UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier Fight Card Odds and Picks

Last Updated on June 15, 2023 8:39 pm by Erwin Noguera

This Saturday, the UFC Fight Night goes back to its comfort zone, after an exciting numbered event that ended with the Female G.O.A.T. Retiring from the sport, they take things back to Las Vegas, Nevada, into the UFC Apex so that we can enjoy what is likely to be a barn-burner of a main event clash.

The event is going up in numbers, as we will be getting 14 bouts, which include 6 great match-ups in the main card, along with 8 prelims fights to hype the audience on their way to the main event.

The headliner is the middleweight clash between Marvin Vettori and Jared Cannonier, who has recently fought for the belt and are still contenders in their own right, which makes this an exciting clash for fight fans.

We are also expecting to see multiple exciting clashes when Arman Tsarukyan and Joaquim Silva clash to make their way up in the Lightweight division.

Lucas Almeida and Pat Sabatini are going to give us a show as veteran UFC fighters, and we will also get a ton of talent, including the Mexican Fighter, Christian Quiñonez, and the Lithuanian Modestas Bukauskas.

You can check all the UFC/MMA bets, the analysis of each fighter, and the final bet you can make in this fight.

UFC Fight Night: Vettori vs. Cannonier Fight Card Odds and Picks – Info

When:

Saturday, June 17th, at 7:00 pm ET

Moneyline odds:

Marvin Vettori -123 vs. Jared Cannonier -103
Arman Tsarukyan -1250 vs. Joaquim Silva +625
Christian Leroy Duncan -156 vs. Armen Petrosyan +122
Pat Sabatini -196 vs. Lucas Almeida +153
Nikolas Motta +145 vs. Manuel Torres -188
Muslim Salikhov -196 vs. Nicolas Dalby +152
Raoni Barcelos -238 vs. Miles Johns +180
Jimmy Flick +196 vs. Alessandro Costa -263
Kyung Ho Kang +128 vs. Cristian Quiñonez -163
Carlos Hernandez +105 vs. Denys Bondar -133
Felipe Bunes +134 vs. Zhalgas Zhumagulov -172
Tereza Bledá -250 vs. Gabriella Fernandes +189
Ronnie Lawrence -192 vs. Daniel Argueta +149
Modestas Bukauskas -192 vs. Zac Pauga +148

Where can I watch it?

UFC Fight Pass

UFC Fight Night: Marvin Vettori vs. Jared Cannonier

Why Bet on Marvin Vettori?

Marvin “The Italian Dream” Vettori is the No. 3 ranked middleweight contender and is coming off a unanimous decision victory against Roman Dolidze in March. That allowed him to bounce back from a decision loss to Robert Whittaker and improved his record to 7-2 in his last nine fights, with the other defeat coming in a title shot against Israel Adesanya.

Vettori is a simple “meat and potatoes” guy when it comes to striking, but that combined with the rest of his tools makes him a tough guy to beat in the cage. He has solid fundamental kickboxing, an iron chin, and an endless gas tank while doing an effective job of mixing in his grappling.

Why Bet on Jared Cannonier?

Jared “Tha Killa Gorilla” Cannonier is one spot behind Vettori in the middleweight rankings. In his last time out he edged Sean Strickland by split decision in the final UFC event of 2022.

Since moving down to middleweight in 2018, Cannonier has gone 6-2 with four wins by knockout, and his only defeats have come against Whittaker and Adesanya who have separated themselves atop this division. The 39-year-old is an explosive striker with dynamite in his hands, and he likes to set up his powerful combinations by attacking the lead leg of his foes.

Marvin Vettori vs. Jared Cannonier Final Betting Analysis:

Cannonier is a very powerful hitter but he doesn’t push the pace, and Vettori’s pressure could pose problems for his style — especially if he utilizes his grappling advantage. Sure, Jared is extremely strong and has displayed excellent takedown defense at 185, but Vettori doesn’t need to take him down.

He just has to stall Cannonier against the fence or get him in a clinch position to sap his cardio and power — things he’s more than capable of doing. One thing we saw in Cannonier’s fight against Strickland was that while he appeared to land the more powerful shots, the latter wasn’t phased. But Strickland managed to get big reactions out of Jared when he tagged him.

That could factor into this one as well since Vettori has an iron chin. And while he isn’t particularly heavy-handed, he throws with plenty of volume. If Marvin can eat Cannonier’s best shots without blinking and then get big reactions while throwing with higher output, the judges will likely side with him, and we expect things to happen this way.

UFC Fight Night: Arman Tsarukyan vs. Joaquim Silva

Why Bet on Arman Tsarukyan?

