Última atualização em 13 de julho de 2023 15h22 por Erwin Noguera
After what could arguably be the best UFC event of the year so far, we go back from numbered events to our regular fight night, and the UFC made a great choice on this one, as we hit the UFC Apex for an exciting headliner fight, and a lot of rising talent in the fights to build up towards it.
This event is going to be great for those who want to catch up with all the least-known names and see who will be rising through the ranks in the next year or so. With 14 fights in the card, there is plenty to see, be it any of the 8 prelims or the 6 cards in the main card.
For the headliner, we have a clash between two top-level bantamweights in a division that has its belt vacant after the Lioness decided it was time to hang the gloves, and now, both Holly Holm and Mayra Bueno Silva are looking to make a statement on to who should fight for that title next.
When it comes to the rest of the fight card, some names may ring a bell, but you may not hear too many being UFC staples as of yet, so it’s a good time to catch up and learn some of those names as they prove themselves this Saturday.
Você pode verificar todos os UFC/MMA Apostas, análise de cada lutador e a aposta final que você pode fazer nesta luta.
UFC Fight Night: Holm vs. Bueno Silva Fight Card Odds and Picks – Info
Quando:
Saturday, July 15th, at 7:00 pm ET
Probabilidades de vitória:
Holly Holm -172 vs. Mayra Bueno Silva +134
Albert Duraev +125 vs. Jun Yong Park -158
Walt Harris -156 vs. Josh Parisian +122
Norma Dumont -140 vs. Chelsea Chandler +110
Ottman Azaitar -105 vs. Francisco Prado -121
Terrance McKinney +117 vs. Nazim Sadykhov -149
Tucker Lutz +131 vs. Melsik Baghdasaryan -169
Istela Nunes +170 vs. Viktoriya Dudakova -222
Austin Lingo +168 vs. Melquizael Costa -217
Jack Della Maddalena -666 vs. Bassil Hafez +428
Genaro Valdéz +233 vs. Evan Elder -312
Tyson Nam +296 vs. Azat Maksum -416
Carl Deaton III +135 vs. Alex Munoz -172
Ashlee Evans-Smith +161 vs. Ailin Perez -208
Onde posso assistir?
UFC Fight Night: Holly Holm vs. Mayra Bueno Silva
Por que apostar em Holly Holm?
Despite being 41 years old, Holm is one of the greatest combat sports athletes of all time and is still the No. 3 ranked contender in the women’s bantamweight division. She has nothing left to prove but remains hell-bent on regaining the belt and is still going strong, winning three of her last four fights.
Ranked third, she looked great in her victory over Yana Santos in March and is one or two wins away from a title shot.
Por que apostar em Mayra Bueno Silva?
Bueno Silva (10-2-1), has earned four of her five UFC wins by finish. The No 10-ranked Brazilian’s on a three-fight win streak, which includes back-to-back submission victories over Stephanie Egger and Lina Lansberg. “Sheetara” is indeed a submission specialist, boasting seven tap-out wins in all, and will look to use her speed to close the gap and get her grappling off.
She’s fearless on the feet, so she won’t shoot willy-nilly but will rather seek to mask her takedowns with strikes.
Holly Holm vs. Mayra Bueno Silva Betting Analysis:
Holm knows how to fight her style very well. She is usually bigger than her opponents, and she uses that reach to stay at her comfortable range–which is very far away. She likes to hit and not get hit as much as possible, no matter how slow-moving the fights are.
Silva is very dangerous from her back and is better everywhere on the ground than Holm. Don’t be surprised if she tries to pull guard or trick Holm to get into her guard on the ground.
We believe Silva will be able to find the early submission and add a huge name to her resume in the main event this Saturday Night.
UFC Fight Night: Albert Duraev vs. Jun Yong Park
Why Bet on Albert Duraev?
Albert “Machette” Duraev is a 34-year-old Chechen fighter who’s 16-4 overall with most of his losses happening in the early days of his professional career as an MMA fighter. He did suffer a loss to Joaquin Buckley in 2022, but it happened by TKO (doctor stoppage).
He has a background in combat sambo, which explains why nine of his 16 career wins happened by submission. He’s also a decent boxer, although he’s been using those skills almost exclusively for defending.
Por que apostar em Jun Yong Park?
