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PSV vs. Dortmund Preview and Betting Odds

Last Updated on February 19, 2024 7:14 pm by Erwin Noguera

We welcome the second week of matches for the Champions League round of 16 first leg. Now, we focus on a duel between two historic teams looking to surprise: PSV and Borussia Dortmund. 

The Dutch side played their last group stage match at home and drew 1-1 with a contender for the title like Arsenal. 

For their part, BVB closed at home with a 1-1 draw against Paris Saint-Germain, thus assuring the first place in the “group of death.”

When and Where?

Tuesday, February 20, 3:00 pm ET at the Philips Stadium

Moneyline odds: 

PSV 2.246 

Dortmund 3.205

Draw Offs: 

3.87 

Where Can I Watch? 

TUDNParamount+ViX, and CBS 

Why Bet on PSV?

PSV is a historic team in Europe, as evidenced by the Champions League trophy in its cabinet, something that only Ajax (4) and Feyenoord (1) have been able to replicate in that country. In that season, they also accomplished a treble. In many ways, this team belongs to a special place dedicated to Europe’s elite.

In the group stage, they last drew 1-1 with Arsenal, with a goal by Yorbe Vertessen. As a result, the Dutch team finished second in the group with nine points, to the Gunners’ 13. Lens and Sevilla were eliminated. 

Considering that this match will be at home, it must be said that PSV is undefeated in front of their home fans this season, but only took five out of nine points from two draws and a single 1-0 win over Lens. 

A curious fact about this team is that they scored eight goals but conceded 10, so they advanced with a negative goal difference (-2). The top scorer was veteran striker Luuk de Jong, who finished the group stage with two goals. 

At 33 years of age, the center forward has 22 goals for the season and is currently the Eredivisie Silver Shoe. 

PSV’s injured players are German defender Armel Bella-Kotchap and forwards Johan Bakayoko and Noa Lang. 

Why Bet on Dortmund?

Borussia Dortmund have shown a better side in the Champions League than in the Bundesliga, where they are fourth with 41 points, far from the German title race. 

Their last group stage match ended 1-1 with PSG, with striker Karim Adeyemi as their scorer. 

Dortmund finished as leaders in the “group of death” with 11 points, to PSG’s eight, who eliminated AC Milan on goal difference. Last was Newcastle. 

The Germans only lost one game in that instance, and it was precisely visiting the Parisian team. They then won three games and drew two others, earning six points away from home. 

Edin Terzic’s team has nine matches without losing, although they have drawn many of them. 

Notably, Adeyemi has been the most decisive player for the Teutons in the Champions, scoring two goals and providing one assist. However, their top scorer on the season is Niclas Füllkrug with 13.

Borussia’s injured players are full-back Ramy Bensebaini, midfielder Felix Nmecha, and forwards Adeyemi and Sebastien Haller. 

Final Betting Analysis: PSV vs. Dortmund

The last time these teams officially met was in 2002, and it ended in a 1-1 draw. Dortmund are unbeaten against PSV. 

The numbers at Gambyl Exchange have PSV as the favorite. The Moneyline for them shows 2.246, while Dortmund has 3.205, and the draw is at 3.87. 

They are two historic teams in Europe, but the win will end up going to Borussia Dortmund, who have shown a better side in the Champions League than in the Bundesliga itself. PSV will lose their unbeaten home record after a 0-2 defeat. 

Go for a win in Dortmund’s Moneyline. If you bet $100 at 3.205, you will gain $220 for a total payout of $320. 

PSV vs. Dortmund Betting Pick: Dortmund

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