Las Vegas Raiders Betting Odds

Last Updated on October 2, 2025 10:31 am by Allen

Team Overview

The Las Vegas Raiders have undergone a complete transformation for 2025, hiring legendary head coach Pete Carroll and reuniting him with quarterback Geno Smith. The Raiders made significant investments in their offense, drafting Heisman Trophy finalist Ashton Jeanty sixth overall and bringing in veteran leadership. With new offensive coordinator Chip Kelly, the Raiders are implementing a more dynamic offensive system designed to maximize their playmakers.

The franchise appears more focused and organized than in recent years, with general manager John Spytek and advisor Tom Brady providing stability. Division odds reflect their rebuilding status at +1100 to +2000, but early reports suggest this team could surprise many observers. The combination of experienced coaching, young talent, and improved organizational structure gives Las Vegas reason for optimism.

Offensive Line Analysis

The Raiders’ offensive line remains a work in progress, returning four of five starters from a unit that struggled significantly in 2024. The group ranked among the worst in yards before contact per attempt, rushing success rate, and explosive runs. Pete Carroll historically had limited success improving offensive lines during his tenure in Seattle, raising questions about immediate improvement.

However, the addition of veteran pieces and a full offseason under Carroll’s system may yield gradual improvement. The line’s performance will be crucial for maximizing Ashton Jeanty’s talents and protecting Geno Smith. While not expected to be among the league’s better units, incremental improvement would significantly impact the Raiders’ offensive potential.

Defensive Line Analysis

Las Vegas faces significant challenges along the defensive line following the departure of Christian Wilkins. The pass rush now depends heavily on All-Pro edge rusher Maxx Crosby and the return of Malcolm Koonce, who missed the entire 2024 season. Koonce needs to recreate his eight-sack performance from 2023 to provide adequate support for Crosby.

The interior defensive line lacks proven depth behind the departures, creating vulnerability against both run and pass. The Raiders added some veteran pieces, but the overall talent level has decreased from 2024. Crosby remains one of the NFL’s elite pass rushers, but he’ll need significant support from role players to maintain an effective pass rush.

2025 NFL Season

First Kickoff Game – vs. New England Patriots

The Las Vegas Raiders opened their season with a hard-fought 20–13 road win over the New England Patriots, led by Geno Smith’s 362 passing yards and a touchdown to Tre Tucker. Rookie Ashton Jeanty added a rushing score, while Daniel Carlson converted two long field goals to secure the victory.

Key injuries include backup quarterback Aidan O’Connell, who suffered a fractured wrist, and safety Lonnie Johnson Jr., who is sidelined with a fibula injury. The defense made crucial second-half adjustments, sacking Patriots QB Drake Maye twice and holding New England scoreless after halftime.

Next up, the Raiders host the Chargers in a Monday night AFC West matchup, looking to carry over their improved defensive play and keep Geno Smith’s passing attack rolling.

Week 2 vs. Los Angeles Chargers

The Raiders managed only field goals in their prime-time loss, unable to find the end zone against the Los Angeles Chargers defense. Geno Smith threw three interceptions and struggled under pressure from Los Angeles’ pass rush. Despite lengthy drives that consumed significant clock time, the Raiders couldn’t convert red-zone opportunities into touchdowns. The offensive line’s protection issues and lack of explosive plays left Las Vegas searching for answers as they dropped to 0-2 in the division.

Week 3 vs. Washington Commanders

The Las Vegas Raiders suffered a devastating 41-24 loss to Washington Commanders, dropping to 1-2 as their defense was overwhelmed by the Commanders’ explosive offensive attack. Geno Smith threw for 289 yards and connected on three touchdown passes to wide receiver Tre Tucker, though two of those scores came in garbage time during the fourth quarter when the game was already out of reach. The Raiders’ ground game struggled significantly with Ashton Jeanty averaging just 3.7 yards per carry, while Smith faced constant pressure, being sacked five times throughout the game. The defense allowed 201 rushing yards on 32 attempts and was particularly vulnerable to big plays, including Jeremy McNichols’ 60-yard touchdown run and Jaylin Lane’s 90-yard punt return for a score.

Las Vegas finds themselves in early trouble at 1-2 with concerning issues on both sides of the ball that were exposed against Washington’s backup quarterback Marcus Mariota. The Raiders’ inability to generate consistent pressure on defense and establish any rhythm on offense has left them struggling to keep pace in the competitive AFC West. With games against much tougher opponents ahead, the Raiders desperately need to address their fundamental issues in all three phases before their season slips away entirely.

Week 4 vs. Chicago Bears

The Raiders fell to 1-3 after a heartbreaking 25-24 loss to the Chicago Bears, dropping them to last place in the AFC West. Despite rookie running back Ashton Jeanty’s breakout performance with 138 rushing yards, 1 rushing touchdown, and 2 receiving scores, quarterback Geno Smith’s three interceptions proved costly. The Bears converted Smith’s turnovers into 13 points, and Daniel Carlson’s potential game-winning field goal was blocked with 30 seconds remaining.

The Raiders face the Indianapolis Colts at home in Week 5, desperately needing a victory to avoid falling further behind in the competitive AFC West race. Smith’s turnover issues must be addressed if Las Vegas hopes to remain competitive in what appears to be a wide-open division.

Odds to Win Division and Super Bowl

The Raiders have the longest odds in the AFC West at +1100 to +2000, reflecting their rebuilding status. Super Bowl LX odds are similarly long, indicating the team is viewed as a multi-year project rather than an immediate contender. However, some betting markets have shown movement toward Las Vegas, suggesting early season optimism from some bettors.

The combination of Carroll’s coaching pedigree, Jeanty’s talent, and Smith’s proven ability has generated more interest than typical for a rebuilding team. While playoff odds remain long, the Raiders could exceed expectations if their offensive improvements translate to wins.

Predictions

Most projection models forecast 6-9 wins for the Raiders, reflecting their rebuilding status while acknowledging potential for improvement. The team’s floor appears to be around 4-5 wins if injuries or system implementation struggles occur, while their ceiling could reach 8-9 wins if everything aligns.

Ashton Jeanty’s impact will be crucial for exceeding expectations, with some analysts predicting he could win Offensive Rookie of the Year. The success of the Carroll-Smith reunion and Kelly’s offensive system will largely determine whether Las Vegas can compete for respectability or remains among the league’s weaker teams. Early season performance will be telling for this franchise’s immediate trajectory.