Tsarukyan is a dangerous grappler with excellent striking to boot. He doled out an authoritative win over Damar Ismagulov in his last fight, and he is known for giving Mateusz Gamrot and Islam Makhachev close calls in defeat.

Arman is in his best form as a grinder. His suffocating wrestling approach and judicious striking wears his opponents down, eventually leaving them too exhausted to defend themselves.

Why Bet on Joaquim Silva?

Silva hadn’t won a fight in four years before he fought Jesse Ronson last October. In that fight, he wiped Ronson out with a leaping knee, guaranteeing himself a future opportunity with the UFC. When original opponent Renato Moicano fell out of this fight, he came in and has a job on his hands.

Though he has struggled to separate from the middle of the pack at lightweight, Silva is a solid finisher with 10 of his 12 wins coming inside the distance. He has black belts in Muay Thai and BJJ, yet he relies on his striking to generate offense.

Arman Tsarukyan vs. Joaquim Silva Final Betting Analysis:

There’s a significant divide in talent between these two. Tsarukyan is on the verge of title contention, whereas Silva was the only fighter willing to step in to face him on short notice. Though Joaquim has demonstrated stopping power, it’s not likely to make an impact as he’ll get mauled and outclassed by Tsarukyan in a fight that will be as one-sided as the odds suggest.

The game plan is simple. Arman can rely on his movement and fire kicks until Joaquim looks to engage, at which point it’s time to dump him to the canvas. Then, he can fire elbows, ideally until Silva is bloodied and battered like Joel Alvarez.

UFC Fight Night: Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Armen Petrosyan

Why Bet on Christian Leroy Duncan?

England’s Duncan is also a hitter. He’s very fun to watch and known for firing flashy kicks that can do real damage. Seven of his eight victories came before the final bell, but it’s important to note that his contest vs. Todorovic ended due to an unfortunate knee injury fairly early in the first.

Why Bet on Armen Petrosyan?

Petrosyan is a kickboxer with great fundamentals. He pushes a solid pace and is capable of putting his foes away with a single well-placed kick, but he’s yet to stop an opponent inside the Octagon. Still, “Robocop” is a quality win, and he’s not far off from breaking into the rankings.

Christian Leroy Duncan vs. Armen Petrosyan Final Betting Analysis:

We usually side with fundamentals over flash, but Duncan has both. He’s just a clean and dangerous kickboxer who’s coming into his own. He still hasn’t shown much inside the Octagon, but there’s a good reason the Cage Warriors champion debuted with so much hype.

Petrosyan isn’t going to get walked over, but he’s on the wrong side of the youth equation, and he’s less dynamic overall. Both men will get the striking battle that usually chase, but Christian Leroy is going to do more damage and stay ahead in this one.

UFC Fight Night: Pat Sabatini vs. Lucas Almeida

Why Bet on Pat Sabatini?

Sabatini is a very good grappler. His takedown transitions are sharp and effective, and once on the canvas, he is skilled at controlling opponents while he advances position. He’s stopped 10 of his foes via submission, as well as another couple of wins via strikes.

Why Bet on Lucas Almeida?

Almeida came to the UFC as something of a finished product already. The 32-year-old Brazilian is a former Jungle Fight champion with a classically punishing Muay Thai attack. He’s stopped most of his foes via knockout, and he showed off great combination striking in his UFC debut.

Pat Sabatini vs. Lucas Almeida Final Betting Analysis:

If this one stays on the feet for long, Almeida is going to smoke Sabatini, who just got run over by Damon Jackson. The problem for Lucas is that he’s yet to face a ground specialist quite like his rival for Saturday, who also debuted as an accomplished regional champion with a plus skill set.

It’s a really good matchup, but if Sabatini scores one takedown, his success is likely to snowball. Almeida, meanwhile, needs to land something huge to break that trend. If he’s stuck on his back and getting tired, that’s not likely to happen. We are going to side with Pat in this fight.

UFC Fight Night: Nikolas Motta vs. Manuel Torres

Why Bet on Nikolas Motta?

Motta is the more dedicated sprawl-and-brawl fighter of the two. He’s a crisp kickboxer, capable of flurrying forward or staying back and picking with counter shots. Either way, he can crack and has stopped nine foes via knockout.

Why Bet on Manuel Torres?

Torres is a big, powerful Lightweight. He tends to start fast and overwhelm his opponents, as evidenced by his four most recent wins taking place in less than eight minutes combined! Contrary to the striking-first style he’s shown inside the Octagon, Manuel has won just as many fights via submission as strikes.