“The Iron Turtle” got an interesting MMA Career History. The Korean fighter is 16-5 overall, and same as his current opponent, he too suffered most of his losses in the early days of his career – three of his five losses happened within the first three years of his tenure.
He won his two previous fights by submission, and if he continues to finish his opponents, we might see him get ranked.
Albert Duraev vs. Jun Yong Park Betting Analysis:
These two are very similar, not only when it comes to their skillset, but also when it comes to their record, fighting style, experience, and even built.
Dito isso, achamos que essa luta é cara ou coroa, mas se tivéssemos que escolher uma, escolheríamos Duraev. Isso se deve às suas excelentes quedas. Ele parece capaz de derrubar quase qualquer oponente, ao mesmo tempo que é bastante decente em defendê-los, o que deve permitir-lhe obter uma vitória aqui.
UFC Fight Night: Walt Harris vs. Josh Parisian
Why Bet on Walt Harris?
“The Big Ticket” Walt Harris, is a seasoned warrior in the MMA domain, with a professional record of 13 wins and 10 losses. Intriguingly, all of Harris’ wins have come via KO/TKO, painting a picture of a man who knows how to capitalize on an opportunity when he sees one.
Aged 40, heads into this fight on the back of a three-fight losing streak, facing considerable pressure to turn his fortunes around.
Por que apostar em Josh Parisian?
With a formidable record of 15 wins and 6 losses, Parisian’s fight history is a testament to his durability and power, with an impressive 11 of his victories coming via KO/TKO. Despite a recent setback, the 34 years old, is in the prime of his career and has proven that he possesses the necessary skills to bounce back.
Walt Harris vs. Josh Parisian Betting Analysis:
The question marks behind how Harris will look after two years off and at the age of 40 is an issue. Both guys are massive human beings and have tons of power in their hands.
The outcome of this fight might solely depend on whether or not Parisian goes for and lands a takedown. That can draw this fight out a lot longer than usual, but we are expecting him to go in for the victory before Harris wears off the ring rust.
UFC Fight Night: Norma Dumont vs. Chelsea Chandler
Por que apostar em Norma Dumont?
Dumont is currently on a two-fight winning streak heading into this event. Her most recent victory was a unanimous decision against Karol Rosa back in April of this year. Her fighting resume shows that she has nine wins which consist of two submissions and seven decisions.
Two of her nine victories have resulted in first-round finishes and she had one loss each by knockout and decision.
Why Bet on Chelsea Chandler?
Chandler is riding a five-fight win streak and is coming off her debut in the UFC. This was a first-round TKO victory against Julija Stoliarenko back in October of last year. Her fighting resume shows that she has five wins that consist of two knockouts, one submission, and two decisions.
Two of her five victories have resulted in first-round finishes and her only loss has been by decision.
Norma Dumont vs. Chelsea Chandler Betting Analysis:
This is another toss-up bout that figures to go either way. Dumont is a good fighter, but we’ve seen her get cracked and stopped when her opponents can apply a lot of pressure on her.
Chandler also has the size and power to which Dumont won’t be able to bully her. We’re going to go with the first scoring a minor upset based on her power and activity.
UFC Fight Night: Ottman Azaitar vs. Francisco Prado
Por que apostar em Ottman Azaitar?
Azaitar, also known as the “Bulldozer”, boasts a record of 13 wins and 1 loss. With a foundation in Muay Thai, he has displayed lethal knockout power in his bouts, achieving 69% of his victories through KO/TKO. His punching power and aggressive style are among his major strengths.
Por que apostar em Francisco Prado?
Prado, on the other hand, has 11 wins and 1 loss on his resume. He has shown remarkable skills in both striking and grappling. With a background in Taekwondo, he has achieved 45% of his victories by KO/TKO and 55% via submission, indicating his versatile skill set.
Ottman Azaitar vs. Francisco Prado Betting Analysis:
Azaitar’s last defeat, however, highlighted a potential weakness in his grappling defense, which could be exploited by a skilled submission artist. Also, as he often seeks to finish fights early, his cardio in the later rounds may be questionable.
A fraqueza de Prado pode estar em sua experiência relativamente verde, especialmente quando enfrenta situações de alta pressão contra lutadores experientes. Sua derrota veio por decisão, sugerindo que ele pode ter dificuldade para convencer os juízes quando não consegue terminar a luta.
Prado virá com um ataque equilibrado e provavelmente testará o agarramento do adversário, porém, espera-se que Azaitar lance uma bomba que encerre a luta no segundo.
