Probabilidades de apostas do Kansas City Chiefs

Last Updated on outubro 7, 2025 2:07 pm by Allen

Visão geral da equipe

O Kansas City Chiefs entra na temporada 2025/2026 em busca do seu 10º título consecutivo da AFC West, com Patrick Mahomes liderando um elenco reformulado. O Kansas City enfrenta odds de campeonato mais baixas do que nos anos anteriores, mas continua sendo o favorito da divisão, com odds de -118, refletindo o aumento da concorrência dentro da AFC West. Os Chiefs perderam veteranos importantes, incluindo o guard Joe Thuney para o Chicago e o wide receiver DeAndre Hopkins para o Baltimore, exigindo ajustes em sua fórmula de campeonato. Mahomes promete um ataque aéreo mais agressivo, depois que a abordagem conservadora de 2024 limitou as oportunidades de grandes jogadas. Os Chiefs projetam um recorde de 12-5 enquanto buscam outra participação no Super Bowl.

Análise da linha ofensiva

O Kansas City enfrenta questões significativas na linha ofensiva após perder o veterano armador Joe Thuney para a free agency. O calouro Josh Simmons, primeira escolha do draft, assume a função de left tackle ao lado do armador Kingsley Suamataia, em seu segundo ano, criando um novo lado esquerdo da linha. Os Chiefs permitiram 36 sacks em 2024, o maior total de Mahomes em sua carreira, o que levou às mudanças na offseason. A eficácia da linha ofensiva determinará a capacidade de Mahomes de implementar seu prometido ataque agressivo de passes em campo. O Kansas City adicionou profundidade com Jaylon Moore, mas espera desenvolvimento interno dos jovens jogadores.

Análise da Linha Defensiva

Os Chiefs fortaleceram sua linha defensiva adicionando Jerry Tillery para aumentar a profundidade do pass rush interno, mantendo os edge rushers Chris Jones e George Karlaftis. A linha defensiva de Kansas City fornece a base para uma unidade que precisa compensar as dificuldades da linha ofensiva. A linha defensiva demonstrou melhora na geração de pressão durante a campanha do campeonato de 2024, e a adição de Tillery deve proporcionar uma ruptura interna mais consistente. A defesa dos Chiefs depende muito da capacidade desta unidade de criar situações de terceira descida para a defesa secundária.

Prévia da temporada 2025 da NFL

First Kickoff Game – vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Kansas City opens in Brazil against Carregadores de Los Angeles on Friday, September 6, marking the NFL’s first regular season game in South America. The Chiefs fell 27–21 to the Chargers, with Patrick Mahomes passing for 258 yards and scoring both through the air and on the ground. Despite a late push, the Chiefs couldn’t overcome early missed opportunities and turnovers.

Rookie receiver Xavier Worthy was sidelined after a collision and right shoulder injury, compounding issues for a depleted receiving corps already missing Rashee Rice and Jalen Royals. The defense also struggled with penalties and couldn’t contain Justin Herbert, who threw three touchdowns.

The Chiefs look to regroup for a September 14 home opener against the Filadélfia Eagles, aiming to clean up execution and improve receiver depth against an elite secondary.

Week 2 vs. Philadelphia Eagles

The defending champions suffered their second consecutive loss, falling to 0-2 for the first time since 2014. Patrick Mahomes threw for 187 yards and rushed for 66 yards with a touchdown, but Travis Kelce’s dropped touchdown that became an interception proved decisive. The Eagles’ defense dominated throughout, limiting Kansas City’s explosive plays and forcing crucial turnovers. Andy Reid’s aggressive fourth-down decisions backfired, and the Chiefs’ offensive struggles without key receivers became more apparent.

Week 3 vs. New York Giants

The Kansas City Chiefs bounced back from their poor start with a convincing 22-9 victory over the Gigantes de Nova York on Sunday Night Football, earning their first win of the 2025 season and avoiding a dreaded 0-3 start. Patrick Mahomes completed 22 of 37 passes for 224 yards and a touchdown to Tyquan Thornton, while also making a crucial momentum-shifting play by recovering his own backward pass from defender Bobby Okereke’s hands. The Chiefs defense dominated the Giants’ receiving corps, holding star rookie Malik Nabers to just two catches for 13 yards despite being targeted seven times. Isiah Pacheco led the ground game with 45 yards on 10 carries as Kansas City controlled the line of scrimmage.

While the victory was essential to prevent an unprecedented 0-3 start to the Mahomes era, the Chiefs still face significant challenges in catching up to the 3-0 Chargers in the AFC West. Despite the struggles through three weeks, Andy Reid’s team showed signs of their championship DNA by responding to adversity and finding ways to win ugly games. The Chiefs will host Corvos de Baltimore next week in what could be a pivotal early-season matchup as they attempt to string together consecutive victories and regain their championship form.

Week 4 vs. Baltimore Ravens

The Chiefs delivered a statement victory, demolishing the Corvos de Baltimore 37-20 at Arrowhead Stadium in their most complete performance of the season. Patrick Mahomes threw for 270 yards and 4 touchdowns without an interception, earning AFC Offensive Player of the Week honors. The return of Xavier Worthy (shoulder) provided an immediate impact, as he recorded 5 receptions for 83 yards while also contributing 38 rushing yards on two carries. The Chiefs’ defense dominated, sacking Lamar Jackson three times and forcing him to exit the game in the third quarter with a hamstring injury.

Kansas City’s resurgence, combined with the Chargers’ surprising loss, has dramatically shifted the AFC West race, with the Chiefs now at 35% to win the division compared to just 23% entering Week 4. They travel to Jacksonville for Monday Night Football in Week 5, looking to build on their momentum.

Week 5 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

The Chiefs dropped a nail-biter 31-28 to the Jaguares de Jacksonville, as Patrick Mahomes passed for 476 yards and four touchdowns but was unable to overcome costly mistakes, including a 99-yard pick-six and a lost fumble. Penalties and special teams errors plagued the team, and injuries to receiver Xavier Worthy affected their offensive rhythm in key moments.

Kansas City’s next test comes against the Invasores de Las Vegas, where the team aims to tighten fundamentals, manage penalties, and restore momentum in the AFC West race.

Chances de ganhar a divisão e o Super Bowl

Kansas City mantém odds de -118 para vencer a AFC West, suas odds divisionais mais baixas em anos devido à competição acirrada. As odds dos Chiefs para o Super Bowl estão em +750, refletindo sua permanência como favoritos ao título, apesar das mudanças no elenco. Essas odds reconhecem a tradição do Kansas City no campeonato, ao mesmo tempo em que reconhecem os desafios impostos pela melhora de Denver e pelo equilíbrio competitivo em toda a divisão. Os Chiefs continuam sendo o padrão ouro da AFC, apesar das dúvidas sobre seu elenco de apoio.

Previsões para 2025

Os Chiefs projetam um recorde de 12-5 e o título da AFC West, embora com menos margem de erro do que nas temporadas anteriores. A previsão é de que Mahomes retorne a passes mais agressivos, potencialmente alcançando o maior número de jardas da carreira com maior precisão em passes longos. A defesa deve se manter no top 10, enquanto o desenvolvimento da linha ofensiva determina o teto das aspirações de Kansas City ao título. A previsão é de que os Chiefs cheguem ao jogo do título da AFC com potencial para outra aparição no Super Bowl, caso as melhorias na linha ofensiva se mostrem eficazes.