hittable; he gets rocked with worrying regularity despite boasting genuinely decent kickboxing technique.
Ashmouz showed against Patterson that he can turn a single slip-up into a fight-ending barrage, and he’ll have no shortage of opportunities against this rival. Duncan has a shot if he can keep it at a distance and shut down Yanal’s wrestling, but that’s a lot to ask from someone so prone to getting clipped. In short, Red Fox blasts him with a counter and piles on the hurt until the ref intervenes.
UFC Fight Night: Bruna Brasil vs. Shauna Bannon
¿Por qué apostar en Bruna Brasil?
Bruna Brasil (8-3-1) capped off a pristine run (7-0) by flattening Marnic Mann with a head kick on Contender Series. This led to an April 2023 UFC debut against Denise Gomes, who stopped Brasil with a flurry of punches midway through the second. She’s knocked out three pro foes and submitted another two.
¿Por qué apostar por Shauna Bannon?
Shauna Bannon (5-0) ended her amateur career on a perfect run (5-0) before turning professional in 2022. She’s split her time in the paid ranks between Invicta and Cage Legacy, most recently beating Minna Grusander in March 2023.
Bruna Brasil vs. Shauna Bannon Betting Analysis:
To be fair, Brasil’s loss to Gomes has aged quite well thanks to Gomes’ mauling of Yazmin Jauregui, but “The Special One’s” red flags were hard to ignore. She seemed unable to manage distance, slowly retreating with her hands down no matter how many times her rival stepped in and plugged her with combinations.
Though Brazil can occasionally compensate with sharp counters, they were nowhere to be seen. That looks like a death sentence against Bannon, who’s fast and technically savvy enough to punish those defensive lapses from bell to bell. The latter also boasts a strong top game that Bruna seemingly has few answers for, so “Mama B” has no shortage of backup plans.
In the end, Bannon controls both the feet and the mat to keep her undefeated record intact.
UFC Fight Night: Jafel Filho vs. Daniel Barez
Why Bet on Jafel Filho?
Jafel Filho (14-3) extended his win streak to five by battering Roybert Echeverria on Contender Series, earning a UFC contract in the process. He then took on the top prospect, Muhammad Mokaev, and despite badly damaging “The Punisher’s” leg with a third-round kneebar, he ultimately succumbed to a rear-naked choke.
“Pastor” hasn’t seen the judges since 2014 and sports eight submission wins on his record.
Why Bet on Daniel Barez?
Daniel Barez (16-5) — winner of his previous six bouts — started strong against Carlos Hernandez on Contender Series, but failed to match his pace en route to a split decision loss. He soon returned to the Latin American circuit, where he racked up four straight first-round finishes.
Jafel Filho vs. Daniel Barez Betting Analysis:
The deciding factor here is Barez’s gas tank. For our money, he’s got the faster and heavier hands of the two, plus enough wrestling skills to take Filho’s killer submission game off the table. At the same time, he slowed down considerably against Hernandez, and a string of quick finishes over hapless opponents don’t convince me that he’s fixed the issue.
We are just barely leaning Barez’s way, largely because of how damaging his low kicks are and how poorly Filho reacts to them. He does enough damage to Filho in the first two rounds to edge out a decision despite “Pastor’s” late surge.
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