NFL Trade Deadline Day: Final Rumors and Likely Moves

Last Updated on Novembro 9, 2026 4:59 pm by Erwin Noguera

Jacksonville have given up a 2027 first-round pick, a 2027 second, a 2029 second, and a 2028 fifth in the space of three days. They are 6-2 with the best point differential in the NFL. They are reportedly not finished.

The deadline is 4:00 PM ET on Tuesday, November 10. Week 9 closes tonight with Buffalo at Minnesota, and every club still deciding what it is gets one more result and then roughly nineteen hours.

Indianapolis have already sold Quenton Nelson and DeForest Buckner, fired their general manager, and are now expected to take the best offer on Jonathan Taylor. They are 2-7. Philadelphia is also 2-7 and just sent Jordan Davis to a division-leading Jaguars side for a first-round pick.

And the most interesting team in the league tonight is Minnesota, who are 6-1, concede fewer points than anybody, score fewer than all but one other winning team, and are linked to both a quarterback and a running back from the same selling club.

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The Timing

4:00 PM ET, Tuesday, November 10.

Buffalo at Minnesota kicks off at 8:15 PM ET tonight, and both clubs have played seven games; fewer than anyone else in the league. Whatever happens in that stadium lands with under twenty hours left on the clock.

Minnesota are the club most heavily linked to a deal, and they are the one playing tonight, which means their front office has the least time of anybody to act on what it learns this week.

Jacksonville Have Bought the Deadline

6-2. Plus 108-point differential; best in the NFL by 29 points over San Francisco. Per game, that is +13.50, which is three and a half points clear of anybody.

They concede 15.12 points a game, second fewest in the league behind Minnesota. And they have spent the last three days buying defense.

Atlanta is reported to be picking up most of Bates’s remaining salary, which is the detail that makes a second-round pick make sense for a club at 6-2.

The Jordan Davis price is the eye-catching one. A first-round pick in 2027 and a second in 2029 for a defensive tackle, paid by a team already allowing fifteen points a game. That is not a side upgrade. That is a club that has decided this is the year.

Brian Thomas is the name that keeps coming back the other way. Reports have Jacksonville fielding interest in the receiver, and he has been in a rough patch. We would treat that as noise rather than a plan; a club spending first-round capital on its defense is not simultaneously dismantling its passing game.

Indianapolis Are Selling Everything

2-7, minus 65, and the general manager is gone.

Already traded: Quenton Nelson to Seattle for a 2027 third and a 2028 fifth. DeForest Buckner to San Francisco for a 2027 fourth.

Still on the table, and all three are live:

The Taylor trade is the single most likely remaining move on the board, not because of a specific report, but because every condition is in place: a 2-7 record, a fired general manager, an explicit willingness to take the best offer, and a player on an expiring window of value.

Minnesota Are the Reason to Watch Tonight

6-1. They allow 13.29 points a game, the fewest in the NFL. They score 20.00, which is 26th.

Among the sixteen teams currently above .500, only Cleveland scores less.

That is the whole explanation for why Minnesota’s name is attached to both Indianapolis players. One report has them potentially ending up with both Daniel Jones and Jonathan Taylor. A club with the best defense in football and the second-worst offence of any winner is exactly the club that should be shopping for offence.

And tonight they host the highest-scoring team in the league. Buffalo put up 33.29 points a game, first of thirty-two. Best defense against best offence, with the deadline nineteen hours later.

If Minnesota’s defense holds Buffalo down, the case for buying an offence gets louder, not quieter. If Buffalo scores forty, the case gets louder still. There is no result tonight that makes Minnesota less likely to trade.

What Is Confirmed

Two first-round picks for Jeffery Simmons is the largest price paid at this deadline, and it is not close. Chicago are 7-2 and have decided their defensive interior is the thing standing between them and January.

The Brissett deal is the quiet one and the most readable. Baltimore are 4-5 on a four-game losing run with a minus-47 differential, and they have just bought a veteran backup quarterback while insisting they are not trading Derrick Henry. A club in that position acquiring a 33-year-old backup is managing a season, not building one.

What Is Being Said

Separating the two categories matters more today than on any other day of the year.

Reported as likely:

Reported, and contradicted:

Named, with nothing behind it yet:

The Clubs Saying No

Several have gone on the record, and on deadline eve a public denial is usually worth something.

The Jets are the strange one. 2-7, minus 41, and they are selling nobody while a first-round linebacker asks to leave. Whatever that is, it is not a rebuild.

Three Things We Flagged Last Time

On October 29, we published a deadline preview and marked three items as unconfirmed. All three have moved.

Buda Baker appeared in a single search result then, and we could not corroborate it. He is now named across the trackers and has addressed it himself. Still no reported offer.

Khalil Mack could not be confirmed on the Chargers’ injury listing because that feed is capped per club, and we attributed the claim to the one source that named him. Harbaugh has now answered it directly: Mack is staying.

The Saquon Barkley–Minnesota link we identified as a single-headline report and treated as speculation. It has not materialized, and the Vikings’ name is now attached to Jonathan Taylor instead. The underlying read (that Minnesota would shop for a running back) looks right; the specific name was wrong, and it was right to flag it rather than print it.

O que faríamos

Expect Jonathan Taylor to move and expect the price to disappoint Indianapolis. A 2-7 club that has publicly committed to taking the best offer has no leverage left, and everybody bidding knows it.

Expect Jacksonville to make one more. A club that has just paid a first-round pick for a defensive tackle is not price-sensitive today, and they were active again as recently as Monday afternoon.

Do not expect the Jets to sell. They have said no on Wilson, they are 2-7, and the only move they look likely to make is accommodating Will McDonald’s request.

And the number we would keep in front of us is Jacksonville’s point differential. Plus 108 in eight games, 29 clear of the next team. If the Jaguars are the team spending hardest at this deadline and they already have the best margin in football, the rest of the AFC has a problem that does not resolve on Tuesday afternoon.

One caution on the market. Deadline-day reports move faster than the lines do, and the gap between “talks are active” and “a deal is agreed” is where most of the bad bets live. Nothing in this article is a transaction until a club announces it.

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