Probabilidades de apostas do Los Angeles Chargers

Last Updated on Janeiro 7, 2026 4:18 pm by Allen

Visão geral da equipe

O Los Angeles Chargers entra em 2025 com aspirações ao título sob o comando do técnico Jim Harbaugh, em seu segundo ano, mas enfrenta um desafio significativo após perder o left tackle Rashawn Slater, selecionado para o Pro Bowl, devido a uma lesão no tendão patelar que o encerrou em sua temporada. Apesar desse revés, o Chargers permanece competitivo na AFC Oeste, com odds de +300 a +340. A sólida base defensiva da equipe e o desenvolvimento contínuo de Justin Herbert os mantêm na disputa.

Os Chargers tiveram uma pré-temporada impressionante, permitindo apenas 18,3 pontos por jogo, com atuações defensivas de destaque tanto de novatos quanto de veteranos. Sua secundária, liderada pelo coordenador defensivo Jesse Minter, demonstrou melhora significativa e profundidade ao longo da pré-temporada. No entanto, a perda de Slater, que havia acabado de assinar uma extensão de quatro anos no valor de $114 milhões, tornando-o o jogador de linha ofensiva mais bem pago da história da NFL, impacta significativamente sua perspectiva ofensiva.

Análise da linha ofensiva

Os Chargers enfrentam seu maior desafio na linha ofensiva após a lesão devastadora de Rashawn Slater. Slater estava entre os melhores left tackles da NFL, ficando entre os 10 melhores em bloqueio de corrida e em quarto lugar em bloqueio de passe em 2024. Sua ausência força a equipe a reformular toda a sua estratégia de linha ofensiva.

O calouro Joe Alt, originalmente draftado para jogar como right tackle, provavelmente se moverá para o lado esquerdo para proteger o lado cego de Justin Herbert. A unidade restante inclui peças internas sólidas, mas a transição e a perda do jogo de elite de Slater rebaixam significativamente o que se esperava ser uma linha ofensiva forte. A filosofia ofensiva da equipe, baseada em corridas, sob o comando de Harbaugh se torna mais desafiadora de executar sem sua âncora na posição de left tackle.

Análise da Linha Defensiva

Los Angeles ostenta uma das linhas defensivas mais fortes da NFL, ancorada pelo edge rusher Khalil Mack e pela versatilidade do defensive tackle Derwin James Jr. A unidade demonstrou excelente profundidade durante a pré-temporada, com diversos jogadores contribuindo na linha defensiva. A adição de pass rushers veteranos e jovens talentos proporciona impacto imediato e desenvolvimento futuro.

A linha defensiva dos Chargers se beneficia do esquema agressivo do coordenador Jesse Minter, que maximiza a pressão enquanto mantém a integridade do gap contra a corrida. Sua capacidade de gerar pressão consistente sem blitzing permite que a defesa secundária jogue com uma cobertura mais fechada, criando um efeito sinérgico em toda a defesa. Essa força defensiva pode precisar ter mais peso, dadas as preocupações com a linha ofensiva.

Temporada da NFL de 2025

Resumo do primeiro jogo de kickoff contra o Kansas City Chiefs

O Los Angeles Chargers começou a temporada com uma vitória por 27–21 contra o Chefes de Kansas City no Brasil, com destaque para os três passes para touchdown de Justin Herbert e um forte desempenho defensivo. Quentin Johnston marcou duas vezes, incluindo o touchdown decisivo no final do quarto período.

Correndo de volta Najee Harris retornou após perder o campo de treinamento com uma lesão ocular, enquanto a segurança Elijah Molden continua limitado por um problema persistente no joelho. O time conseguiu evitar lesões graves na estreia e conteve Patrick Mahomes apesar das penalidades defensivas.

Em seguida, os Chargers viajam para enfrentar o Invasores de Las Vegas na segunda-feira à noite, com o objetivo de aproveitar o sucesso de passes de Herbert e melhorar a disciplina para o confronto da primeira divisão.

Semana 2 vs. Las Vegas Raiders

Os Chargers garantiram sua segunda vitória consecutiva com uma atuação defensiva dominante no Monday Night Football. Justin Herbert lançou com números eficientes, conectando strikes, incluindo um touchdown de 60 jardas para Quentin Johnston. A defesa interceptou Geno Smith três vezes, com Daiyan Henley, Tony Jefferson e Donte Jackson anotando interceptações. Las Vegas conseguiu apenas três field goals de Daniel Carlson, apesar de ter chegado ao território dos Chargers várias vezes, destacando suas dificuldades na red zone e inconsistência ofensiva.

