UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer Fight Card Odds and Picks

Last Updated on February 8, 2024 12:58 pm by Erwin Noguera

We go for a second UFC Apex event in a row and we are excited, as the main event for this Fight Night brings in some middleweight talent that we are more than eager to watch in a five-round clash between Jack Hermansson and Joe Pyfer.

Besides them, we have an exciting bout between Featherweights Dan Ige and Andre Fili who are going in as the co-main event.

Other 4 main card clashes include Ihor Potieria vs. Robert Bryczek, a middleweight bout that pits Brad Tavares vs. Gregory Rodrigues, a clash between the veteran Michael Johnson and Darrius Flowers, and another middleweight bout between Rodolfo Vieira going against Armen Petrosyan.

Besides some exciting main event clashes, we also have 8 prelim bouts that make this quite an exciting fight card filled with international talent along with local fighters.

We are getting ready to break down each of the bouts in this exciting card, so take a sit and follow us along on this ride.

You can check all the UFC/MMA bets, the analysis of each fighter, and the final bet you can make in these fights.

UFC Fight Night: Hermansson vs. Pyfer Fight Card Odds and Picks – Info

When:

Saturday, February 10th, at 4:00 pm ET

Moneyline odds:

Jack Hermansson 3.1 / Joe Pyfer 1.46

Dan Ige 1.61 / Andre Fili 2.5

Ihor Potieria 2.68 / Robert Bryczek 1.55

Brad Tavares 2.96 / Gregory Rodrigues 1.43

Michael Johnson 1.81 / Darrius Flowers 2.16

Rodolfo Vieira 1.94 / Armen Petrosyan 2.02

Trevin Giles 2.96 / Carlos Prates 1.45

Timothy Cuamba 1.32 / Bolaji Oki 3.345

Loma Lookboonmee 1.41 / Bruna Brasil 3.3

Devin Clark 1.47 / Marcin Prachnio 2.84

Jeremiah Wells 1.63 / Max Griffin 2.46

Zac Pauga 1.84 / Bogdan Guskov 2.04

Hyder Amil 1.52 / Fernie Garcia 2.6

Daniel Marcos 1.46 / Aoriqileng 3.1

Where can I watch it?

UFC Fight Pass

UFC Fight Night: Jack Hermansson vs. Joe Pyfer

Why Bet on Jack Hermansson?

Hermansson has been out of action for over a year and last fought in Dec. 2022. He came up short against Roman Dolidze and has a tough test to try and get back on track against a stalwart like Pyfer. Even though he is getting a bit up there in age, he’s a massive step up in competition for his opponent.

Hermansson is coming off a loss to Roman Dolidze which he was winning until Dolidze pulled off an insane calf slicer on the ground after being taken down.

Why Bet on Joe Pyfer?

In three fights inside the UFC, Pyfer has yet to be truly challenged, only seeing a second round once. He has finished all of his opponents inside the distance and has an average fight time of just over four minutes.

He was the fan favorite (and Dana White’s favorite) on his season of Contender Series, and he’s come into the UFC and gone 3-0, but let’s be honest, the level of competition has been bad.

Jack Hermansson vs. Joe Pyfer Final Betting Analysis:

Hermansson thrives when he gets his opponents down the mat because he has two options on how he could finish them, either via submission or ground-and-pound. It is almost a guaranteed finish for him when he is on top and in full guard.

On the other hand, because of his solid boxing skills, Pyfer blossoms on his feet. He has an incredible combination of power and timing that was key in two of his victories under the promotion. When he lands a clean punch, it will be the beginning of the end for them.

The key for Hermansson is to close the distance and shoot for a takedown immediately so that he can nullify Pyfer’s power. This way, he can threaten multiple submissions and possibly sack a lot of energy from him.

Pyfer’s key to victory is to stop all of Hermansson’s takedown attempts and force a stand-up match to increase the chances of him landing his lethal punches. He could also be a counterpuncher and lure his Norwegian foe to move forward.

We expect Pyfer to get the win in this main event bout.

UFC Fight Night: Dan Ige vs. Andre Fili

Why Bet on Dan Ige?

Following a canceled bout with Lerone Murphy, “50k” Dan Ige is accepting a significantly lower-ranked opponent in Andre Fili, thus placing his no.13 ranked position in danger. However, he’s the betting favorite for a reason, and there’s no denying that Ige’s tenure as a UFC competitor has involved a much higher level of competition, with nine of his 14 promotional contests resulting in victory.

