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Bills vs. Chiefs: Divisional Round Preview and Prediction

Last Updated on January 19, 2024 4:42 pm by Gambyl Nation Editorial Team

The American Conference will have one of its most exciting duels when the streaking Buffalo Bills take on the reigning Super Bowl champions, the Kansas City Chiefs. 

The Bills made a strong showing in the Wild Card and easily defeated the Pittsburgh Steelers 31-17.Β The Chiefs understood the assignment and eliminated the Miami Dolphins 26-7 at home.

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When and Where?

Sunday, January 21, 6:30 pm ET at the Highmark Stadium

Moneyline odds: 

Bills 1.74 

Chiefs 2.32

Where Can I Watch?  

NFL Game Pass on DAZN and FOX 

Why Bet on the Buffalo Bills?

Two months ago, the Buffalo Bills were too complicated to even think about winning their division due to the strength of the Miami Dolphins, but now they are one game away from reaching the American Conference finals. 

In the Wild Card, they defeated the Pittsburgh Steelers 31-17 thanks to a strong first quarter that allowed them to take a 14-point lead. It was a great night for Josh Allen, thanks to his 21 of 30 passes, with 203 yards and three touchdown assists. In addition, he did not have a single interception. This last fact is important for the 27-year-old quarterback since, throughout the regular season, he was not as accurate in his throws, allowing 18 interceptions. 

As well as Allen against the Steelers, we must also mention James Cook, who finished with 18 carries, 79 yards, and a touchdown. 

Jordan Phillips is currently injured. Taron Johnson, Taylor Rapp, Terrel Bernard, Christian Benford, Gabe Davis, and Sam Martin are questionable.

Why Bet on the Kansas City Chiefs?

The Kansas City Chiefs did not have the best regular season, but at the time of getting the necessary victories to try to revalidate the Super Bowl title, they did it with luxurious details. 

In the Wild Card round, the Kansas team had a very tough series against the Miami Dolphins but ended up winning it 26-7. The defense could control opposing quarterback Tua Tagovailoa, who only threw one touchdown pass. For his part, Patrick Mahomes performed well enough to score the winning points. 

Mahomes, considered the best quarterback in the NFL, finished with 23 of 41 passes, 262 yards, and one touchdown pass. On the other hand, he was not intercepted on any occasion. 

The Chiefs finished as leaders of their division. At home, they performed regularly, but away from their house, they finished with a 6-2 record. 

The Chiefs have injured Skyy More, while Cam Jones and Derrick Nnadi are doubtful.

Final Betting Analysis: Bills vs. Chiefs

This season, these two franchises have already played once, and the win ended up being for the Buffalo club by 20-17 over Mahomes’ team.

The numbers at Gambyl Exchange have the Bills as favorites. The Moneyline for them shows 1.74, while the Chiefs have 2.32. 

The Buffalo Bills are on an extraordinary streak, so they have a lot of tickets to try to overcome a team with a hierarchy like the champions. However, there are other things we must take into consideration.

The Bills are between the strongest franchises in the regular season as of late, qualifying for the big party in all but one of the last seven seasons. They even got the Division Championship in most of them. However, they have failed to reach the Super Bowl this century and haven’t done so since their disastrous early 90’s era, where they lost four finals in a row (a record in the NFL.) We must add that Josh Allen faced Mahomes two times in the playoffs already, losing both.

They are the kind of team that chokes in the postseason, and we believe it’ll happen again. A surprising victory for the visitors awaits.

Go for a win in the Chiefs’ Moneyline. If you bet $100 at 2.32, you will gain $132 for a total payout of $232

Bills vs. Chiefs Betting Pick: Kansas City Chiefs

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