Nikolas Motta vs. Manuel Torres Final Betting Analysis:

This is a really interesting matchup. On one hand, Torres is the larger and stronger man. He’s likely to start quickly and land heavy shots off the bat, which tends to produce quick finishes for him. Plus, given his ground skills and Motta’s historic weakness in submissions, that’s also a potential avenue to victory for him.

At the same time, Nikolas has quite a bit more experienced and has the counter-punching to punish Torres’ aggression. Motta is more dangerous late, and if this fight goes long, that experience could come into play in a punishing manner. Unfortunately for the Brazilian, his defense is unlikely to last that long. Manuel is a finisher, and he gets finished fairly often.

UFC Fight Night: Muslim Salikhov vs. Nicolas Dalby

Why Bet on Muslim Salikhov?

Salikhov is a highly decorated Sanda fighter. He’s got a massive arsenal of spinning kicks and wild-range offense, but he can box nicely as well. He tends to run into more trouble when forced to the canvas, though it’s been some time since he was controlled on the mat.

Why Bet on Nicolas Dalby?

Denmark’s Dalby is a damn tough veteran. He’s a striker first and foremost, but since returning for his second stint in the UFC, he’s shown marked improvement in his grappler and MMA game as a whole. Recently, he has been able to push a much harder pace, which has helped him capitalize on his best attributes of grit and heart.

Muslim Salikhov vs. Nicolas Dalby Final Betting Analysis:

This should be a lot of fun. Per usual, Dalby will be working at something of a speed and power disadvantage.

The odds that Salikhov wins the first round feel very high. The question then will become whether or not the man from Denmark can build his success as the fight wears on. He’s got the willpower and toughness necessary to outwork Muslim on the feet or the canvas over time, but that’s going to be a tricky proposition given his rival range mastery. Salikhov wins the first two rounds, is fatigued by the third, but takes the decision!

UFC Fight Night: Raoni Barcelos vs. Miles Johns

Why Bet on Raoni Barcelos?

Raoni Barcelos (17-4) entered UFC amid a four-fight win streak, and after a couple of planned debuts fell through, finally hit the ground running with five consecutive victories. The momentum wasn’t to last, though, and he enters the cage this Saturday having lost three of his last four bouts. Eight of his 10 professional stoppage wins have come via knockout.

Why Bet on Miles Johns?

Miles Johns (13-2) followed his LFA title run and successful Contender Series appearance with wins in three of his first four UFC bouts. Though he fell short against John Castaneda in Feb. 2022, he bounced back nine months later by edging out Vince Morales at the Apex.

Raoni Barcelos vs. Miles Johns Final Betting Analysis:

If Barcelos has anything at all left in the tank, it’s his fight to lose. Johns is deathly afraid to throw anything more damaging than a jab and his wrestling has proven consistently ineffective in the Octagon. Raoini’s speed, power, striking technique, and overall grappling skills blow Miles out of the water.

Even if we assume that Barcelos’ age and recent knockout defeat dulled his edge, he so out-classes Johns in every area that it’s hard to pick against him. In short, he controls the fight behind his jab before dropping the boom down the stretch.

UFC Fight Night: Jimmy Flick vs. Alessandro Costa

Why Bet on Jimmy Flick?

Jimmy Flick (16-6) kicked off his UFC tenure with an out-of-nowhere flying triangle against Cody Durden, only to abruptly announce his retirement afterward. The urge to compete proved too strong, however, prompting a Jan. 2023 return that saw him stopped in one round by late replacement Charles Johnson. He’s ended 14 of his professional victories via submission.

Why Bet on Alessandro Costa?

The Lux Fight League (LFL) title run for Alessandro Costa (12-3) earned him a spot on Contender Series, where he edged out Andres Luna, but failed to secure a UFC contract. After returning to LFL to score a 12-second finish, “Nono” answered the call to fight Amir Albazi on short notice, resulting in a third-round knockout defeat.

Jimmy Flick vs. Alessandro Costa Final Betting Analysis:

As much as one would be hoping for a grappling battle between two highly skilled ground artists, odds are neither we nor Flick will be so lucky. Costa looks like a sufficiently stout wrestler to keep it on the feet, where he holds a clear edge in power over the occasionally fragile Flick.

Alessandro is far from indestructible himself, as we saw against Albazi, but Jimmy’s 5:0 ratio of knockout losses to knockout wins suggests that he’s by far the likelier of the two to hit the deck. Though Flick does have a good shot at victory if he can get on top of Costa, Albazi’s inability to consistently take down Alessandro spells doom for “The Brick’s” chances. In the end, “Nono” sprawls and brawls to an early finish.