UFC Fight Night: Terrance McKinney vs. Nazim Sadykhov
Por que apostar em Terrance McKinney?
The 28-year-old American was known for his wrestling prowess in High School, but his knockout power has made him famous in professional MMA circles. The Purple belt in Brazilian Jiu-Jitsu replaced Frank Camacho for his UFC debut against Matt Frevola in June 2021.
He won the fight by knockout seven seconds into the first round, setting the record for the fastest finish and fastest knockout in UFC Lightweight history. His knockout stats preceded the UFC as in 2019, “T Wrecks” racked up three knockouts in a row in the LFA with a combined time of less than two minutes.
Por que apostar em Nazim Sadykhov?
Brooklyn-born Nazim Sadykhov is working hard to represent his native Azerbaijan in the MMA world. The former Fury FC fighter made an impressive debut in the UFC in February when he scored a TKO over Evan Elder.
That was a follow-up to his third-round KO of Ahmad Sohail Hassanzada on Dana White’s Contender Series last August. The 29-year-old has six knockouts from eight wins.
Terrance McKinney vs. Nazim Sadykhov Betting Analysis:
Sadykhov only has one via submission but his aggressive style can pose a big threat inside the Octagon against McKinney, who has suffered four losses by T/KOs, including in two of his last three fights.
McKinney is the more experienced fighter in the UFC between himself and Sadykhov. However, he might get into trouble because of his foe’s apparent power.
Terrance will neutralize that asset by using his length and by bringing the fight to the ground where he’s at his best and taking a narrow victory.
UFC Fight Night: Tucker Lutz vs. Melsik Baghdasaryan
Why Bet on Tucker Lutz?
Tucker Lutz (12-3) went 2-0 on Contender Series before cruising past Kevin Aguilar in his UFC debut. The success wasn’t to last, as he dropped back-to-back decisions against Pat Sabatini and Daniel Pineda.
Why Bet on Melsik Baghdasaryan?
The striking skills of Melsik Baghdasaryan (7-2) carried him to victory in Contender Series and his first two Octagon bouts. A 15-month layoff followed, after which “The Gun” suffered his first loss since his pro debut at the hands of Joshua Culibao.
Five of his seven professional wins have come by knockout.
Tucker Lutz vs. Melsik Baghdasaryan Betting Analysis:
We can understand losing to Sabatini — an extremely adept grappler — but Lutz looked downright awful against Pineda. He was hesitant to throw and, more importantly, completely unable to take down a notoriously weak wrestler. He’s seemingly condemned to trading strikes with a much more dangerous kickboxer in Baghdasaryan, which can’t end well.
While Baghdasaryan will never evolve into a real contender without leaving Edmond Tarverdyan, what he’s got should still be enough if Lutz comes out flat again. He will clip him sometime in the second to return to the win column.
UFC Fight Night: Istela Nunes vs. Viktoriya Dudakova
Por que apostar em Istela Nunes?
Estela Nunes (6-4) started her career 6-1, including a 2-1 stint in ONE, en route to a 2021 UFC debut. She’s still chasing her first Octagon victory, having lost three straight to Ariane Carnelossi, Sam Hughes, and Yazmin Jauregui.
Why Bet on Viktoriya Dudakova?
Viktoriia Dudakova (6-0) went from 6-0 amateur to 5-0 pro before joining Contender Series in 2022. There, she fought through a gnarly knee injury to hand Maria Silva her first career defeat and walk away with a UFC contract. Her four pro submission wins include three by rear naked choke.
Istela Nunes vs. Viktoriya Dudakova Betting Analysis:
If Nunes could just put it all together, she’d be a menace. She has genuinely great striking and monstrous power in her right hand, but between her shaky cardio and limited grappling, she excels at finding ways to lose. While she unquestionably has the means to smash Dudakova, who can be a bit of a lay-and-pray artist and struggles to consistently hit takedowns, Dudakova just seems far more reliable.
We expect to see Nunes put on a clinic for at least a few minutes. If Dudakova’s still standing afterward, though, she’s skilled enough to claw her way back into the fight once the first inevitably falls apart. We believe this will be the outcome.
UFC Fight Night: Austin Lingo x Melquizael Costa
Why Bet on Austin Lingo?
