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Dortmund vs. PSG Preview and Free Pick

Last Updated on December 11, 2023 1:26 pm by Erwin Noguera

The Champions League hosts one of the most important matches on its last day of the group stage, when Borussia Dortmund, already qualified, hosts PSG. 

The German side are coming off a 3-1 away win over Milan last time, with goals from Marco Reus, Jamie Bynoe-Gittens, and Karim Adeyemi. 

The French club missed the opportunity to qualify at home and drew 1-1 with Newcastle, thanks to a penalty in added time by Kylian Mbappé.

When:

Wednesday, December 13 at 3:00 p.m. ET in Signal Iduna Park  

Moneyline odds: 

Dortmund +290 

PSG -112

Draw Offs:

+300  

Where Can I Watch? 

TUDN, Univisión, Paramount+, and ViX

Why Bet on Dortmund?

Borussia Dortmund came into this group stage with a history of failing to win important matches. However, the German side turned the tables and is now the only team to qualify from the group of death. 

In their most recent match in Europe’s top competition, Dortmund beat AC Milan 3-1 away, reaching 10 points and securing their ticket to the round of 16. Edin Terzic’s men have three consecutive victories, beating Newcastle twice and the ‘Rossoneri’ once, so the 2-0 defeat in the first matchday against PSG was of little value. 

However, winning or drawing the last match in the group stage will allow the Teutons to secure first place. In addition, it could leave out a possible candidate to be champion, such as the French club. 

Unlike other years, Borussia has not been as high-scoring this season, with only six goals, but their defense has been good, allowing three conversions. Also, they have taken four points out of six at home and, interestingly, they are unbeaten in front of their home fans. 

Borussia has several injured players, including Sebastien Haller, Marcel Lotka, Youssoufa Moukoko, Felix Nmecha, and Marcel Sabitzer.

Why Bet on PSG?

Paris Saint-Germain started the season in the Champions League as the great favorite to advance first in the group, but with one game left to play, the situation is different, as they must win to advance to the round of 16. In their last match, they could have sealed their qualification but drew 1-1 at home with Newcastle. That point was rescued in the end, thanks to a controversial penalty converted by their star striker, Kylian Mbappé. 

The team from the French capital has only taken one of the last six points, losing to AC Milan two weeks ago. The fact is that leaving the Parc des Princes is a problem for this team, as they have not scored points outside France. The good news for Luis Enrique’s side is that they have not lost in their last five games and have won nine of their last 11 matches. It’s a good run that they will be looking to carry over into the European tournament. 

The hopes are on Mbappé, one of the most decisive players in the world. So far, the French striker has three goals in the Champions League. The star must put his all into this game, as the team has fallen two times in a row in the round of 16 after qualifying second in their group. Winning this match is a must.

Among the injured players in this team are Nuno Mendes, Fabian Ruiz, Keylor Navas, and Presnel Kimpembe.

Final Betting Analysis: Dortmund vs. PSG

Paris Saint-Germain have been a somewhat inconsistent team at the start of the season, but they have Kylian Mbappé, one of the most decisive players in the world. The French striker will lead his team to the round of 16 with a win on German soil. 

The numbers at MyBookie.ag have PSG as the favorite. Their Moneyline shows -112, while Dortmund has +290, and the draw is at +300. 

The last time PSG visited Borussia Dortmund in Germany, they lost 2-1, with Erling Haaland scoring twice. Neymar had scored for the French side. 

Go for a straight win for PSG in the Moneyline. If you bet $100 at -112, you will gain $89 for a total payout of $189. 

Dortmund vs. PSG Betting Pick: PSG

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