UFC Fight Night: Kyung Ho Kang vs. Cristian Quiñonez

Why Bet on Kyung Ho Kang?

Kyung Ho Kang (18-9) — who made his UFC debut back in 2013 — sits at 7-2 in his last nine. His current 4-1 run most recently saw him bounce back from his loss to Rani Yahya by winning a decision over division standout Danaa Batgerel at UFC 275. “Mr. Perfect” fights for the first time in more than one year.

Why Bet on Cristian Quiñonez?

A Contender Series victory over Xiao Long punched Cristian Quinonez’s (17-3) ticket to the Octagon, though visa issues kept him out of action for the next 10 months. He made up for the lost time in his Sept. 2022 UFC debut, which saw him knock out Khalid Taha in Paris. He’s knocked out 10 professional foes and submitted three others.

Kyung Ho Kang vs. Cristian Quiñonez Final Betting Analysis:

As with many of Kang’s fights, this boils down to whether he can utilize his extensive skills properly. He has a maddening tendency to strike when he should grapple and grapple when he should strike, which has led to winnable fights either slipping through his fingers or turning out much closer than they should be.

If Kyung is firing on all cylinders, he beats Quinonez, as he’s not far behind in the striking and holds a significant edge on the mat. His inconsistency makes us hesitant to pull the trigger, but he’s incredibly difficult to finish and generally does enough to come out on top, if not dominate as he should. He mixes in takedowns to edge out a nip-and-tuck standup battle.

UFC Fight Night: Carlos Hernandez vs. Denys Bondar

Why Bet on Carlos Hernandez?

Carlos Hernandez (8-2) secured a spot in the Octagon with a split decision over Daniel Barez on Contender Series, then made it two straight nail-biters by edging out Victor Altamirano in his UFC debut. Then came Allan Nascimento, who tapped Hernandez with a rear-naked choke to snap his eight-fight win streak. Half of his professional wins have come via submission.

Why Bet on Denys Bondar?

Denys Bondar (16-4) rode a 10-fight win streak into the world’s largest fight promotion but missed all of 2021 due to various issues. He finally debuted in Feb. 2022, only to suffer a broken arm courtesy of Malcolm Gordon’s armbar. This marks the first bout for “Psycho” in 16 months.

Carlos Hernandez vs. Denys Bondar Final Betting Analysis:

Bondar’s game may not be particularly deep, but it’s extremely well-suited to punching a hole through Hernandez’s generalist approach. The latter’s wrestling has consistently fallen short in recent bouts; he gave up five takedowns to Barez and two to Nascimento, which bodes ill against a dedicated pressure wrestler like Bondar.

We can’t see Carlos playing keep-away for 15 minutes or catching Denys off of his back the way Gordon did. Though this may be overestimating Bondar based on wins over weak opposition and undervaluing his loss to Gordon, the stylistic matchup is so heavily in his favor that he gets our vote. He wears down Hernandez with takedowns and ground-and-pound before ultimately finding his neck.

UFC Fight Night: Felipe Bunes vs. Zhalgas Zhumagulov

Why Bet on Felipe Bunes?

Bunes capped off an undefeated (7-0) run with a flying submission of TUF veteran, Yoni Sherbatov, only to lose four of his next five. Undaunted, he took his talents to Legacy Fighting Alliance (LFA), beating Wascar Cruz in his debut before knocking out Yuma Horiuchi to claim the promotion’s Flyweight title. His professional finishes are split 8:3 between submissions and knockouts.

Why Bet on Zhalgas Zhumagulov?

Zhalgas Zhumagulov (14-8) — once the Fight Nights Global champion thanks to wins over future/former UFC competitors Tyson Nam, Tagir Ulanbekov, and Ali Bagautinov — finds himself 1-5 in the Octagon. His last two appearances proved the most controversial of the lot, dropping highly questionable split decisions to Jeff Molina and Charles Johnson.

Felipe Bunes vs. Zhalgas Zhumagulov Final Betting Analysis:

If Zhumagulov gets a fair shake from the judges, we like his chances in this clash. Bunes is skilled and well-rounded but has historically demonstrated vulnerability to the swarming punches and steady low kicks that are his rival’s bread and butter.

Though Felipe does have a significant height and reach advantages, Zhalgas has proven adept at closing the distance when not facing a huge difference in athleticism. The two big concerns are the latter’s cardio, which seems to dwindle partway through the second round of late, and the wrestling of the first. Though both could carry “Felipinho” to victory, Zhumagulov should have enough in the tank to take the first two rounds at minimum with high-volume striking.