Week 3 vs. Denver Broncos

The Los Angeles Chargers achieved their first 3-0 start since 2002 with a thrilling 23-20 victory over Denver Broncos, capped by Cameron Dicker’s game-winning 43-yard field goal as time expired. Justin Herbert orchestrated a masterful comeback, finding Keenan Allen for a tying 20-yard touchdown with 2:44 remaining before leading the final scoring drive. The victory was particularly impressive as the Chargers became just the third team since realignment to defeat division opponents in each of their first three games, having already beaten the Chiefs and Raiders earlier in the season. Herbert went 4-for-4 on the game-winning drive, demonstrating the poise that has made him one of the league’s elite quarterbacks.

However, the victory came at a significant cost as the Chargers suffered a potentially season-altering injury when running back Najee Harris went down with an Achilles injury that could sideline him for the remainder of the season. Despite this setback, Jim Harbaugh’s squad now sits atop the AFC West with a perfect record and has established themselves as legitimate contenders. The Chargers will look to maintain their momentum when they face the Gigantes de Nova York next week, though they’ll need to find solutions in their backfield without their lead rusher.

Week 4 vs. New York Giants

The Chargers suffered their first loss of the season in stunning fashion, falling 21-18 to the Gigantes de Nova York despite entering as heavy favorites. Rookie quarterback Jaxson Dart led the Giants to victory in his first career start, while Justin Herbert struggled under constant pressure, completing just 23 of 41 passes for 203 yards, 1 touchdown, and 2 interceptions. The loss was particularly damaging given that it came against a winless Giants team that had looked overmatched in previous weeks.

Injuries on defense have significantly impacted the Chargers, with Khalil Mack on IR and key players like Denzel Perryman e Elijah Molden dealing with various ailments. Los Angeles travels to face the Comandantes de Washington in Week 5, needing to rebound quickly to maintain their division lead.

Week 5 vs. Washington Commanders

The Chargers stumbled at home, losing 27-10 to the Comandantes de Washington as Justin Herbert struggled under defensive pressure for 166 yards, one score, and an interception. The Chargers’ offensive line surrendered four sacks and the defense couldn’t contain Washington after taking an early lead, with Da’Shawn Hand leaving with a groin injury.

Their next challenge is a road matchup against the Golfinhos de Miami, with Los Angeles focused on sharpening offensive consistency and adjusting defensive schemes to better handle fast-paced opponents.

Week 6 vs. Miami Dolphins

The Los Angeles Chargers escaped with a thrilling 29-27 victory over the Miami Dolphins in Week 6 thanks to Cameron Dicker’s game-winning 35-yard field goal as time expired. Justin Herbert orchestrated the final drive brilliantly, connecting with Ladd McConkey on a crucial 42-yard completion to set up the kick. Defensively, the Chargers forced three Tua Tagovailoa interceptions including a game-sealing pick by Derwin James, while Kimani Vidal contributed 79 rushing yards. Los Angeles improved to 4-2 and traveled to Indianapolis to face the Colts in Week 7.​

Week 7 vs. Indianapolis Colts

The Los Angeles Chargers’ slide continued in Week 7 with a disappointing 38-24 loss to the Indianapolis Colts at SoFi Stadium. Despite Justin Herbert’s career-high 420 passing yards on 37 of 55 attempts, the Chargers couldn’t overcome Jonathan Taylor’s three-touchdown performance and fell to 4-3. Los Angeles scored 21 second-half points but couldn’t overcome their slow start, managing just three points in the opening two quarters while their running game stalled with just 54 yards on 16 carries. The Chargers host the Minnesota Vikings on Thursday Night Football in Week 8.

​​Week 8 vs. Minnesota Vikings

Justin Herbert dazzled again, leading the Chargers to a 34-10 blowout of the Vikings. Herbert tossed three scores and added 62 yards rushing, while the defense stifled Minnesota from start to finish. Rookie tight end Oronde Gadsden II starred with 77 yards and a touchdown. However, cornerback Tarheeb Still is expected to miss several weeks after suffering an MCL sprain.