Why Bet on Andre Fili?

This Saturday in Las Vegas will be a huge opportunity for Andre Fili to jump the featherweight rankings, and after a round-one knockout over Lucas Almeida just two months ago, confidence levels could be a huge factor for this MMA product of Team Alpha Male.

Dan Ige vs. Andre Fili Final Betting Analysis:

With both fighters holding sufficient abilities in the wrestling/grappling realm, we wouldn’t expect much of this contest, if any moments during this bout, to provide us with much groundwork. That said, we would expect Ige to own the advantage, as he’s proven time and time again that when required, he’ll utilize a strong wrestling game to seize control.

With that said, in a striking entanglement between the two, it’s difficult to ignore the technical aspect of Ige’s boxing and the power he has to go with it. Don’t get me wrong, Fili is down to scrap, but his defensive attributes and durability are significantly lower than Ige’s, and we believe this will be crucial in determining a victor for Saturday’s co-main event.

Skill-for-skill, and when considering the overall technique and paths to victory, Ige triumphs in all aspects from our viewpoint, which should help him take the win.

UFC Fight Night: Ihor Potieria vs. Robert Bryczek

Why Bet on Ihor Potieria?

Potieria is chaos in the cage. He’s all about his offensive and can deal damage, having stopped 16 opponents via strikes or submission. Unfortunately, his wildness puts him in the fire too, and he’s been stopped in four of his defeats.

Why Bet on Robert Bryczek?

Bryczek has a bit of hype behind him. The Polish veteran has a good deal of experience and did not sign through the Contenders Series, making him a rarity in this day and age. More importantly, he’s an aggressive combination puncher with good power in his shots, as well as a jiu-jitsu black belt to back him up.

Ihor Potieria vs. Robert Bryczek Final Betting Analysis:

We like the 185-pound move for Potieria, who looked like the smaller man by a significant margin. We cannot say we like it as much with one week of preparation, and particularly not against a smart and experienced fighter.

Bryczek will find the opportunity in his opponent’s attacks to land heavy counters or even takedowns, and it likely won’t take long for the punishment to add up. After a couple of delays, the Polish fighter makes a successful debut.

UFC Fight Night: Brad Tavares vs. Gregory Rodrigues

Why Bet on Brad Tavares?

Tavares is now a 14-year UFC veteran, a long-time Middleweight stalwart who presents some interesting challenges. The Hawaiian has some of the division’s best takedown defense, and he pairs that asset with a nasty calf-kicking game that can quickly debilitate his opposition.

Why Bet on Gregory Rodrigues?

Rodrigues has proved himself one of the most exciting fighters in the sport in the last few years. “Robocop” has serious power in his hands and is always down for a brawl, but he also showed off his ground skills last time out, effortlessly mounting and finishing his opponent inside a round.

Brad Tavares vs. Gregory Rodrigues Final Betting Analysis:

Tavares is probably the cleaner striker on paper, but he’s considerably less durable, and we haven’t seen Rodrigues fail to get to his opponent at some point. However, the Brazilian’s jiu-jitsu edge is a wash because taking down Tavares is fairly impossible.

The question is whether or not Tavares can break down the lead leg before Rodrigues starts to connect. We’re expecting some early success from the former, but that tide will turn when the latter toughs it out and starts connecting anyway.

UFC Fight Night: Michael Johnson vs. Darrius Flowers

Why Bet on Michael Johnson?

“The Menace” is the most famously unpredictable fighter in mixed martial arts (MMA). This is a man who defeated Tony Ferguson and Dustin Poirier amid excellent runs, but he also got submitted by a straight footlock by Thiago Moises. He’s lost a lot of fights suddenly after looking sharp early, and he’s also flattened many excellent fighters.

Even this deep in his career, Johnson is seriously quick and has major power.

Why Bet on Darrius Flowers?

Flowers is a relative newcomer, a 5’9” powerhouse who has fought as high as 185 pounds. He likes to close distance (obviously) and fire big hooks in combinations. He’s also fairly tricky to take down, though I doubt that skill comes into play here.

Michael Johnson vs. Darrius Flowers Final Betting Analysis:

There are three paths this fight can likely go. On one hand, Johnson is the sharper range technician and knows how to punish his opponent’s offense violently. He knocked out Poirier on the counter, after all. At the same time, Johnson is coming off a brutal knockout loss at 37 years of age, so a younger and hungry up-and-comer just sparking him is distinctly possible.

