Gambyl Betting Exchange

Brighton vs. Aston Villa Betting Odds and Free Pick

Last Updated on May 1, 2024 6:41 pm by Erwin Noguera

The Premier League is already living its final stage, and Aston Villa needs to keep adding points to guarantee their place in the Champions League. Now the calendar has set a match against Brighton, a rival that desperately needs to win. 

The Seagulls come from being beaten 3-0 by Bournemouth in another night to forget for this team. 

The Villians could have taken three points but lost their way at home and ended up drawing 2-2 with Chelsea. 

When and Where?

Sunday, May 5, 9:00 am ET at the American Express Stadium

Moneyline odds: 

Brighton 2.374 

Aston Villa 2.877

Draw Offs

4.055 

Where can I watch it? 

Telemundo and NBC Sports 

Why Bet on Brighton?

Roberto De Zerbi’s Brighton looked set to have a great year in the Premier League, despite the departures of Moises Caicedo and Alexis Mac Allister. But nothing could be further from the truth, as this team is mired in mid-table mediocrity. 

The Seagulls have just lost 3-0 to Bournemouth, with goals from Justin Kluivert, Marcos Senesi, and Enes Ünal. In this way, the club is 12th with 44 points, far from qualifying for a European tournament next year or falling into the misfortune of losing the category. 

Brighton has just finished a terrible month of April, having drawn two of its five matches and scored only one goal, which was also an own goal. Not a single player was able to score. The team’s top scorer is Brazilian Joao Pedro, with eight. However, he has five matches without scoring, since February 3 of this year.

Among all the team’s absentees, the most important is Kaoru Mitoma. The Japanese player has not played since February 24, and without him, De Zerbi lost balance. The other injured players are Pervis Estupiñán, Tariq Lamptey, James Milner, and Evan Ferguson. 

Why Bet on Aston Villa?

Aston Villa has been one of the great teams in the Premier League and is about to get access to the next Champions League, which is a great merit for Unai Emery. 

The Villans were 2-0 up against Chelsea with goals from Marc Cucurella (against) and Morgan Rogers. However, in the second half, the defense fell apart, and the Blues equalized with goals from Noni Madueke and Conor Gallagher.

This club has only lost twice in the last ten matches, and in the Premier League, they have four games without losing, winning twice and drawing in the other two. Moreover, the Villans are the only team still alive in European competition, playing in the Conference League. 

With 19 goals and 12 assists, Ollie Watkins is their best player, but also keep an eye on the skillful winger Leon Bailey, who has ten conversions. 

Emery’s injured players include full-back Alex Moreno, midfielders Youri Tielemans and Jacob Ramsey, and striker Nicolo Zaniolo. 

Final Betting Analysis: Brighton vs. Aston Villa

In their previous meeting this season at Villa Park, the Villains thrashed Brighton 6-1, with Ollie Watkins scoring a hat-trick. Aston Villa has five wins in a row against this rival and six games unbeaten. The last time Brighton won was on November 21, 2020. 

The numbers at Gambyl Exchange have Brighton as the favorite. Their Moneyline shows 2.857, Aston Villa has 3.284, and the draw is at 4.065. 

Brighton has just closed a month of April to forget, where goals were elusive to their players, but May will not start in a better way since they will lose at home against Aston Villa by 0-3. 

Go for a win for Aston Villa. If you bet $100 at 3.284, you will gain $228 for a total payout of $328. 

Brighton vs. Aston Villa Betting Pick: Aston Villa

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