Probabilidades de apostas do Las Vegas Raiders

Probabilidades de apostas do Las Vegas Raiders

Last Updated on novembro 25, 2025 12:21 pm by Tomás

Visão geral da equipe

O Las Vegas Raiders passou por uma transformação completa para 2025, contratando o lendário técnico Pete Carroll e reunindo-o com o quarterback Geno Smith. Os Raiders fizeram investimentos significativos em seu ataque, selecionando o finalista do Troféu Heisman, Ashton Jeanty, em sexto lugar geral, e trazendo uma liderança veterana. Com o novo coordenador ofensivo Chip Kelly, os Raiders estão implementando um sistema ofensivo mais dinâmico, projetado para maximizar seus armadores.

A franquia parece mais focada e organizada do que nos últimos anos, com o gerente geral John Spytek e o consultor Tom Brady garantindo estabilidade. As odds da divisão refletem seu status de reconstrução em +1100 a +2000, mas os primeiros relatórios sugerem que esta equipe pode surpreender muitos observadores. A combinação de treinadores experientes, jovens talentos e estrutura organizacional aprimorada dá a Las Vegas motivos para otimismo.

Análise da linha ofensiva

A linha ofensiva dos Raiders continua em desenvolvimento, com quatro dos cinco titulares retornando de uma unidade que teve dificuldades significativas em 2024. O grupo ficou entre os piores em jardas antes do contato por tentativa, taxa de sucesso em corridas e corridas explosivas. Pete Carroll historicamente teve sucesso limitado em aprimorar as linhas ofensivas durante sua gestão em Seattle, levantando dúvidas sobre uma melhora imediata.

No entanto, a adição de jogadores veteranos e uma offseason completa sob o comando de Carroll podem resultar em melhorias graduais. O desempenho da linha será crucial para maximizar os talentos de Ashton Jeanty e proteger Geno Smith. Embora não se espere que esteja entre as melhores unidades da liga, melhorias incrementais impactariam significativamente o potencial ofensivo dos Raiders.

Análise da Linha Defensiva

Las Vegas enfrenta desafios significativos na linha defensiva após a saída de Christian Wilkins. O pass rush agora depende fortemente do edge rusher All-Pro Maxx Crosby e do retorno de Malcolm Koonce, que perdeu toda a temporada de 2024. Koonce precisa reproduzir seu desempenho de oito sacks de 2023 para dar suporte adequado a Crosby.

A linha defensiva interna carece de profundidade comprovada após as saídas, criando vulnerabilidade tanto contra corridas quanto contra passes. Os Raiders adicionaram algumas peças veteranas, mas o nível geral de talento diminuiu desde 2024. Crosby continua sendo um dos pass rushers de elite da NFL, mas precisará de apoio significativo de jogadores coadjuvantes para manter uma pressão eficaz.

Temporada da NFL de 2025

First Kickoff Game – vs. New England Patriots

The Las Vegas Raiders opened their season with a hard-fought 20–13 road win over the Patriotas da Nova Inglaterra, led by Geno Smith’s 362 passing yards and a touchdown to Tre Tucker. Rookie Ashton Jeanty added a rushing score, while Daniel Carlson converted two long field goals to secure the victory.

Key injuries include backup quarterback Aidan O’Connell, who suffered a fractured wrist, and safety Lonnie Johnson Jr., who is sidelined with a fibula injury. The defense made crucial second-half adjustments, sacking Patriots QB Drake Maye twice and holding New England scoreless after halftime.

Next up, the Raiders host the Chargers in a Monday night AFC West matchup, looking to carry over their improved defensive play and keep Geno Smith’s passing attack rolling.

Week 2 vs. Carregadores de Los Angeles

The Raiders managed only field goals in their prime-time loss, unable to find the end zone against the Carregadores de Los Angeles defense. Geno Smith threw three interceptions and struggled under pressure from Los Angeles’ pass rush. Despite lengthy drives that consumed significant clock time, the Raiders couldn’t convert red-zone opportunities into touchdowns. The offensive line’s protection issues and lack of explosive plays left Las Vegas searching for answers as they dropped to 0-2 in the division.

Week 3 vs. Comandantes de Washington

The Las Vegas Raiders suffered a devastating 41-24 loss to Comandantes de Washington, dropping to 1-2 as their defense was overwhelmed by the Commanders’ explosive offensive attack. Geno Smith threw for 289 yards and connected on three touchdown passes to wide receiver Tre Tucker, though two of those scores came in garbage time during the fourth quarter when the game was already out of reach. The Raiders’ ground game struggled significantly with Ashton Jeanty averaging just 3.7 yards per carry, while Smith faced constant pressure, being sacked five times throughout the game. The defense allowed 201 rushing yards on 32 attempts and was particularly vulnerable to big plays, including Jeremy McNichols’ 60-yard touchdown run and Jaylin Lane’s 90-yard punt return for a score.

Las Vegas finds themselves in early trouble at 1-2 with concerning issues on both sides of the ball that were exposed against Washington’s backup quarterback Marcus Mariota. The Raiders’ inability to generate consistent pressure on defense and establish any rhythm on offense has left them struggling to keep pace in the competitive AFC West. With games against much tougher opponents ahead, the Raiders desperately need to address their fundamental issues in all three phases before their season slips away entirely.