UFC Fight Night: Tereza Bledá vs. Gabriella Fernandes

Why Bet on Tereza Bledá?

Tereza Bleda (6-1) made her Contender Series walk with the Oktagon MMA title around her waist, then handed Nayara Maia her first defeat to claim an Octagon berth. Her UFC debut pitted her against former Jungle Fight champion, Natalia Silva, who knocked her from the ranks of the unbeaten with a spinning back kick to the face.

Why Bet on Gabriella Fernandes?

Fernandes capped off her three-fight LFA stint by choking out Karoline Martins for its interim Flyweight title. Five months later, she stepped up on short notice to face Jasmine Jasudavicius in her UFC debut, starting strong but succumbing to the latter’s wrestling attack down the stretch. Her five finishes include three by submission.

Tereza Bledá vs. Gabriella Fernandes Final Betting Analysis:

This honestly feels a lot like Fernandes’ fight with Jasudavicius. Though the 22-year-old Bleda is slowly inching her way toward functionality on the feet, she’s still badly out-classed by Fernandes. The thing is, that only matters if Gabriella can consistently stay out of the clinch, which proved beyond her capabilities against the similarly plodding Jasmine.

Once Tereza gets her hands on her, it’s one-way traffic. It’s hard to write off either of these women, even after poor debuts, but four months isn’t enough time for Fernandes to have fixed the issues that doomed her debut. In short, consistent takedowns and long stretches of top control should carry Bleda to a dominant victory.

UFC Fight Night: Ronnie Lawrence vs. Daniel Argueta

Why Bet on Ronnie Lawrence?

A one-sided wrestling clinic against Jose Johnson sent Ronnie Lawrence (8-2) to the Octagon, where he defeated Vince Cachero and Mana Martinez similarly. Saidyokub Kakhramonov proved a step too far, giving “The Heat” a taste of his own medicine to end his five-fight win streak.

Why Bet on Daniel Argueta?

Dan Argueta (9-1) went one-and-done on The Ultimate Fighter (TUF) 29 thanks to eventual tournament winner, Ricky Turcios. After racking up three wins in LFA and claiming its Bantamweight title, “Determined” made the jump to UFC, falling to Damon Jackson in his debut before cruising past late replacement, Nick Aguirre, seven months later. All but one of his six stoppage wins have come in the first round.

Ronnie Lawrence vs. Daniel Argueta Final Betting Analysis:

Whoever dictates where the fight takes place will emerge victorious. Argueta’s nonexistent striking defense gives Lawrence a huge edge on the feet, while Lawrence’s inability to keep Kakhramonov off of him gives Argueta a clear path to victory.

We lean towards Ronnie, though Daniel should be more effective than usual now that he’s back in his proper weight class. the first showed against Martinez that he can do huge damage to unprotected chins and getting manhandled by a beast like Kakhramonov doesn’t necessarily mean he’s a poor wrestler. In short, he tears up Daniel on the feet and survives some stretches on his back to edge out a decision.

UFC Fight Night: Modestas Bukauskas vs. Zac Pauga

Why Bet on Modestas Bukauskas?

Modestas Bukauskas’ (14-5) UFC tenure came to an abrupt and brutal end when Khalil Rountree kicked his knee to pieces. He regrouped in his old Cage Warriors stomping grounds, reclaiming their Light Heavyweight title with a fourth-round knockout of Chuck Campbell, then made a triumphant UFC return by upsetting Tyson Pedro in Feb. 2023. His professional finishes include nine knockouts and two submissions.

Why Bet on Zac Pauga?

Zac Pauga’s (7-1) success on TUF 30 made him a sizable favorite in the finals, only for Mohammed Usman to shut his lights off with one punch. He had a bit more success against Jordan Wright, out-landing “The Beverly Hills Ninja” over three rounds to return to the win column.

Modestas Bukauskas vs. Zac Pauga Final Betting Analysis:

Though he looked good on TUF, Pauga’s UFC efforts haven’t inspired a ton of confidence. Getting lamped by the dreadful Usman and failing to put a dent in the undersized and fragile Jordan Wright are bad looks, especially for a 35-year-old. Bukauskas, by contrast, looks to have solved at least some of the issues that held him to such a poor UFC start. He hits quite a bit harder than Pauga and offers a more versatile striking offense.

If Zac can’t neutralize him against the fence as he did Wright, he’s in for a rough night, and Modestas is far better than Wright in almost every aspect of the sport. He uses constant motion to steadily piece Pauga apart en route to one of his customary late finishes.