The Chargers’ offensive line continues to get healthier, which bodes well for a team in the thick of the division race.​​

Week 9 vs. Tennessee Titans

The Los Angeles Chargers escaped with a 27-20 victory over the Tennessee Titans, thanks to a crucial goal-line stand where they stopped running back Tony Pollard at the 1-yard line on fourth down. Offensive tackle Joe Alt exited with an ankle injury during the game, raising concerns about offensive line depth.​

The Chargers return home to host the Pittsburgh Steelers in a Sunday Night Football showcase in Week 10, looking to build on their two-game winning streak.​

Week 10 vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

The Chargers dominated Sunday Night Football with a convincing 25-10 victory over Pittsburgh, extending their winning streak to three games and solidifying second place in the AFC West. Justin Herbert threw for 220 yards and a touchdown despite pressure from missing both starting tackles, while the defense limited Pittsburgh’s offense with three sacks. Rookie receiver Ladd McConkey caught four passes for 107 yards and a touchdown, and the Chargers held opponents under 250 total yards for the third straight game.​​

The Chargers travel to Jacksonville to face the Jacksonville Jaguars in Week 11, looking to make it four straight wins and climb closer to Denver’s division lead. Los Angeles is just one game behind the Broncos after securing head-to-head victories over both Denver and Kansas City.

​Week 11 vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

The Chargers suffered a catastrophic 35-6 defeat in Jacksonville, managing just 135 total yards and eight first downs. Justin Herbert struggled significantly, completing only 16 of 42 passes while the running game produced just 2.6 yards per carry. The Jaguars didn’t punt once, dominating on both sides of the ball.​

Los Angeles must use its upcoming bye week to address fundamental issues across all three phases. The blowout loss threatens the Chargers’ playoff positioning despite their strong start, with the offensive line failing to protect Herbert and the defense allowing Jacksonville to convert every scoring opportunity.​

Week 12 Bye Week  

Chargers rebounded from earlier losses during their bye week. They have been hampered by injuries but showed signs of recovery.Injury recovery and roster management during bye. for week 13 Chargers visit Raiders in a contest important for AFC West standings and wild card positioning.

Week 13 vs. Las Vegas Raiders

The Chargers delivered a complete performance to defeat the Las Vegas Raiders 31-14, keeping their wildcard hopes alive. The offense was firing on all cylinders, and the defense stifled their division rivals throughout the contest, creating multiple turnovers. The win stabilizes their season as they look to make a push in the final month.

They face a massive test next week in prime time. The Chargers will host the Philadelphia Eagles on Monday Night Football to close out the Week 14 slate.

Week 14 vs. Philadelphia Eagles

The Los Angeles Chargers survived a chaotic Monday Night Football clash against the Philadelphia Eagles, winning 22-19 in overtime at SoFi Stadium. Justin Herbert played through a surgically repaired left hand, completing 12 of 26 passes for 139 yards but leading the team with 66 rushing yards on critical late-game scrambles. The Chargers’ defense dominated, intercepting Jalen Hurts four times including Tony Jefferson’s game-sealing pick in overtime.​

The victory improved Los Angeles to 9-4, keeping them firmly in the AFC playoff picture. Herbert’s toughness was on full display just seven days after hand surgery, as he stiff-armed defenders and converted crucial third downs with his legs. The Chargers travel to Kansas City in Week 15 for a critical AFC West showdown.​

Week 15 vs. Kansas City Chiefs

The Los Angeles Chargers secured a gritty 16-13 road victory over the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium in Week 15, a win that improved their playoff positioning and dealt a devastating blow to their division rivals. Quarterback Justin Herbert displayed efficiency and composure while managing a broken left hand, completing 19 of 29 passes for 210 yards and a touchdown. The Chargers’ defense was dominant, limiting Kansas City to just 239 yards and pressuring Patrick Mahomes on 49% of his dropbacks without blitzing once—recording five sacks and forcing two critical turnovers including a goal-line interception and a late-game pick by Derwin James Jr.. Despite not posting flashy offensive numbers, Los Angeles controlled the game with sustained drives and smart clock management.​

With the victory, the Los Angeles Chargers improved to 10-4 and solidified their position as the AFC’s top wild card team, sitting second in the AFC West behind Denver. The defense’s ability to pressure Mahomes without blitzing and make crucial plays in critical moments—including the goal-line stand that prevented a potential Kansas City touchdown—showcased a team ready for playoff football. Looking ahead to Week 16, the Chargers will travel to face the Dallas Cowboys, carrying momentum from a signature road division victory. Head coach Jim Harbaugh’s team has found its identity: play smart offense, run effectively, and let the defense close out games.