Week 4 vs. Chicago Bears

The Raiders fell to 1-3 after a heartbreaking 25-24 loss to the Ursos de Chicago, dropping them to last place in the AFC West. Despite rookie running back Ashton Jeanty’s breakout performance with 138 rushing yards, 1 rushing touchdown, and 2 receiving scores, quarterback Geno Smith’s three interceptions proved costly. The Bears converted Smith’s turnovers into 13 points, and Daniel Carlson’s potential game-winning field goal was blocked with 30 seconds remaining.

The Raiders face the Indianapolis Colts at home in Week 5, desperately needing a victory to avoid falling further behind in the competitive AFC West race. Smith’s turnover issues must be addressed if Las Vegas hopes to remain competitive in what appears to be a wide-open division.

Week 5 vs. Indianapolis Colts

Las Vegas was overwhelmed 40-6 by the Colts de Indianápolis, turning in a performance marred by two Geno Smith interceptions and a lack of defensive pressure for the first time in 40 contests. Injuries hit hard, with Brock Bowers, Michael Mayer, and Kolton Miller all missing action, leaving the Raiders’ offense and line thin and underpowered.

The Raiders now prepare to battle the Titãs do Tennessee, hoping to regroup, get healthier, and revitalize both sides of the ball before the division rivalry intensifies.

Week 6 vs. Tennessee Titans

The Las Vegas Raiders snapped their four-game losing streak with a much-needed 20-10 victory over the Tennessee Titans in Week 6. The defense was the catalyst, with Maxx Crosby recording two sacks and Devin White forcing a strip-sack fumble and interception to lead the unit. Ashton Jeanty carried the load offensively with 86 yards from scrimmage and a rushing touchdown, while Geno Smith threw his league-leading 10th interception but managed the game effectively with 174 passing yards. Las Vegas improved to 2-4 and traveled to Kansas City to face the Chiefs in Week 7.

Week 7 vs. Kansas City Chiefs

The Las Vegas Raiders suffered their most humiliating defeat of the season in Week 7, getting blanked 31-0 by the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium. The offense managed just 96 total yards and three first downs while going 0-for-10 on third down, with Geno Smith completing only 10 of 16 passes for 67 yards and Ashton Jeanty held to 21 yards on six carries. Injuries compounded the misery as Maxx Crosby exited late in the first half with a knee injury, while the absences of Brock Bowers and Jakobi Meyers further hampered the offense. Las Vegas dropped to 2-5 and heads into their Week 8 bye before hosting the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 9.

Week 9 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

The Las Vegas Raiders suffered a heartbreaking 30-29 overtime loss to the Jacksonville Jaguars despite an exceptional performance from tight end Brock Bowers, who caught 12 passes for 127 yards and three touchdowns. Head coach Pete Carroll’s decision to go for a two-point conversion in overtime backfired when the pass was deflected, sealing the loss.​​

Las Vegas travels to Denver for a Thursday Night Football divisional matchup in Week 10, desperately needing a victory to avoid falling further behind in the AFC West.​

Week 10 vs. Denver Broncos

The Raiders continued their struggles with a 10-7 road loss to Denver, dropping to 2-7. Brock Bowers faced constant pressure from Denver’s relentless defense, which recorded seven sacks and disrupted the Raiders’ offensive rhythm throughout. Las Vegas managed just 139 total yards, allowing 220 points through 10 games while sitting last in the AFC West.​​

The Raiders host the Dallas Cowboys on Monday Night Football in Week 11, returning home after the short week at Denver. Las Vegas desperately searches for answers to turn around a season spiraling out of control.​

Week 12 Vs Cleveland Browns

 Raiders fell 24-10 at home to the Cleveland Browns, extending their losing streak. Defensive lapses and struggles to sustain drives impacted their performance.Defensive issues, inability to finish drives, losing streak continuation. For week 13 Raiders host Broncos. Need to stop the Broncos’ balanced attack and improve overall gameplay to stay competitive in the division.

Chances de ganhar a divisão e o Super Bowl

Os Raiders têm as odds mais altas da AFC West, variando de +1100 a +2000, refletindo seu status de reconstrução. As odds para o Super Bowl LX são igualmente altas, indicando que o time é visto como um projeto de vários anos, e não como um concorrente imediato. No entanto, alguns mercados de apostas têm mostrado movimento em direção a Las Vegas, sugerindo otimismo inicial de alguns apostadores.

A combinação da experiência de Carroll como treinador, do talento de Jeanty e da comprovada habilidade de Smith gerou mais interesse do que o normal para um time em reconstrução. Embora as chances de chegar aos playoffs permaneçam baixas, os Raiders podem superar as expectativas se suas melhorias ofensivas se traduzirem em vitórias.

Previsões

A maioria dos modelos de projeção prevê 6-9 vitórias para os Raiders, refletindo seu estado de reconstrução e reconhecendo potencial de melhoria. O piso da equipe parece ser de 4-5 vitórias se ocorrerem lesões ou dificuldades na implementação do sistema, enquanto o teto pode chegar a 8-9 vitórias se tudo se alinhar.

O impacto de Ashton Jeanty será crucial para superar as expectativas, com alguns analistas prevendo que ele pode ganhar o prêmio de Calouro Ofensivo do Ano. O sucesso da reunião Carroll-Smith e o sistema ofensivo de Kelly determinarão em grande parte se Las Vegas conseguirá competir por respeitabilidade ou se permanecerá entre os times mais fracos da liga. O desempenho no início da temporada será decisivo para a trajetória imediata desta franquia.

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