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Aston Villa vs. Manchester City Betting Odds and Free Pick

Last Updated on December 5, 2023 2:03 pm by Erwin Noguera

One of the best games in the Premier League will take place on Matchday 15, when Aston Villa, one of the great locals of the competition, faces Manchester City, which needs to cut a streak of draws that cost them the top spot. 

The Villians are coming from a 2-2 tie with Bournemouth away, so they were able to maintain their fourth place. 

The Citizens drew 3-3 at home with Tottenham and dropped to third place.

When:

Wednesday, December 6 at 3:15 pm ET in Villa Park  

Moneyline odds: 

Aston Villa +375 

Manchester City -143

Draw Offs:

+350  

Where Can I Watch? 

Peacock

Why Bet on Aston Villa?

A priori, many people expected Aston Villa to fight to enter European competitions next season, but not many bet that after 14 matches they would be in the last place giving access to the next Champions League. 

The Villans drew 2-2 with Bournemouth in the last matchday. A goal by Ollie Watkins in added time was enough to rescue a point away from home. Unai Emery’s side are in fourth place with 29 points, one point behind their opponents. 

Speaking of Watkins, he is the team’s most important offensive player, with eight goals and six assists. Only Erling Haaland and Mohamed Salah have more goal contributions than the English striker. 

Brazilian Douglas Luiz, despite being a midfielder, has five more conversions, while Jamaican Leon Bailey has four goals. 

Aston Villa is the second-best offense in the championship, with 33 goals, and is an excellent home team, winning its six matches. Only Liverpool has better numbers at home, and that is because they have played one more game. 

Midfielder Boubacar Kamara may return after serving his suspension, while Emiliano Buendia, Tyrone Mings, and Bertrand Traoré are injured.

Why Bet on Manchester City?

For many, the rival to beat in the Premier League is Manchester City for being the reigning champion of the English competition. However, at the moment, it is not the leader due to a bad streak. 

Pep Guardiola’s men are coming from a 3-3 draw in a great game against Tottenham at the Etihad Stadium. A lapse of concentration in the 90th minute allowed Sweden’s Dejan Kulusevski to equalize for Spurs, which affected City in the standings, as they dropped to third place, behind Arsenal and Liverpool. 

Manchester City has drawn its last three games against Chelsea, Liverpool, and Tottenham and has 30 points, three behind the Gunners. For Guardiola’s team, winning at Villa Park is fundamental because if they lose, they would fall to fourth place and move further away from the top. 

Despite all the negative things that the team is going through these days, it is worth mentioning the 14 goals scored by the Norwegian Erling Haaland, which make him the current top scorer of the tournament. His follower is Mohamed Salah, with 10. 

City is the second-best away team in the Premier League with 13 points from seven games and overall has the best offense with 36 goals. 

The injury absentees for Guardiola are midfielders Kevin De Bruyne and Matheus Nunes.

Final Betting Analysis: Aston Villa vs. Manchester City

Although they need to win, Manchester City faces one of the strongest locals in the Premier League, Aston Villa. It could be a match with several goals, but it will most likely end in a draw. 

The numbers at MyBookie.ag have Manchester City as favorites. The Moneyline for them shows -143, while Aston Villa has +375, and the draw is at +350. 

Manchester City drew 1-1 on their last visit to Villa Park on September 3, 2022. 

Go for a draw in the Moneyline. If you bet $100 at +350, you will gain $350 for a total payout of $450. 

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