Last Updated on September 2, 2022 6:02 pm by Erwin Noguera
The Liga MX opening tournament reaches its 12th round this weekend and with it, we have a very nice battle for the first place of up to 6 teams, since the difference between the first and sixth place in the table is only 6 points, a very short difference in this final stretch of the regular season.
In this round 12, we will have a spectacular match between two teams that are fighting to stay in the upper zone of the standings and enter the TOP 4 to obtain a direct pass to the quarterfinals of the Liguilla, Chivas de Guadalajara vs. Toluca.
This match between Chivas and Toluca will be played next Sunday, September 4, 2022, at the Nemesio Diez Stadium, home of Toluca, and will close the 12th matchday of the 2022 Opening Tournament.
Both teams are in a good position in the standings, but they are in different situations, Guadalajara is inspired by 3 wins in a row, while Toluca has lost its way and arrives at this matchday with 2 consecutive defeats.
Liga MX – Toluca vs. Guadalajara – Betting Odds & Free Pick – Info
When: Sunday, September 04 at 08:05 pm ET
Moneyline odds: Toluca +160 / Guadalajara +173 (Source: MyBookie.ag)
Draw Offs: +218
Where Can I Watch? ESPN / Fox Sports
Where Can Stream? ESPN Play
Why Bet on Toluca
Toluca had played a season that was close to perfection, where they had very good results in the first half and were fighting for first place with Monterrey, but in the last two weeks, their performance has dropped so much that they are now in sixth place in the standings, with a record of 6 wins, 3 ties, and 3 losses.
Toluca has just suffered a 4-1 defeat at home against Pachuca. Such was the disappointment that Toluca’s coach came out to apologize to the fans for the embarrassing defeat.
Why Bet on Guadalajara
On the other hand, Guadalajara has gone from strength to strength this season. After a start with many doubts and concerns, Chivas has now managed to achieve that missing ingredient to be in the fight for the direct Liguilla.
Chivas comes into this match after 3 consecutive victories, first against Necaxa (4-0), then against Monterrey (1-0), and, in their last match against Pumas with a score of 3-1.
Final Betting Analysis: Toluca vs. Guadalajara
In the last five meetings between Toluca and Chivas de Guadalajara, there has been a parity of forces with three draws and one win for each at home.
At MyBookie.ag we can see that there is a Moneyline that favors Guadalajara at +118, while Toluca at +265.
The current situation of both teams is completely different even though they are fighting for different goals. Toluca needs to get back to winning ways to fight for a place in the top 4 of the standings, while Chivas wants to keep winning to secure their place in the playoffs.
This parity that we mentioned above is very likely to prevail, which is why our pick for this match is a 1-1 draw on the scoreboard.
Look for a straight win on the Moneyline Draw. If you put $100 on Draw at +218, you’ll be looking at a $218 win with a total payout of $318.
Toluca vs. Guadalajara Betting Pick: Guadalajara
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