Austin Lingo (9-2) bounced back from an unsuccessful UFC debut with wins over Jacob Kilburn and Luis Saldana. He spent the next 17 months on the sidelines before returning to action in March 2023, when he suffered a submission loss to Nate Landwehr in San Antonio.
Por que apostar em Melquizael Costa?
Melquizael Costa (19-6) put together a 7-1 run before stepping up on short notice to face Thiago Moises in January 2023. His results failed to match his boldness, as “Melk” succumbed to a rear-naked choke late in the second round. His professional finishes are split 7:6 between knockouts and submissions.
Austin Lingo vs. Melquizael Costa Betting Analysis:
Costa parece ter armas demais para Lingo. Embora este último bata forte, ele não tem uma caixa de ferramentas profunda além do poder decente e dos fundamentos do boxe.
Melquizael’s superior kicking game should work well for him, as Lingo struggled to get past Saldana’s kicks before the latter suffered an injury. Though Costa is far from impossible to hit, he ostensibly has the tools to out-strike his foe at a distance and hasn’t shown any durability issues that Austin’s heavy swings could exploit. He takes home a competitive, but clear, decision win.
UFC Fight Night: Jack Della Maddalena vs. Bassil Hafez
Por que apostar em Jack Della Maddalena?
Jack Della Maddalena (14-2) secured a UFC contract by overpowering Ange Loosa on Contender Series. He quickly returned to his finishing ways in the Octagon, racking up four consecutive first-round finishes and scoring three post-fight bonuses along the way. His professional stoppage wins are split 11:2 between knockouts and submissions.
Por que apostar em Bassil Hafez?
Hafez vem aprimorando suas habilidades no mundo das artes marciais mistas desde que fez sua estreia profissional em janeiro de 2016. Com um impressionante recorde de 8 vitórias, 3 derrotas e 1 empate, ele provou ser uma força formidável no ringue.
Notavelmente, ele deteve os estimados títulos de campeão dos meio-médios do Fury FC e ex-campeão dos meio-médios do CFFC, solidificando seu domínio no esporte.
Análise de apostas de Jack Della Maddalena x Bassil Hafez:
O confronto é uma justificativa para Della Maddalena, que optou por ficar em Las Vegas na esperança de marcar uma luta depois que duas lutas programadas fracassaram no UFC 290. Mesmo que Bassil Hafez não seja desleixado, temos nossas escolhas sobre Jack para enfrentar. a vitória neste confronto e arruinar a estreia do adversário.
UFC Fight Night: Genaro Valdéz x Evan Elder
Por que apostar em Genaro Valdéz?
“Rayadito” ultrapassou Patrik White no Contender Series para garantir sua passagem para o octógono. Seu ímpeto não o acompanhou, pois ele caiu para Matt Frevola e Natan Levy em suas duas primeiras aparições no UFC. Todas as suas vitórias foram na distância, sete delas por nocaute.
Por que apostar em Evan Elder?
A estreia de Evan Elder (7-2) no octógono viu-o ganhar peso em pouco tempo para lutar contra Preston Parsons, que derrotou Elder a caminho de uma vitória por decisão unânime. Ele estava dois rounds à frente de Nazim Sadykhov em sua próxima partida, mas um choque desnecessário de cabeças transformou o que teria sido uma vitória por decisão técnica em uma derrota por nocaute técnico.
Análise de apostas Genaro Valdéz x Evan Elder:
Embora ele tenha se saído melhor do que o esperado contra Levy, não podemos ver isso indo bem para Valdez, já que Elder apenas se manteve firme contra um atacante letal, Sadykhov, que superou seu atual rival na técnica de trocação.
Valdéz é muito frágil e limitado para enfrentar Elder em qualquer troca prolongada, então mesmo que ele consiga trazer o Elder, muito mais habilidoso, para uma briga, é mais provável que os dois caiam.
A menos que Evan ainda tenha algum azar residual da decisão de Sadykhov, é provável que ele esmague seu rival nos primeiros minutos. Esperançosamente, Rayadito dura pelo menos o suficiente para torná-lo divertido.
UFC Fight Night: Tyson Nam vs. Azat Maksum
Why Bet on Tyson Nam?
Tyson Nam (21-13-1) rode into the Octagon amid a 6-1-1 run, only to lose his first two UFC bouts. He came back to win three of his next four — all by knockout — but subsequently suffered a club-and-sub loss to Bruno Silva in March 2023.
Por que apostar no Azat Maksum?