Finally, the third, MJ-specific option: Johnson picks apart his foe for a round or two then gets slept.

Despite two of the three options going against him, we still like Johnson here. His speed, timing, and power remain in spades, and Flowers gives his opponents a lot to work with during his blitzes forward.

Flowers is going to charge at Johnson, and we expect the veteran to times his entrances with a nasty left hand at some point.

UFC Fight Night: Rodolfo Vieira vs. Armen Petrosyan

Why Bet on Rodolfo Vieira?

Rodolfo “The Black Belt Hunter” Vieira, 34, is 4-2 in the UFC, with all four of his wins coming via submission. His grappling success is unsurprising, given his jiu-jitsu pedigree before joining the UFC.

Vieira is one of the most decorated and accredited jiu-jitsu practitioners to join the UFC. His nickname, “The Black Belt Hunter,” is less arrogant than it is accurate. If he gets into a scramble or lands on top of his opponent, his immense strength, fluidity, grappling knowledge, and high-level experience all typically translate to submission victory.

Why Bet on Armen Petrosyan?

Armen “Superman” Petrosyan, 32, is 3-1 in the UFC since earning a contract through a first-round knockout on DWCS in 2021. All four of his UFC fights have gone the distance.

In his short career, Petrosyan has been tossed among the wolves and proven he can survive, even thrive. His style also impacts his betting lines. Petrosyan is a kickboxer through and through. His kicking game is fast, dynamic, and powerful. However, the rest of his game relies on instinct, athleticism, and a willingness to take risks. While striking in the pocket, Petrosyan’s boxing is basic but his ability to land consistently because of his speed and athleticism helps him make up for any technical gaps.

Rodolfo Vieira vs. Armen Petrosyan Final Betting Analysis:

With a clash of styles this extreme, this fight boils down to whether or not Vieira can get the takedown. Vieira has world-class BJJ, while Petrosyan’s ground game is embryonic.

However, given Vieira’s struggles with wrestling and Petrosyan’s basic but effective scrambling, this fight could be a cruise-control-like sparring session for “Superman.”

On paper, we would hammer the Petrosyan line. We’ve been impressed with his lateral movement and athletic takedown defense; and, while his striking has been less powerful than advertised, it’s still miles beyond Vieira. However, just like a heavyweight with a one-punch knockout edge, if Petrosyan makes a single mistake, he could get finished soon after. Fortunately, a hedge opportunity presents itself, and we think Petrosyan will be able to survive and win.

UFC Fight Night: Trevin Giles vs. Carlos Prates

Why Bet on Trevin Giles?

Undaunted by a two-fight skid, Trevin Giles (16-5) battled his way back into the Middleweight picture with three straight wins, capped off by a decision over then-unbeaten Roman Dolidze. He’s since dropped three of five, including a 73-second submission loss at the hands of Gabriel Bonfim in July 2023.

Why Bet on Carlos Prates?

“The Nightmare” rode a 9-1 run into the Contender Series, entering as a sizeable favorite over unbeaten Mitch Ramirez. He proved the bookies right with a second-round knockout to claim both his sixth consecutive finish and a UFC contract.

Twelve of his 15 professional finishes have come via knockout.

Trevin Giles vs. Carlos Prates Final Betting Analysis:

Giles — though rightfully the underdog — has a shot if he keeps his foot on the gas. Prates’ takedown defense is a real weakness and he doesn’t always protect his face as well as he should.

Seeing as it’s been more than three years since Giles impressed in a fight, however, we wouldn’t bank on it. If he comes out as listless as he was against Louis Cosce and Preston Parsons, Prates is going to snipe him into the dirt.

Again, Giles has the tools to exploit Prates’ shortcomings and we wouldn’t be hugely surprised to see him lay on Prates for three rounds. It’s just far more likely that Giles stays cautious, gives Prates too much room to operate, and eats a shin to the dome.

UFC Fight Night: Timothy Cuamba vs. Bolaji Oki

Why Bet on Timothy Cuamba?

Cuamba (8-1) competed on the same Contender Series card as Oki, and though he won his fight over Mateo Vogel by unanimous decision, he did not receive a contract. Instead, he debuts as a short-notice replacement just eight days after scoring a second-round knockout of Michael Stack.

Why Bet on Bolaji Oki?