Week 16 vs. Dallas Cowboys

The Los Angeles Chargers extended their winning streak to four games with a commanding 34-17 victory over the Dallas Cowboys at AT&T Stadium. Quarterback Justin Herbert was exceptional despite playing with a broken hand covered completely, completing 23 of 29 passes (79% completion rate) for 300 yards and two touchdowns while adding a rushing touchdown. Herbert led the Chargers to touchdowns on all three first-half drives, connecting with Quentin Johnston for a 23-yard score and Ladd McConkey for a 25-yarder before capping the half with a 1-yard rushing touchdown. Johnston, playing near his college home at TCU, finished with four catches for 104 yards and a touchdown. Running back Omarion Hampton added 85 rushing yards and a 5-yard touchdown, as the Chargers compiled a season-best 452 total yards. Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott threw touchdown passes on his first two drives, finishing 21 of 30 for 244 yards, but Dallas couldn’t score in the second half as the Chargers’ defense clamped down. George Pickens caught a 38-yard touchdown for Dallas, but the Cowboys were officially eliminated from playoff contention.​

At 11-4, the Chargers are on the doorstep of clinching a playoff berth and will secure their spot if Indianapolis loses on Monday night. They return home to face the Houston Texans in Week 17 as they aim to lock up postseason positioning under first-year coach Jim Harbaugh.

​Week 17 vs. Houston Texans

The Los Angeles Chargers lost 16-20 to the Houston Texans at SoFi Stadium, falling to 11-5 and seeing their four-game winning streak snapped. Justin Herbert threw for 236 yards with one touchdown and one interception, but fumbled twice (though he didn’t lose either) and the offense managed only three points in the first half.. The Los Angeles Chargers defense held C.J. Stroud to 244 yards and two interceptions, but Stroud’s two first-quarter touchdown passes proved enough as the Houston Texans clinched a playoff berth with the victory.​

The loss ended the Los Angeles Chargers’ hopes for the AFC’s No. 1 seed heading into Week 18 against the Denver Broncos, where they must handle the Denver Broncos’ aggressive front, protect Herbert from a relentless pass rush and avoid turnovers that could give the Denver Broncos short fields in a matchup that will finalize AFC West seeding.​

Week 18 vs. Denver Broncos

The Los Angeles Chargers closed the regular season with a 3-19 loss to the Denver Broncos, finishing 11-6 but securing the AFC’s No. 7 seed. Trey Lance started at quarterback, throwing for 136 yards and one interception that Ja’Quan McMillian returned for a 45-yard touchdown, while the Los Angeles Chargers rushed for 113 yards on 21 carries but allowed four sacks and failed to sustain any offensive rhythm. The Los Angeles Chargers rested several key starters in the second half, prioritizing health for the postseason over chasing a higher seed.​

Despite the loss, the Los Angeles Chargers draw a Wild Card trip to face the No. 2 seed New England Patriots in Foxborough, where health, pass protection and red-zone execution will be critical for an upset bid against a physical New England Patriots front that dominated the Miami Dolphins in Week 18.​

Chances de ganhar a divisão e o Super Bowl

Apesar da lesão de Slater, os Chargers mantêm odds competitivas entre +300 e +340, colocando-os em terceiro lugar na AFC West, atrás de Kansas City e Denver. Suas odds para o Super Bowl LX estão em +2500, refletindo tanto seu potencial quanto o obstáculo significativo imposto pela ausência de Slater. As odds para o Campeonato da AFC são de +1300, indicando que as casas de apostas os consideram capazes, mas enfrentam desafios significativos.

Os mercados de apostas se ajustaram para levar em conta a lesão de Slater, mas as probabilidades dos Chargers permanecem competitivas com base em sua força defensiva e no talento de Herbert. Alguns analistas acreditam que o nível geral de talento da equipe pode superar os problemas da linha ofensiva, principalmente se Joe Alt se desenvolver rapidamente como left tackle.

Previsões

As projeções para o Chargers em 2025 são mistas, com estimativas variando de 8 a 9 vitórias devido à lesão de Slater a 11 a 12 vitórias com base no talento geral. A expectativa da equipe parece ser de cerca de 8 vitórias, enquanto o teto depende muito da rapidez com que a linha ofensiva se ajusta e da capacidade de Herbert de continuar jogando com excelência, apesar do aumento da pressão.

O sucesso dos Chargers depende de vários fatores: a transição de Joe Alt para o left tackle, a manutenção do alto nível de jogo da defesa e a capacidade de Herbert de elevar os jogadores ao seu redor. Se a linha ofensiva se estabilizar e a defesa continuar sua trajetória ascendente sob o comando de Minter, o Los Angeles pode surpreender e disputar o título da divisão. No entanto, a perda de Slater representa um obstáculo significativo para o que já se esperava ser uma AFC West competitiva.