Azat Maksum (16-0) fez seu nome tanto no Brave CF quanto na promoção do Octógono do Cazaquistão, acumulando recordes de invencibilidade em ambos. Ele entrou em ação pela última vez em janeiro de 2023, tirando Fabricio Nuns da invencibilidade com uma dança no primeiro round. Suas 11 finalizações profissionais incluem seis por finalização.
Análise de apostas Tyson Nam x Azat Maksum:
Nam tem as ferramentas para estragar a estreia de Maksum. O novato depende muito de seu wrestling e pode deixar o queixo exposto ao socar, o que não é um grande par de pontos fracos contra um contra-perfurador letal com ótima defesa de quedas. Ao mesmo tempo, Tyson tem 39 anos e nunca foi um atacante de alto rendimento, então é fácil imaginar Azat superando-o.
Ele terá que ficar alerta o tempo todo, mas achamos que a velocidade e versatilidade de Maksum serão demais para um Nam enfraquecido, especialmente depois de vê-lo ser derrubado por Silva. Resumindo, rendimento superior e constantes tentativas de quedas devem levar o estreante à vitória.
UFC Fight Night: Carl Deaton III vs. Alex Munoz
Why Bet on Carl Deaton III?
Carl Deaton (17-6) ingressou no UFC em meio a uma sequência de 5-2 que o viu derrotar o veterano do octógono, Justin Jaynes, ao longo do caminho. Sua estreia o colocou contra Joe Solecki, que deu a “The Anishinaabe Kid” sua segunda derrota por finalização na carreira. Ele finalizou nove adversários profissionais e nocauteou outros três.
Por que apostar em Alex Munoz?
Alexander Munoz (6-2) começou sua carreira profissional perfeita (6-0), incluindo uma decisão sobre Nick Newell no Contender Series, antes de ingressar no UFC em 2020. Porém, ele ainda busca sua primeira vitória no octógono, perdendo sucessivas decisões para Nasrat Haqparast e Luis Pena. Isso marca sua primeira aparição em quase 27 meses.
Análise de apostas Carl Deaton III x Alex Munoz:
This fight honestly just boils down to Munoz’s condition. If he’s hale, hearty, and ready to roll after two years on the sidelines, there’s no reason he shouldn’t dominate.
Deaton é um lutador altamente limitado, cuja fraca defesa de quedas representa um alvo fácil para Munoz, experiente em luta livre. Mesmo que este último esteja um pouco enferrujado, ele tem tantas habilidades que é difícil vê-lo perder. Resumindo, ele luta para chegar a uma vitória por decisão dominante.
UFC Fight Night: Ashlee Evans-Smith x Ailin Perez
Por que apostar em Ashlee Evans-Smith?
Ashlee Evans-Smith (6-5) se recuperou de sua estreia malsucedida no UFC com vitórias consecutivas sobre Mario Reneau e Veronica Hardy. Ela está 1-4 desde então, incluindo uma derrota por decisão para Norma Dumont na última vez. Ela luta pela primeira vez em quase 32 meses.
Por que apostar em Ailin Perez?
Ailin Perez (7-2) encerrou sua passagem pelo circuito brasileiro ao vencer Stephanie Bragayrac pelo cinturão peso galo do Samurai Fight House. Ela estava programada para fazer sua estreia no UFC contra Zarah Fairn em setembro de 2022, mas em vez disso sofreu uma derrota por finalização para a substituta tardia, Stephanie Egger.
Quatro de suas cinco vitórias profissionais foram por nocaute.
Análise de apostas de Ashlee Evans-Smith x Ailin Perez:
Por mais simples que Perez possa ser, Evans-Smith não vence uma luta desde 2018 ou parece impressionante há muito mais tempo. “Rebel Girl” é uma lutadora que acerta menos de um quarto de suas tentativas de queda. Por exemplo, ela conseguiu duas quedas em 10 tentativas contra Andrea Lee – um peso mosca com wrestling defensivo notoriamente fraco – e foi derrubada duas vezes por Dumont.
A única habilidade real de Perez é forçar os adversários e trabalhar desde o topo. A menos que Evans-Smith tenha melhorado dramaticamente nos bastidores nos últimos três anos, isso pode ser tudo de que ela precisa. No final, ela supera fisicamente seu rival e acumula longos períodos de controle superior para sua primeira vitória no UFC.
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