Oki (8-1) defeated Dylan Salvador via first-round TKO in August to earn a UFC contract. Since losing his pro debut in 2018, “The Zulu Warrior” has rattled off eight straight victories, with only two of those wins going to the scorecards.

Timothy Cuamba vs. Bolaji Oki Final Betting Analysis:

Oki is tough, hits hard, and has pretty good striking technique. All signs pointed to Oki against dismantling “The Bosnian Bomber” without issue.

Oki admittedly had some trouble with the limited-but-aggressive Nair Melikyan three fights back, so Cuamba has a small glimmer of hope if he can take Oki into deep waters, but Oki also has some takedown skills to fall back on. However, odds are he won’t need them — we expected him to fold Hadzovic in the opening minutes, and we are expecting the same to happen with the late replacement Timothy Cuamba.

UFC Fight Night: Loma Lookboonmee vs. Bruna Brasil

Why Bet on Loma Lookboonmee?

A spirited effort wasn’t enough to carry Loma Lookboonmee (8-3) past Angela Hill in her second UFC appearance, resulting in her second defeat in four fights. She went on to win four of her next five, notably beating Denise Gomes along the way. She competes for the first time in 364 days.

Why Bet on Bruna Brasil?

Bruna Brasil (9-3-1) punched her UFC ticket with a violent Contender Series head kick of Marnic Mann, only to suffer a knockout loss to fellow Contender Series alum, Denise Gomes, in her Octagon debut. Undeterred, she bounced back strongly four months later by handing Shauna Bannon her first professional defeat in London.

Loma Lookboonmee vs. Bruna Brasil Final Betting Analysis:

Lookboonmee is oftentimes her own worst enemy, grappling when she should strike and striking when she should grapple. That’s not going to cut it here; limited though she may be, Brasil is an adept kickboxer when given room to work.

Lookboonmee has the striking chops to overwhelm Brasil in the pocket and the wrestling skills to dominate her on the mat. All she has to do is keep the pedal to the metal.

That’s far from a given, as previously stated, but we’re still confident Lookboonmee will take it. For all of Brasil’s length and skill, the similarly squat Gomes easily neutralized her through basic pressure. In short, Lookboonmee does the same, out-classing Brasil on the mat for a wide decision.

UFC Fight Night: Devin Clark vs. Marcin Prachnio

Why Bet on Devin Clark?

It will soon be eight years since Devin Clark (14-8) capitalized on his Lookin’ for a Fight opportunity and went from RFA champion to UFC hopeful. His Octagon record now sits at 8-8, including defeats in four of his last six bouts.

Why Bet on Marcin Prachnio?

On the verge of leaving UFC after three consecutive first-round knockout losses, Prachnio unexpectedly reignited his career by winning three of his next four, most notably a massive upset of Khalil Rountree Jr. in 2021. Then came fast-rising prospect Vitor Petrino, who handed Prachnio the first submission loss of his 10-year professional career.

He’s scored 11 wins by knockout and one other via submission.

Devin Clark vs. Marcin Prachnio Final Betting Analysis:

Admirable as it was, the Prachnio “comeback” was better on paper than in reality. Rountree was a shadow of himself when he stepped in the cage, while Ike Villanueva and William Knight are among the worst Light Heavyweights to grace the roster in the modern era.

Clark isn’t exactly the cream of the crop, mind you, but Prachnio is exactly the sort of opponent “Brown Bear” consistently beats: someone he can take down and out-hustle.

Prachnio is too fragile and too poor a wrestler to overcome Clark’s grueling pace, especially since he lacks the physical or technical superiority that Clark’s struggled with in the past. In the end, Clark puts Prachnio through the wringer before polishing him off around the midway point.

UFC Fight Night: Jeremiah Wells vs. Max Griffin

Why Bet on Jeremiah Wells?

Wells parlayed his CFFC title run into an Octagon opportunity, then hit the ground running with four straight wins. He looked poised to make it five against Carlston Harris but succumbed to a comeback submission partway through the third round. His nine professional finishes are split 5:4 between knockouts and submissions.

Why Bet on Max Griffin?

Max Griffin (19-10) initially struggled to find his Octagon footing, dropping six of his first nine inside the cage. A solid three-fight win streak soon put him back in the mix, though he presently sits at 1-2 in his last three.

Jeremiah Wells vs. Max Griffin Final Betting Analysis:

Griffin has the potential to establish himself in the division, but his inconsistencies have cost him dearly. It will happen again against Wells.

