Last Updated on June 10, 2023 8:36 pm by Erwin Noguera
The Denver Nuggets took a big lead in Florida and returned home to define the series and win the title, but Miami Heat will fight and will look to extend the finals until the last game.
The Nuggets swept the Heat and won both games to take a 3-1 lead in the series and have the possibility of defining at home.
On the side of the now visitors, they could not stop the Nuggets’ offense and now they will have to row against the current to be able to take this to a seventh game.
When:
Monday, June 12 at 8:30 pm ET at the Ball Arena
Moneyline odds:
Denver Nuggets -420
Miami Heat +310
Where Can I Watch?
ESPN and NBA League Pass
Why Bet on Denver Nuggets?
After the surprising loss in Game 2, the Denver Nuggets traveled to Miami and took both games and a big advantage in the series (3-1). They will now have everything in their favor to win their first NBA title.
As far as Game 4 is concerned, Nikola Jovic was again decisive as in the whole series, however, the player who dazzled last Friday was Aaron Gordon, who had 27 points, 7 rebounds, and 6 assists and was the team’s top scorer. The forward was able to make up for the “low” offensive production of Jamal Murray in this game (15 points, 3 rebounds, and 12 assists) after the point guard had some discomfort in his wrist and an iron mark in the game.
In this Game 5, coach Michael Malone will be looking for his two stars, Jokic and Murray, to repeat what they did in Game 3 where both achieved impressive triple-doubles and lead his quintet to the title.
Why Bet on Miami Heat?
The future does not look good for the Miami Heat. After surprising everyone with their Game 2 win in Denver, the team came home looking to take the series lead and it was the opposite: they lost both games and are now hanging on by a thread. Only 1 team in all of history has managed to come back from 3-1 down in a title series: LeBron James’ Cleveland Cavaliers in 2016.
Erik Spoelstra’s team has gotten desperate in the last quarter in both games. When being down on the scoreboard and close to their opponent, they start missing a lot of shots, especially three-pointers and fail to tie.
In this last game, they lost by 13 points of difference and only in one quarter they managed to overcome the barrier of 22 points. There were good individual performances by Bam Adebayo and Jimmy Butler, although the “Coffee Man” is expected to be more decisive, as he has failed in some key moments.
One of the main failures in these last two games was that Gabe Vincent, who had been having a very good series, scoring 19 points in Game 1 and 23 in Game 2, this time could only make 7 in Game 3 and 2 in Game 4, in addition to only giving 1 assist in these two games and not collecting any rebounds.
Final Betting Analysis: Denver Nuggets vs. Miami Heat
At MyBookie.ag we find that the Denver Nuggets is the favorite of Game 5 with a Moneyline of -420, while the Miami Heat has +310.
All the odds point to the Denver Nuggets being champions at home and we do not think they are going to waste it. Nikola Jovic is at a great level and the whole team is playing great, unlike their rivals who have had high peaks of performance, but throughout the series, they have been outplayed. The Nuggets will be the winners of Game 5.
Go for a straight win for Denver Nuggets in the Moneyline in Game 5. If you bet $100 on the win at -420, you will gain $24 for a total payout of $124.
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