UFC Fight Night: Zac Pauga vs. Bogdan Guskov

Why Bet on Zac Pauga?

Strong efforts in The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) 30 house-made Zac Pauga (6-2) a prohibitive favorite at the Finale, but momentum failed to save him from a one-punch knockout loss to Mohammed Usman.

Though he rebounded with a decision over Jordan Wright six months later, he fell right back below .500 thanks to Modestas Bukauskas.

Why Bet on Bogdan Guskov?

Six months after scoring his second consecutive sub-minute finish, Guskov stepped up on short notice to battle veteran Volkan Oezdemir in Paris. Though a ballsy move, it proved an unsuccessful one, as “No Time” lived up to his nickname with a quick submission finish.

All 14 of his professional wins have come inside of two rounds, 12 of them via knockout.

Zac Pauga vs. Bogdan Guskov Final Betting Analysis:

Pauga isn’t going far in the Octagon. Even in a cursed division like 205 pounds, decent athleticism, and functional striking can only get you so far, especially when he’s already in his mid-30s.

They’re at least enough to carry him past Guskov, though. The only two times “Czarevitch” faced seasoned strikers, he got crushed by a former Welterweight in Vyacheslav Vasilevskiy and an inconsistent contender in Oezdemir.

We’re not saying Pauga takes a great shot, but “The Ripper” is far more likely to land flush, especially since he has takedowns to fall back on. In short, Pauga bulldozes him in the first frame.

UFC Fight Night: Hyder Amil vs. Fernie Garcia

Why Bet on Hyder Amil?

Strong runs in Bellator and Legacy Fighting Alliance (LFA) sent Hyder Amil (8-0) to the Contender Series, where he squared off with Turkey’s Emrah Sonmez. Despite his opponent missing weight, “Hurricane” survived a rough start to take over down the stretch and claim both a decision and a contract.

Four of his five professional finishes have come via knockout.

Why Bet on Fernie Garcia?

Fernie Garcia (10-4) brought a four-fight win streak into the Contender Series, where he scored his first professional knockout to claim a UFC contract. He’s still chasing his first Octagon win, having dropped three straight to Journey Newson, Brady Hiestand, and Rinya Nakamura.

He steps in for Melsik Baghdasaryan — who himself stepped in for Shayilan Nuerdanbieke — on a week’s notice.

Hyder Amil vs. Fernie Garcia Final Betting Analysis:

Amil is a very fortunate man. Instead of fighting a power hitter like Baghdasaryan or Nuerdanbieke — who would have inflicted severe trauma — he gets an undersized (and very limited) Bantamweight.

Garcia starts slow, which should give Amil plenty of time to build a lead with his hyper-aggressive style, and has neither the power nor the wrestling to exploit Amil’s awful defense.

“Hurricane” is too limited to make any sort of title run, but what he’s got is more than enough to carry him past Garcia. In the end, he banks at least two rounds on raw aggression.

UFC Fight Night: Daniel Marcos vs. Aoriqileng

Why Bet on Daniel Marcos?

Daniel Marcos (15-0) followed his one-sided Contender Series victory with a beatdown of fellow series alum, Saimon Oliveira, in his UFC debut. He entered his subsequent bout with Davey Grant as the favorite but wound up escaping with a split decision after three listless rounds.

He’s scored eight knockouts as a professional.

Why Bet on Aoriqileng?

Aoriqileng (25-10) came desperately close to victory in his first two UFC bouts but fell short after succumbing to third-round rallies. His subsequent move to 135 pounds quickly bore fruit, producing three wins in his next four fights.

All of his professional finishes have come via knockout.

Daniel Marcos vs. Aoriqileng Final Betting Analysis:

As someone who’s very fond of watching Aoriqileng Terminator walk through incoming fire to melt opponents with volume, we don’t see great things in his future. It’s one thing to smash no-hopers like Cameron Else and Jay Perrin, but he’s consistently underperformed against above-average opponents.

Though Marcos lacks the wrestling skills to exploit Aoriqileng’s biggest weakness, “The Mongolian Murder’s” knockout loss to Aiemann Zahabi suggests that he can’t take “Soncora’s” punches.

This just boils down to whether Marcos can keep his foot on the gas and avoid a repeat of the Grant debacle. He’s in trouble if he gives Aoriqileng that sort of freedom to operate. We’ll be an optimist and say he dials in this time, flooring Aoriqileng before the latter can get a head of steam going.